model
Jiang argues that a soldier facing Piccarda on the roof would not risk calling her bluff, because the consequences of storming the nunnery and causing her death are worse than retreating and reporting failure.
Topic brief
A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
Retreat
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "yeah she could be bluffing and and are you gonna take the chance no you're not gonna take a chance you understand okay because..."
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Key Notes
diagnosis
Jiang argues that the proper Ukrainian strategy against Russia in 2022 would have been to retreat, overextend Russian supply lines, encircle Russian forces, and disrupt their supply.
diagnosis
He says people retreat into private worlds because fully facing coming atrocities is emotionally overwhelming.
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Timestamped Evidence
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"yeah she could be bluffing and and are you gonna take the chance no you're not gonna take a chance you understand okay because..."
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"back home i think okay well imagine two situations the first situation is you go back to the duke and says your sister's crazy..."
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"...just distract people and people just you know um basically uh retreat in their own bubble because like just thinking about the atrocities that..."
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"Now, as you know, in February 2022, Putin ordered a special military operation against Ukraine, okay? And this is a military operation against Ukraine...."
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"...So what must you do? Okay, the answer is you must retreat, okay? Why? The enemy is attacking, right? So you pull back your..."
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