America's ocean-going naval capacity, which Jiang says lets it control trade routes despite others understanding the strategy.
Topic brief
A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
blue-water navy
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "...nothing you can do about it because America has a blue water navy that controls the oceans. So the question then is, what happens..."
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Topic Scope And Freshness
A transcript-matched topic anchored by excerpts such as "...nothing you can do about it because America has a blue water navy that controls the oceans. So the question then is, what happens..."
Key Notes
A navy capable of projecting power across open oceans; Jiang says China does not yet have this capacity against U.S. maritime hegemony.
A navy capable of challenging the United States in oceanic warfare, which Jiang says Russia will need and China may finance.
Jiang uses this for ocean-going naval capacity able to challenge US sea power beyond coastal defense.
Jiang says America's attempt to control China's trade routes is obvious to other countries, but U.S. blue-water naval dominance means they cannot immediately stop it.
Jiang predicts that Russia will try to turn its shuttle fleet into a blue-water attritional force and that China will finance that maritime challenge.
Jiang predicts that a sanction-evading Russian shadow fleet could evolve into a kind of blue-water navy financed in part by Chinese concern over US maritime interdiction.
Jiang says China will also move closer to Russia because Russia is the only partner able to contest American piracy at sea, leading to joint blue-water naval development and shared support for Iran.
Jiang argues that China is not presently equipped to fight an overseas war near Iran because it lacks a blue-water navy, overseas combat experience, supply lines, logistics networks, and command infrastructure for that theater.
He says China does not have a true blue-water navy and remains hemmed in by the United States' three island chains, making a Middle East expedition vulnerable.
Jiang says China does not yet have a true blue-water navy and remains dependent on the American Navy to secure the sea lanes that carry Chinese trade around the world.
Jiang defines a blue-water navy as more than ship count: it requires breaking out past the first island chain and sustaining military logistics through overseas ports and refueling networks.
Timestamped Evidence
"...nothing you can do about it because America has a blue water navy that controls the oceans. So the question then is, what happens..."
"...really do that. The major question is, to have a blue water navy to challenge uh american hegemony over the seas and the answer..."
"...the japanese military and japan has actually the um best blue water navy in east asia okay gordon chang you know roughly 90 of..."
"...in the oceans so it has to build up a blue water navy and china will probably finance this blue water navy in order..."
"...so the issue is that um china doesn't have a blue water navy to challenge the american navy the blue water navy but i..."
"...surprised if the shuttle fleet was became became the new blue water navy of russia and i believe that the chinese will finance this..."
"slash blue water navy then eventually over time the american navy is going to overstretch itself and this is going to free up um..."
"...can't do anything about it because china doesn't have a blue water navy the russians are just interested in about it so so you..."
"...to do over the next few years is build a blue water navy with chinese financing because because russia has absolutely no choice in..."
"...equipped to fight wars overseas it does not have a blue water navy um it has no experience fighting wars overseas it doesn't have..."
"...for it. And the Chinese doesn't really even have a blue water navy. So the Chinese Navy is helmed in by the three island..."
"...emphasize is that right now China does not have a blue water Navy. If it were to develop a blue water Navy, would it..."
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