diagnosis
Pronatalist financial incentives fail in Jiang's model because people want status, and status or power is zero-sum while money is not.
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Topic brief
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Policy
Pronatalist financial incentives fail in Jiang's model because people want status, and status or power is zero-sum while money is not.
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Key Notes
diagnosis
He suggests policymakers may use a depression-like cycle plus control infrastructure to consolidate authority and normalize wartime scarcity.
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"so you know i'm trying to extrapolate what this will be the lived experience for us because the wall street journal recently reported that..."
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Data
Transcript
"history might repeat itself so what led to world war ii was first of all 1929 stock market crash where you know billions of..."
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"Now it's one. Okay? So the trend is very very negative. Okay? So governments all around the world are trying to figure out what..."
Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
Game theory begins with a small dating game and ends with a civilizational forecast: when status becomes the prize, love, fertility, policy, and geopolitics all bend around the same zero-sum structure.
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Reading
Jiang treats the Iran shock as a long-cycle pressure system: initial strikes fail, the state shifts to durable economic coercion, and public attention is expected to absorb scarcity, distraction, and control mechanisms as this...
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