He predicts that in a second Trump term, war with Iran would become a major priority, citing the Iran nuclear deal withdrawal, the Jerusalem embassy move, tolerance of MBS after Khashoggi's killing, the Abraham Accords, and the Soleimani assassination as evidence.
Topic brief
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Soleimani
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "...now running the revolutionary guard Corps also their leader uh Qasem Soleimani was killed by the Americans in 2020 and if they wanted revenge..."
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Topic Scope And Freshness
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "...now running the revolutionary guard Corps also their leader uh Qasem Soleimani was killed by the Americans in 2020 and if they wanted revenge..."
Key Notes
Jiang argues that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard wants war with the United States because of U.S. support for the Shah, protection of Israel and Saudi Arabia, and Trump's killing of Qasem Soleimani.
Jiang contrasts Raisi's case with the killing of Soleimani, Israeli assassinations of nuclear scientists, and the April 2024 Damascus strike, where he says the motive was clearer.
Jiang suspects that politicians such as Raisi urged patience and restraint after Soleimani's killing and the April 2024 Damascus strike, while the IRGC wanted vengeance and war.
He says a continuing war could let the Revolutionary Guard consolidate Iran’s economy and empower factions seeking revenge for 1979 and the killing of Qasem Soleimani.
Jiang says the United States could have faced the same Iran-war situation in January 2020 after Trump's assassination of Qasem Soleimani.
Jiang says Trump's first-term decisions already pointed toward a future Iran war, including the embassy move to Jerusalem, the Soleimani assassination, and the Abraham Accords.
Jiang says Tucker Carlson has been doing God's work in recent years and personally persuaded Trump to deescalate after the January 2020 assassination of Qassem Soleimani.
Timestamped Evidence
"...now running the revolutionary guard Corps also their leader uh Qasem Soleimani was killed by the Americans in 2020 and if they wanted revenge..."
"this as an opportunity to destroy the Americans once and for all, even at the cost of their own society. So it's a real..."
"...2020, because that's when Trump ordered the assassination of General Qasem Soleimani in Baghdad. And this was clearly an act of war. And it..."
"know it or does he know it yeah so i think this war is unwinnable um and the moment that you go into iran..."
"the abraham accords which brought together um saudi arabia and israel and so he was doing all these things that from american foreign policy..."
"Jimmy door is American. He's based in LA. Uh, he was a comic for many years and then, uh, and now he has his..."
"But the security services have stayed firm. And the regime is much more resilient and resourceful than the Americans and Israelis imagine. But unfortunately,..."
"And then, of course, the most significant event was that in January 2020, he authorized the assassination of General Salamani. He was the ambassador,..."
"Yeah, so let me clarify my comments. So my feeling is that they will attack Iran. They will use airstrikes. It will be very..."
"...he did, of course, was. He ordered the assassination of General Soleimani, who was the Iranian de facto envoy in the Middle East. And..."
"...that when in January 2020, Trump ordered the assassination of General Soleimani, who was the de facto Iranian ambassador in the Middle East. And..."
"So you're so basically it's like a it's like a boxing match, right? You're up against a gorilla. So you need to wait until..."
Relevant Lectures And Readings
PBD brings Jiang on to challenge the viral Iran prediction.
Redacted asks Jiang whether the Iran war is already out of control.
Jimmy Dore brings Jiang on because an earlier prediction seems to have landed: Trump is back, the United States is now at war with Iran, and a forecast once dismissed as wild suddenly looks...
Sneako opens by telling Jiang that the predictions have started landing.
Jiang starts from the harshest frame available: Iran is not one more crisis but the hinge on which the next half-century turns.
A source-grounded reading of the interview's central move: the Iran file is really about strangling China, while Canada's new China turn is read not as strategy but as a banker trying to offload a...
Jiang opens by saying 2026 is not yet the final explosion but the year the whole machine visibly speeds up: a Ponzi-like global economy, imperial consolidation around trade routes and resources, and nation-states losing...
Jiang's through-line is that American decline will not end in a peaceful handoff to China or Russia.
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