Glossary
The method of revising analysis after predictions meet reality.
Topic brief
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Model refinement
The method of revising analysis after predictions meet reality.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Okay? So you know what? It's possible that in August, Trump will pick someone else, okay? Possibly someone named J.D. Vance, okay? The only..."
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Transcript
"So that it's much more reflective and accurate, okay? Does that make sense? Okay? And that's how we try to think critically about the..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A dated May 2024 election model: Biden's 2020 coalition weakens, the suburbs become the hinge, and Trump can win by turning Nikki Haley from enemy into evidence that he has changed.
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