diagnosis
Jiang says any new leader would see the IRGC as a problem because it has too much power, creates overseas tension, and is too fanatical.
Topic brief
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NEW Leader
Jiang says any new leader would see the IRGC as a problem because it has too much power, creates overseas tension, and is too fanatical.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"...the same time. What is important to remember is that. Any new leader. Would see these guys as a problem."
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"Because they have too much power. And they are creating too much tension. Overseas. And they are too fanatical. Okay? And so. It is..."
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"...country, including the father and I believe the wife of the new leader."
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"...you've killed their leaders, but they don't care because they've got new leaders coming to place. Their military is hidden. Okay? They're hidden in..."
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"...proxies and they will have to install the Shah as their new leader, American puppet. So that those are the four conditions for surrender."
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"...the most extremely violent, the most extreme, will often become the new leader, okay? So by killing this leader, not only do you cause..."
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"...in Iran, meaning you go in, you kill a leader, a new leader emerges, then goes up with you and surrender to you because..."
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"...Also. After these leaders die, how do you ensure that the new leaders will coordinate together? And the answer to this problem is the..."
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"...they win civil war, everyone assumes that Trotsky would be the new leader. But it's Stalin that becomes the new leader. Okay? Why? Because..."
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"...and now you have to bring people competing to be the new leader okay why because a temple and it's really important for you..."
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"...grim. Okay? And that's why, in 2017, Saudi Arabia appointed a new leader called Mohammed bin Salman. Okay? The crown prince. Whoever calls MBS...."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
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