diagnosis
Jiang says Haley's strongest 2024 primary constituency was college-educated suburban women, making her strategically useful to Trump.
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Topic brief
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Republican Primary
Jiang says Haley's strongest 2024 primary constituency was college-educated suburban women, making her strategically useful to Trump.
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Key Notes
diagnosis
Jiang argues that donors kept Haley visible in the Republican primary, including by helping her raise more money than Trump and remain a vote-getter after dropping out, to position her as Trump's vice president.
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Guess who just loved her? Who voted for her in droves? Guess what demographic group? Anyone? Suburban woman, okay, do you understand? College educated..."
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"She'll be the one in the White House pushing for war in Iran. Escalating tension in Iran, okay? So Nikki Haley, okay, what's also..."
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"So she comes across as an extremely popular exception figure, okay? So this doesn't make sense, okay? So the conclusion is that given the..."
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"...Nikki Haley is that Nikki Haley ran against Trump, in the Republican primary, okay? And even though she lost to Trump, there was a..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A dated May 2024 election model: Biden's 2020 coalition weakens, the suburbs become the hinge, and Trump can win by turning Nikki Haley from enemy into evidence that he has changed.
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