Killing a leader is dangerous because it eliminates the treaty authority and often elevates a more violent successor, making escalation and no-off-ramp dynamics more likely.
Topic brief
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Succession
Killing a leader is dangerous because it eliminates the treaty authority and often elevates a more violent successor, making escalation and no-off-ramp dynamics more likely.
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Key Notes
He attributes Philip II’s murder to Olympias protecting Alexander’s claim after Philip produced a Macedonian son who threatened Alexander’s succession.
The eldest-son inheritance rule minimizes conflict because any attempt to choose the bravest, noblest, or wisest son would make siblings fight over the succession.
A temple starts as a place for God on earth, but because it attracts tribute and authority it can become the most valuable real estate and provoke succession crisis.
He does not think Putin will ultimately replace the Anglo-American empire because Putin is human and his death would break the grand alliance into civil conflict and tribulation.
Lenin's testament is used as evidence that Lenin recognized Stalin's concentrated authority and coarseness as a danger before Stalin could be removed.
Jiang treats the convenient deaths of Lenin, Yakov Sverdlov, and Felix Dzerzhinsky as suspicious because each removed an obstacle to Stalin's control of party organization or secret police.
Augustus's succession solution is adoption of the most competent relative so that the best man in Rome always inherits imperial power.
Timestamped Evidence
"And you do that by negotiating with each other's leaders, okay? Because they have the authority to implement the treaty. That's the first reason...."
"to conquer Persia why because Persia is where the money is right Greece is poor Persia is wealthy therefore I'm going to take this..."
"so there's a lot of people in the Macedonian court who dislike her Alexander the Great is here to the throne but as a..."
"was killed who else did she kill the wife the new Macedonian wife as well as the son right okay so this is a..."
"So earlier you said that... These people, they inherit to their oldest son, right? So my question is, is it necessary for... So they..."
"Okay. Yeah. So their general principle is always the eldest son. Okay? That's to avoid conflict. Because if you open up to say, okay,..."
"they express themselves through their expression of religion through art architecture music dance and it's an amazing achievement um because these pillars okay they're..."
"a play it's a place for god to live on earth and he shares this vision with everyone and everyone works hard to achieve..."
"...was so when the first leader died you would have a succession crisis and they would vote who the next leader would be and..."
"the Islamic world and now people are begging for the Magni to return the Magni is their world unifier. At this point there are..."
"And the reason why is because he's human. And once he dies, then civil conflict will arise within this grand alliance. And this civil..."
"He, like Lenin, both believe in an international movement of communism. They both believe that if communism is to survive in the Soviet Union,..."
Relevant Lectures And Readings
The lecture names the law of proximity: people and nations play many games at once, but the nearest game is the one that governs action.
A source-grounded reading of Jiang's Hellenistic World lecture: empire stabilizes itself into stagnation, borderlands beat it with energy and openness, Greece wins as a borderland, then becomes the empire whose universities, cities, and translations...
A source-grounded reading of Jiang’s lecture on why the so-called barbarians repeatedly defeat civilization: empires turn innovation into bureaucracy, while the steppe turns geography, animals, inheritance, oath, myth, and violence into mobile social power.
A source-grounded reading of Jiang's lecture on temples, pyramids, farming, ritual ecology, and the modern inability to build wonders: people once organized around heaven on earth; now the religion is capitalism.
The episode's pressure is not that religion sometimes decorates politics.
Rome does not hand Octavian power because he is the best general, the most charismatic speaker, or the obvious heir.
A source-grounded reading of Alexander as the inheriting son: expansionist, obedience-hungry, and unable to hear correction except as betrayal.
Related Topics
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