grand bargain

A hypothetical U.S.-China settlement that leaders may only be able to pursue after enough conflict has reduced domestic opposition to compromise.

A broad strategic U.S.-China settlement structure expected to include financial and trade components and to stabilize macro relations. Compact outcome bundle used to summarize expected exchange terms after prolonged strategic bargaining.

Jiang's label for the transactional mutual dependence binding the United States and China, in which each side can supply what the other structurally lacks. Jiang's name for a U.S.-China arrangement in which the United States secures geopolitical control while China supplies the productive capacity that operationalizes that order.

A future Trump-Xi settlement over U.S. dollar support, Chinese market access, Western Hemisphere commodities, and U.S. naval chokehold power.

He says both China and the United States may need open struggle before any grand bargain because domestic factions treat compromise as betrayal, so leaders use conflict to dissipate internal opposition before cutting a deal.

Jiang predicts a near-term broad U.S.-China grand bargain, arguing that the two sides will reconcile differences and deepen economic integration rather than sustain pure confrontation.

He predicts that a massive U.S.-China grand bargain will emerge within the next few months and says billionaire interests want access to Chinese consumers and capital through treasury-linked stable coins.

Jiang says the U.S.-China relationship is a grand bargain because China needs American market access for exports, Western-hemisphere food and energy, and access to high-end technology it cannot yet produce on its own.

Jiang says China is the ideal partner for such a project because it can rapidly and cheaply supply the infrastructure and manufacturing base the greater North American order would require.

He says China in turn needs to export its manufacturing and infrastructure capacity or else its own economy risks collapse, which makes the bargain mutually attractive.

Jiang interprets Trump's China visit as an effort to negotiate a broad grand bargain rather than to announce specific operational deals in public.

Jiang predicts that Trump will use a mid-May China approach to test a grand bargain in which Beijing buys North American energy because discounted supplies from Iran, Venezuela, and Russia are threatened.