prediction
Nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used because institutional constraints and taboos restrain presidents even when leaders or movements do not morally fear nukes.
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Institutional constraints
Nuclear weapons are unlikely to be used because institutional constraints and taboos restrain presidents even when leaders or movements do not morally fear nukes.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Trump is a genius at being a TV star. He's not a genius at geopolitics, okay? These things don't have to be the same...."
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Transcript
"...care about nukes. The problem is that nuclear weapons, there are institutional constraints and restraints on the use of nuclear weapons, okay? So there's..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
The midterm turns a ceasefire into a world model: history moves like a river, eschatology makes prophecy into a plan, and the people who survive collapse are not the ones with the best machines...
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