Jiang evaluates Philip's assassination using motive and opportunity and rejects Persia as likely because it had motive but no plausible access to Philip's inner court.
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Motive
Jiang evaluates Philip's assassination using motive and opportunity and rejects Persia as likely because it had motive but no plausible access to Philip's inner court.
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Key Notes
Jiang argues that Olympias and Alexander had both motive and opportunity: Philip's death made Alexander king at Macedon's height, prevented Philip from possibly replacing him, and was followed by Olympias honoring Pausanias.
The foreign-adversary theory is possible but weak in Jiang's analysis because a foreign government would face severe opportunity problems and an unclear motive for killing Raisi.
Timestamped Evidence
"...opportunity. Who has the chance to kill him? You look at motive. Okay? Do you understand? So if you look at these two things,..."
"...And here, it makes sense because they both have both the motive and the opportunity. Okay? So let me first explain motive. The motive..."
"...could have new sons. Okay? Does that make sense? So the motive is very clear. And the opportunity makes sense. Because they're all one..."
"...The problem with this theory, though, is one of opportunity and motive, okay? So what this means is it's very hard as a foreign..."
"...staged assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists in Iran. But again, the motive is, well, Israel is afraid that Iran develops a nuclear weapon. And..."
"and you always look at three things means motive and opportunity and so from this you could figure out that the majority of these..."
"...been an attempt to reconstruct society on a basis of material motives and calculations."
"...had by that time become the unwitting cause. And thus the motives mingle in the most successful fashion to form this fantasy, which often..."
"...nonsense. Agreed. All right? Can you keep on reading, Amber? The motives."
"The motives for illness often begin to stir in childhood. The love -hungry little girl, unhappy at having to share her parents' affection with..."
"...So the opportunity was there. But then the question then is motive. Why would they do that? And the answer is that the possibility,..."
Relevant Lectures And Readings
Greek culture did not spread because everyone recognized its beauty.
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
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