evidence
Hasan frames Jiang's public reputation around three 2024 predictions: Trump would win, Trump would start a war with Iran, and Trump would lose that war.
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Topic brief
A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
Predictions
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "Some have called you China's Nostradamus. You had three famous predictions in 2024 that Trump would get elected, that he would start a war..."
Showing 18 evidence items
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Topic Scope And Freshness
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "Some have called you China's Nostradamus. You had three famous predictions in 2024 that Trump would get elected, that he would start a war..."
Key Notes
evidence
Jiang says his prediction practice grew out of multi-year geopolitical conversations with his Yale mentor David Bromwich and out of publicly noticing that some of his private forecasts were proving correct.
evidence
Jiang says he correctly predicted Putin would invade Ukraine and that Trump would win a second term, which helped convince him to publish his analysis more openly.
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evidence
Jiang says several predictions he expected to mature over five to ten years happened much faster than expected, which helped attract an audience to his work.
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normative
Jiang says the first practical step for aspiring predictors is simply to read as much as possible, because reading builds analytical and critical thinking without requiring formal schooling.
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normative
Jiang recommends a daily habit of saying “I am wrong about this,” arguing that explicit self-correction sharpens analytical thought.
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model
Jiang says predictions matter because they validate and test the analytical model in your head, letting you refine it over time.
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other
Greg asks whether Jiang has additional predictions too extreme to publish publicly even after Jiang's recent viral success.
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Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Some have called you China's Nostradamus. You had three famous predictions in 2024 that Trump would get elected, that he would start a war..."
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"Yeah. Um, so, so I'm not sure if I should do this. Okay. But, but, but, but what happened was this, I'm very good..."
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"...and like, um, it was weird because I was making these predictions and it turned out to be correct. I, I, I mean, um,..."
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"...you know, how is this guy able to, uh, make these predictions? And, and now, um, I see myself as an internet professor. I,..."
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"Um, I mean, I think you should just make predictions, right? Because anyone can make predictions. I mean, like you talk to a taxi..."
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"...Once you do these three things, then I was just making predictions. Okay. Why? Because what, because then the predictions have value because like,..."
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"...boon to the attention given to you. But do you have predictions that have come to you where you say, I can't bring that..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
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Mehdi Hasan does not let Jiang enjoy the Nostradamus frame.
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Jiang begins with prediction as a disciplined loop, then turns the whole century into a religious struggle in disguise.
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Greg Carlwood keeps pushing Jiang from historical method into prophecy, money, education, and mystical disclosure until one through-line becomes visible: bureaucratic empires hollow out the human soul, then try to escape their own decay...
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