normative
Jiang signals epistemic humility while reiterating that evaluating worst-case pathways remains practical even without perfect confidence.
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Epistemic Humility
Jiang signals epistemic humility while reiterating that evaluating worst-case pathways remains practical even without perfect confidence.
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Timestamped Evidence
Transcript
"Look, I hope I'm wrong, okay? On the internet, people call me an idiot. I hope I'm an idiot, okay? But I also think..."
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"Right. You've been right so far. So, I hope you are an idiot. And I hope that this is wrong. And that I hope..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
Jiang treats the Iran shock as a long-cycle pressure system: initial strikes fail, the state shifts to durable economic coercion, and public attention is expected to absorb scarcity, distraction, and control mechanisms as this...
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