prediction
Nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used because institutional constraints and taboos restrain presidents even when leaders or movements do not morally fear nukes.
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Taboos
Nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used because institutional constraints and taboos restrain presidents even when leaders or movements do not morally fear nukes.
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Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"...hard. Just hire the Chinese to do it, okay? On nuclear taboos, why would they respect a rational escalation ladder to avoid using nukes?..."
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Transcript
"...football guy is going to run away, okay? There's so many taboos against the use of nuclear weapons. Again, I keep on saying this,..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
The midterm turns a ceasefire into a world model: history moves like a river, eschatology makes prophecy into a plan, and the people who survive collapse are not the ones with the best machines...
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