diagnosis
Jiang says what is called a ceasefire is being used as a strategic pause: he terms current phase 'recalibration' and predicts ongoing pressure on Iran through control of the Hormuz economy.
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Recalibration
Jiang says what is called a ceasefire is being used as a strategic pause: he terms current phase 'recalibration' and predicts ongoing pressure on Iran through control of the Hormuz economy.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"...not actually a ceasefire. We're actually looking at round two or recalibration of American strategy. So in round one, remember, the Americans focused on..."
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"in Tehran. But what's going to happen, as you point out, is that eventually we'll get sick of all this drama and switch our..."
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"Because we, then at home, we've got jobs to take care of. We've got kids to take care of. And this is part of..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
Jiang treats the Iran shock as a long-cycle pressure system: initial strikes fail, the state shifts to durable economic coercion, and public attention is expected to absorb scarcity, distraction, and control mechanisms as this...
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