evidence
He presents the Athenian Sicilian expedition of 415 BCE as an analog in which an empire addicted to easy money supported a distant invasion pitched as a way to win the existing war.
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Historical Analog
He presents the Athenian Sicilian expedition of 415 BCE as an analog in which an empire addicted to easy money supported a distant invasion pitched as a way to win the existing war.
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Key Notes
evidence
He introduces Vietnam as a second analog: from a distant country most Americans had not heard of in 1960 to half a million U.S. soldiers in country by 1969 and 58,000 U.S. deaths.
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Timestamped Evidence
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"All right? So, we'll first do historical analysis to find historical analogs, examples, sort of similar to this. And then we'll look at game..."
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"And if we invade the country, we can take their money. Okay? And it turned out, by making this argument, the people of Athens..."
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"Because they couldn't resupply their army. Does that make sense? All right. The second example we can look at is the Vietnam War. So..."
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"...have that much evidence in this situation we can only use historical analogs are there historical incidents that mirror or similar to what happened..."
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"...means that are there historical examples like this? Okay? Are there historical analogs? If there are, then this could be true. Okay? The second..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central claim: the Iran war that looks like American domination is the moment the United States becomes trapped, because geography, supply, domestic politics, sunk cost, and nuclear deterrence...
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