Topic brief
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A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "...I don't use math. It's impossible. It's impossible to model random human behavior. It's just impossible."
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A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "...I don't use math. It's impossible. It's impossible to model random human behavior. It's just impossible."
Jiang says he makes geopolitical predictions as a way to test whether his understanding of history and the ethical models behind human behavior are actually correct.
"right or wrong yeah i mean um um so i make these predictions as a way to validate for myself whether my understanding of..."
"...I don't use math. It's impossible. It's impossible to model random human behavior. It's just impossible."
"...idea of predictive history is that there are certain patterns in human behavior that can be analyzed. And so if you do a deep..."
"...us? And there have been different theories as to what drives human behavior. Okay, so let's go over some theories. The first theory comes..."
"...a new science called psychohistory. Which is to mathematically map out human behavior over the course of a million years. If you do that,..."
"...So Eric asked the question, is it possible to completely understand human behavior and motivation? And there are two different ways of looking at..."
The midterm turns a ceasefire into a world model: history moves like a river, eschatology makes prophecy into a plan, and the people who survive collapse are not the ones with the best machines...
Kim Iversen brings Jiang on because the channel has become a prediction machine.
Game theory begins with a small dating game and ends with a civilizational forecast: when status becomes the prize, love, fertility, policy, and geopolitics all bend around the same zero-sum structure.
The host begins by asking how Jiang became a public analyst and ends by asking how history itself gets rewritten.
The final class turns collapse into an assignment: build a democratic psychohistory that can model war, correct history, answer great-man edge cases, and still preserve the human heart that wants to love, create, learn,...
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