He uses Operation Prosperity Guardian and the Red Sea conflict with the Houthis as evidence that shock-and-awe assumptions are false because the United States lacks the infantry, ships, and force structure needed to stop them.
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Houthis
He uses Operation Prosperity Guardian and the Red Sea conflict with the Houthis as evidence that shock-and-awe assumptions are false because the United States lacks the infantry, ships, and force structure needed to stop them.
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Key Notes
Jiang defines the Axis of Resistance as the IRGC-supported network of Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, Syria's Assad regime, and Shia militias in Iraq, used to create conflict against Saudi Arabia, the United States, and Israel.
In Jiang's conditional escalation model, Iran can provoke Israel and the United States by encouraging Hezbollah, Shia militias in Iraq, and the Houthis to widen conflict.
The speaker treats Yemen as the proxy war that directly threatened Saudi Arabia because the Houthis could align with Iran on Saudi Arabia's border.
The speaker argues that shock and awe failed in Yemen because bombing mountain fighters did not stop the Houthis and instead angered and unified the civilian population against Saudi Arabia.
The speaker concludes that Saudi Arabia lost the Yemen war because the Houthis could inflict massive economic damage on Saudi Arabia.
Jiang describes the Axis of Resistance as Iran's first alliance layer, made up of groups with a common interest in remaining independent of American influence, while stressing that Iran supports but cannot completely control them.
Timestamped Evidence
"...called Operation Prosperity Guardian, okay? So a few months ago, the Houthis, which are a rebel group in Yemen, they started to attack ships..."
"...the forces necessary in order to undertake an operation against the Houthis. They have special forces, they have air supremacy, they have technological omniscience,..."
"...Resistance includes Hamas in the Gaza Strip, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the Houthis in Yemen, Syria, the Assad regime in Syria, as well as Shia..."
"...who could attack U.S. military bases. Okay? You also have the Houthis in Yemen who can attack Saudi Arabia, oil fields. Okay? So you're..."
"...Yemen political leadership. And then there was a rebellion by the Houthis, okay? The Houthis. And the Houthis were Shia villagers who lived in..."
"...not work. And the reason why is, first of all, the Houthis were in the mountains. And so, your bombs didn't really... stop them...."
"...easy to blow up oil fields. Okay? So, that's what the Houthis were doing. They were sending, like, these cheap drones. They might cost..."
"...Shia militias in Iraq. Syria, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Hamas, and the Houthis in Yemen. Now, what's important to understand is that this is not..."
"...beliefs, including here in Lebanon, Hezbollah, including here in Yemen, the Houthis, and of course, in Palestine, Hamas. And before, Syria was also part..."
"proxies hezbollah hamas and the houthis another attack vector um is their asymmetrical warfare meaning using drones and missiles to create as much economic..."
"...terrain, their faith, and the proxies. Okay. The proxies include the Houthis. Okay. The Hezbollah and Hamas. Okay. And the drones, and the pawns,..."
"...And also, it's been the key sponsor of terrorism through the Houthis, Hezbollah and Hamas throughout the last few decades. And we've all seen..."
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