Glossary
Jiang's method of comparing an imagined nonintervention path against actual policy to judge whether a strategy defeats its own goals.
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Game Theory counterfactual
Jiang's method of comparing an imagined nonintervention path against actual policy to judge whether a strategy defeats its own goals.
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Key Notes
Glossary
Jiang's method of comparing possible war scenarios to identify the only path where the Soviet Union wins.
Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"...self -defeating. So to understand why, we're going to use Game Theory counterfactual and compare it to what actually happened. So. Let's start with..."
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"to death not because the Nazis are barbarians, but because the Nazis had a doctrine of war. They would go in and after three..."
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"Different outcomes. Okay? So let's just say, so everyone knows the Soviet Union and Germany is going to go to war at some point...."
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"Scenario three. Germany invades the Soviet Union and is stopped at the border. And this is a scenario the Americans are laughing their heads..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
The episode begins with two escalations: Ukraine expands, Iran heats up.
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