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In Jiang's conditional escalation model, Iran can provoke Israel and the United States by encouraging Hezbollah, Shia militias in Iraq, and the Houthis to widen conflict.
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In Jiang's conditional escalation model, Iran can provoke Israel and the United States by encouraging Hezbollah, Shia militias in Iraq, and the Houthis to widen conflict.
"Okay? That's the first thing. Second thing is to encourage the proxies. Okay? So right now, Israel is very concerned about Hezbollah. In the..."
"...they also see this as a global conflict. Because they have proxies that support their beliefs, including here in Lebanon, Hezbollah, including here in..."
"proxies hezbollah hamas and the houthis another attack vector um is their asymmetrical warfare meaning using drones and missiles to create as much economic..."
"...United States and Russia and Right now they are fighting a proxy war in the Middle East between Israel and Iran Where the United..."
"Okay? And this is a proxy war with the United States and Russia because the United States controls Europe and NATO. The second major..."
"...that the united states is at war of russia it needs proxies in it allies to counter both the threat of russia as well..."
"...attack vectors for Iran are the terrain, their faith, and the proxies. Okay. The proxies include the Houthis. Okay. The Hezbollah and Hamas. Okay...."
"...GCC economies, threatening to close off the Red Sea for their proxies, the Houthis, and threatening to destroy pipelines and basically take one -third..."
"...is that you remember the Americans actually attacked the Taliban through proxies, through something called the Northern Northern Alliance, which was just a bunch..."
"...surrender their ballistic weapons program. They will have to abandon their proxies and they will have to install the Shah as their new leader,..."
"...States will also agree to end hostilities against all of Iran's proxies, including Hezbollah and the Houthis in Yemen. So as you can see,..."
"So the Iranians believe that this peace treaty also includes its proxies, specifically Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen. But after this..."
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
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