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A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "Yeah, this is a really interesting question. So I use game theory as a way to frame human beings. Okay? But it doesn't necessarily..."
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A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "Yeah, this is a really interesting question. So I use game theory as a way to frame human beings. Okay? But it doesn't necessarily..."
Jiang says he uses game theory as an interpretive frame for making predictions about the world, not as a claim that human beings self-consciously operate by game-theoretic logic.
Jiang says he makes geopolitical predictions as a way to test whether his understanding of history and the ethical models behind human behavior are actually correct.
Jiang says Thucydides' The Peloponnesian War is his favorite history book because its objectivity, honesty about Athens, and complexity make it a deep guide to human behavior and the drivers of history.
"Yeah, this is a really interesting question. So I use game theory as a way to frame human beings. Okay? But it doesn't necessarily..."
"right or wrong yeah i mean um um so i make these predictions as a way to validate for myself whether my understanding of..."
"Yeah, so my favorite historical book of all time is The Peloponnesian War by Thucydides. Mm. And you can read over and over, because..."
"...you know it's bad. need to create a hierarchy to control human behavior. But if, like Dante, you're optimistic, then you don't need to..."
"...I don't use math. It's impossible. It's impossible to model random human behavior. It's just impossible."
"...idea of predictive history is that there are certain patterns in human behavior that can be analyzed. And so if you do a deep..."
"...us? And there have been different theories as to what drives human behavior. Okay, so let's go over some theories. The first theory comes..."
"...a new science called psychohistory. Which is to mathematically map out human behavior over the course of a million years. If you do that,..."
"...So Eric asked the question, is it possible to completely understand human behavior and motivation? And there are two different ways of looking at..."
A farewell class becomes a compressed world model: empire is a game with no friends, collapse is survivable if imagination and community survive, AI is funded for control rather than liberation, and the deepest...
The lecture begins with Augustine's dusty human nature and ends with Virgil fleeing the proof that Dante's love is stronger than obedience.
The midterm turns a ceasefire into a world model: history moves like a river, eschatology makes prophecy into a plan, and the people who survive collapse are not the ones with the best machines...
Kim Iversen brings Jiang on because the channel has become a prediction machine.
Game theory begins with a small dating game and ends with a civilizational forecast: when status becomes the prize, love, fertility, policy, and geopolitics all bend around the same zero-sum structure.
The host begins by asking how Jiang became a public analyst and ends by asking how history itself gets rewritten.
Stephen Akela invites Jiang on to explain how he predicted war with Iran, but the interview keeps widening until prediction becomes a whole model of late empire: a debt system that cannot tolerate peace,...
The final class turns collapse into an assignment: build a democratic psychohistory that can model war, correct history, answer great-man edge cases, and still preserve the human heart that wants to love, create, learn,...
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