model
Jiang introduces the methodological reason for the exercise: build an analytical model of how the world works, make predictions, and test them against reality.
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Testing
Jiang introduces the methodological reason for the exercise: build an analytical model of how the world works, make predictions, and test them against reality.
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Key Notes
definition
Jiang defines critical thinking as building analytical models, testing them against reality, and refining them based on what reality shows.
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Timestamped Evidence
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"...if this model works or not is by making predictions and testing it against reality."
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Transcript
"So that it's much more reflective and accurate, okay? Does that make sense? Okay? And that's how we try to think critically about the..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A dated May 2024 election model: Biden's 2020 coalition weakens, the suburbs become the hinge, and Trump can win by turning Nikki Haley from enemy into evidence that he has changed.
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