prediction
Jiang forecasts very low voter turnout in November 2024 because voters will see the system as corrupt and give up.
Topic brief
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Voter Turnout
Jiang forecasts very low voter turnout in November 2024 because voters will see the system as corrupt and give up.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Then the most likely outcome is a civil war. Okay? Does that make sense? So, any questions so far? Yeah. So, Celine asked a..."
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Transcript
"So, no one cares who's president anymore. And that's going to help Trump in November. Okay? Any more questions before I move on? Okay...."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A June 2024 lecture arguing that the next American civil war will not repeat 1861.
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