evidence
Jiang presents his own success as luck shaped by migration: he says he was born poor and 'lucked into Yale' after leaving a rigid Canada for the more mobile United States.
Topic brief
A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
Luck
Jiang presents his own success as luck shaped by migration: he says he was born poor and 'lucked into Yale' after leaving a rigid Canada for the more mobile United States.
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Key Notes
definition
Luck can be strategized but not eliminated: successful people position themselves where luck can happen, but the outcome still depends on luck.
definition
Luck is not passive fortune in this model; it is personified as something like a pet that can be nurtured by courageous action and lost through cowardice.
diagnosis
Luck cannot explain Octavian's rise because saying he became emperor by being lucky is circular rather than causal.
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Okay. That's a really good question. Okay? So we know that there are certain poor kids who do succeed. For example, I'm a poor..."
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"Where women only want five and four. Okay? The reason why is that five and four are high status, and three to one are..."
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"Okay? It's luck. You can work as hard as you want, but the chances are against you. Okay? And it takes a certain personality,..."
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"...good question. Yeah. Okay. Yup. So you're absolutely right. Okay? So luck is a form of strategy. Okay? Strategy. And all this is saying..."
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"Can be luck counted as a kind of ability or it's just coincidence?"
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"...it as a pet who follows you around and it personifies luck. And because it's a pet you can either nurture the pet or..."
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"You nurture it by showing courage. So in battle if you run off if you enter the battle of courage the pet will be..."
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"In this battle what happens is basically Mark Anthony and Cleopatra, they run away from the battle, and then they return to Alexandria and..."
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"You become emperor by being lucky, okay? So that's, that doesn't suffice. Second is, you can say he was brilliant. Julius Caesar was brilliant,..."
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"...know what, I'm going to go somewhere else and try my luck, that's taking a really high risk. Okay? So to succeed, you have..."
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"...% of the population, really. Okay? And they still depend on luck. Any more questions before I move on? Okay. So this leads us..."
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"So cattle and sheep herds can grow rapidly with little luck. Vulnerable to bad weather and theft, they can also decline rapidly. Herding was..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A source-grounded reading of Jiang's lecture on success, class, parenting, schools, and revolution: self-control turns out to be trust, parenting turns out to be strategy, social mobility turns out to be governance, and revolution...
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The Vikings do not look important because they left fewer books.
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Rome does not hand Octavian power because he is the best general, the most charismatic speaker, or the obvious heir.
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Related Topics
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