prediction
He assigns rough odds of 1 percent to the best case, 10 percent to the worst case, and 40 percent to a limited ground incursion.
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Topic brief
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Probability
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "would you say it is so I would say best case scenario is one percent I would say worst case scenario is ten percent..."
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A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "would you say it is so I would say best case scenario is one percent I would say worst case scenario is ten percent..."
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Transcript
"would you say it is so I would say best case scenario is one percent I would say worst case scenario is ten percent..."
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"That's a strong statement to make. As a probability. Okay. What probability would you assign to that claim?"
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"...saying this is impossible but but it is a very low probability and this would be the best case scenario best case scenario give..."
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"Oh, um, I actually think the probability is close to zero. All right. So let me explain why. Um, first of all, there's an..."
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"...America will also intervene if the military option has a high probability of success, and the military option is very limited and contained. None..."
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"...for sure what electrons are. So we can only know the probability of where they are in orbit, okay? So it's called an electron..."
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"But these things are probability enhancers, is another factor. So if you're living in a war zone that's probably going to be a war..."
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"...So first of all, what he does is he analyzes the probability, as an emperor, that you're deposed by the elite, okay? And it..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
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Jiang treats the Middle East conflict and global monetary system as parts of one strategic architecture: empire, geography, and control of energy channels.
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PBD brings Jiang on to challenge the viral Iran prediction.
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Jiang starts with a tactical question about Trump and Venezuela, but the interview keeps widening until Venezuela becomes only the first front in a larger story: a Monroe Doctrine empire that prefers calibrated coercion...
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A source-grounded reading of Jiang's attack on the scientific worldview: Big Bang, evolution, neuroscience, school, and transhumanism become parts of one material story that forgets divinity, fears death, and lets power reinvent reality.
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Greg Carlwood keeps pushing Jiang from historical method into prophecy, money, education, and mystical disclosure until one through-line becomes visible: bureaucratic empires hollow out the human soul, then try to escape their own decay...
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China had the technologies that made modernity possible, then built a political culture that made those technologies inert.
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