prediction
Jiang says constructing a valid psychohistory AI would require at least 50 to 100 years because the model must be repeatedly tested against predictions.
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Topic brief
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Validation
He says failed predictions require revising the predictions and analysis rather than keeping the model fixed.
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model
He says failed predictions require revising the predictions and analysis rather than keeping the model fixed.
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Okay. So, Sally asked the question, like, how do you construct this? This AI. Okay? And so, for this AI to be valid, okay,..."
Transcript
"If they're not correct, what you have to do is go away. You have to change these predictions, okay? And analysis. Okay? Does that..."
Transcript
"...science right science is negation of the spiritual world and the validation of the material world if you cannot see it it must be..."
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Transcript
"...me on BuyMeACoffee. I really appreciate all the donations. It's real validation of my work. Okay, all right. So thank you so much. And..."
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"...enjoy it that process affirms your individuality and your creativity your validation basically. Okay? Alright. I would have been for you the mediator between..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
The final class turns collapse into an assignment: build a democratic psychohistory that can model war, correct history, answer great-man edge cases, and still preserve the human heart that wants to love, create, learn,...
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