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A strategic condition where the United States can keep sending troops into Iran but cannot get them out or use nuclear weapons.
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A strategic condition where the United States can keep sending troops into Iran but cannot get them out or use nuclear weapons. A war theater that absorbs ever more U.S. resources while preventing victory, withdrawal, or nuclear release.
Jiang predicts Putin will not end the Ukraine war, seek peace, or expand it into Poland, but will drag it on because Ukraine functions as a black hole for NATO money, weapons, and manpower.
He says sunk cost would push America to put all its resources into Iran, making the country a black hole, while Putin's nuclear taboo prevents the United States from using nuclear weapons.
"...the reason is that Ukraine is turning out to be a black hole for NATO."
"NATO and the United States is putting in all this money, weapons, and manpower, and it's just losing it all, okay? So in other..."
"...is now trapped. Okay? You understand? And so this becomes a black hole for the United States where they can only send in more..."
"...puts in all its resources into the country, but it's a black hole. Okay? They cannot use nuclear weapons because Putin has said from..."
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central claim: the Iran war that looks like American domination is the moment the United States becomes trapped, because geography, supply, domestic politics, sunk cost, and nuclear deterrence...
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