evidence
Jiang contrasts Raisi's case with the killing of Soleimani, Israeli assassinations of nuclear scientists, and the April 2024 Damascus strike, where he says the motive was clearer.
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A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
Damascus Strike
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "Second possibility is foreign adversary, which means that either the United States or Israel or even possibly Azerbaijan, okay? But a foreign adversary was..."
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Topic Scope And Freshness
Key Notes
diagnosis
Jiang suspects that politicians such as Raisi urged patience and restraint after Soleimani's killing and the April 2024 Damascus strike, while the IRGC wanted vengeance and war.
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Second possibility is foreign adversary, which means that either the United States or Israel or even possibly Azerbaijan, okay? But a foreign adversary was..."
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"And Israel in the past has staged assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists in Iran. But again, the motive is, well, Israel is afraid that..."
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"So there are people who are thinking like, maybe the problem isn't Israel. Maybe the problem isn't the United States. Maybe the problem is..."
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"Okay? Going to war against Israel and the United States right now is suicidal. So they were urging caution and restraint. And the Revolutionary..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
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