model
Jiang says eschatology, geopolitics/economics, and history/hubris are distinct factors in war but often converge, and convergence across vectors is what makes prediction possible.
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Prediction method
Jiang says eschatology, geopolitics/economics, and history/hubris are distinct factors in war but often converge, and convergence across vectors is what makes prediction possible.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"So, I have one last question about the explanations of this war. Like, before we explained it in the middle in the religious perspectives,..."
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"Okay. All right. Yeah. That's a really good question. Okay? So, the thing I understand about war is that there are different factors at..."
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"And the answer is because I make predictions. And if I'm able to analyze an event using eschatology, geopolitics, and history, and they are..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central reversal: if Trump's goal is to preserve the old American empire, the Iran war looks insane.
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