Jiang's first historical analog for the Iran trap: an empire sends a large expedition, fails at resupply, and suffers catastrophic defeat.
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Sicilian expedition
Jiang's first historical analog for the Iran trap: an empire sends a large expedition, fails at resupply, and suffers catastrophic defeat.
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Key Notes
Athens’ Sicilian expedition is an empire’s lazy, stupid, arrogant mistake that brings Syracuse, Sparta, Persia, and allies against it and ends the Peloponnesian War.
He presents the Athenian Sicilian expedition of 415 BCE as an analog in which an empire addicted to easy money supported a distant invasion pitched as a way to win the existing war.
Timestamped Evidence
"so you know the Persians when they went to the Athenians basically said we are a vast empire you can't defeat us and let's..."
"...go conquer Sicily because it's very wealthy they send a massive expedition against Sicily they get they lose they drag Syracuse which has a..."
"don't choose to because they're not interested in winning the war they're only interested in maintaining the status quo equilibrium okay and of course..."
"All right? So, we'll first do historical analysis to find historical analogs, examples, sort of similar to this. And then we'll look at game..."
"reason why is Syracuse had also the navy, and they could stop the Athenian navy from resupplying the Athenian troops. And therefore, the Athenian..."
"...huge place. It has a navy. Therefore, we need a massive expedition force against Syracuse and Sicily. Okay? We need at least 5,000 soldiers...."
"millimeter waterproof that's expedition grade that's the same rating that you'd find on serious mountain jacket it's rated to 20 000 millimeter waterproof that's..."
"...its legitimacy. Therefore, it will, over the decades, embark on military expeditions to enforce the Nicene Creed on all its centers. Eventually, the Nicene..."
"...Okay. And so it is impossible to actually launch a naval expedition against Constantinople because they'll just burn down your ships. At the height..."
"...in conflict with basically most of its neighbors. It's launched an expedition into the Gaza Strip against Hamas, what Hamas did on October 7th...."
"a threat and they saw they sent three expeditions against these peasants all three times the prison prison army was destroyed they they lost..."
"...no one knew what it was. And Caesar launched two major expeditions against Britain that didn't really do anything, but that was not the..."
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