evidence
Jiang argues Cannae is suspect because ancient surrounded armies should become energized, the tactic lacks ancient parallels, and no archaeological site has been found.
Topic brief
A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
Historical method
Jiang treats history as useful only if it can explain the present and help predict what will happen next.
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Key Notes
model
Jiang treats history as useful only if it can explain the present and help predict what will happen next.
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diagnosis
Jiang says history has failed as a discipline when it cannot use past patterns to explain Trump, Ukraine, or the Middle East and predict what comes next.
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Okay? The second major battle. And this is the most famous battle. This is called the Battle of Cannae. Okay? And this is what..."
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"Okay? So, you force your men to go to a river, and now the enemy is approaching them. They have no choice but to..."
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"1940 in World War II. Now, the difference, of course, is that by the time you hit the 1940s, you have machine guns. You..."
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"Canada, Mexico, quite possibly, very quickly, the European Union, and the United States is already at economic war with Russia and China, okay? So..."
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"Okay? It's a much more complicated model than these two models. But I think it is much more useful in helping us predict the..."
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"And for me, this is frustrating because if the history is any good, if the history is accurate, then it should help us predict..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A source-grounded reading of Jiang's Roman lecture: Rome begins as a poor borderland war machine, invents a liberty of obedience, uses Greek historians and Augustan poets to launder violence, and reaches its deepest secret...
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History is not a cycle, and it is not a line moving politely toward truth.
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Related Topics
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