model
Jiang expects women to keep voting Democratic because of Trump's image and abortion rights, while identifying suburban voters as the decisive battleground Trump must win back.
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Women Voters
Jiang expects women to keep voting Democratic because of Trump's image and abortion rights, while identifying suburban voters as the decisive battleground Trump must win back.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Women, okay? So 54 % of women voted for Biden. 44 % voted for Trump. Okay? And again, because Trump is seen as this..."
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Transcript
"That's a flip of 2 million voters, okay? So in elections, usually it's a suburban vote that determines the election, because the swing voters...."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A dated May 2024 election model: Biden's 2020 coalition weakens, the suburbs become the hinge, and Trump can win by turning Nikki Haley from enemy into evidence that he has changed.
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