prediction
Jiang says if America launches a ground invasion of Iran, it has lost the war, because Iran is impossible to occupy with America's constraints.
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Topic brief
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Occupation
Iran's main counterstrategy is decentralization: embedded militias and cells can survive leadership decapitation, making occupation and installation of a new military regime necessary for U.S.
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Key Notes
model
Iran's main counterstrategy is decentralization: embedded militias and cells can survive leadership decapitation, making occupation and installation of a new military regime necessary for U.S. victory.
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Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Does that make sense, guys? All right, so that's all Iran's gonna do. Iran's just gonna be a pain in the ass, okay? A..."
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Transcript
"Also, let's not forget that the Iranians have been studying... Sorry, sorry. Sorry. The Americans have been studying the American strategy in the Middle..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
The law of asymmetry says the obvious winner may be the side structurally set up to lose.
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