prediction
Jiang does not think Taiwan is the immediate flashpoint; Chinese overfishing in the South China Sea may bring China into conflict with neighbors who arrest Chinese fishermen.
Topic brief
A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
South China SEA
For Japan, control of seas in the South China Sea is a matter of life and death; for China, Jiang says retreating behind borders is always available.
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Key Notes
model
For Japan, control of seas in the South China Sea is a matter of life and death; for China, Jiang says retreating behind borders is always available.
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Timestamped Evidence
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"conflict okay So this is a map of the South China Sea And this is a map of Chinese fishing in the South China..."
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"start to arrest Ch inese fishermen for fishing in natural waters Okay But I think that 's going to be a major flash point..."
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"...aggression because remember the seas who controls the seas in South China Sea for Japan it 's a matter of life and death Ch..."
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"There's a lot of resources around the South China Sea. Okay. Right? Oil, minerals, all that. Yeah. So, if China and Taiwan were to..."
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"...of its ability. Japan and China are fighting over the South China Sea. now is the best opportunity to create as much havoc in..."
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"...um and we can expect more conflicts arising in the south china sea uh um especially yeah that's a territory so the real issue..."
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"...that going on and also you have you in the south china sea is such a such a diplomatic sort of chaos you talk..."
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"...forces oda is trained to take down islands in the south china sea in case we went to war with china but again i..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
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A university lecture becomes a warning to China: tactics, utility, and clever people are not enough.
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