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Even a legitimacy crisis over Mojtaba Khamenei could benefit the IRGC, because the regime would become more dependent on the institution that suppresses unrest.
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If Raisi is removed from the succession path, Jiang says Mojtaba Khamenei becomes more likely to succeed, but father-to-son leadership would produce a legitimacy crisis because Iran's revolution was against monarchy.
Even a legitimacy crisis over Mojtaba Khamenei could benefit the IRGC, because the regime would become more dependent on the institution that suppresses unrest.
"...Moshtaba Khamenei did become Ayatollah, this would actually create a political legitimacy crisis in Iran."
"...of power. And even if this accession causes a disaster. A legitimacy crisis. Well, it's good for them because then the regime is even..."
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
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