diagnosis
In response to an Iraq-route question, Jiang argues that Iraq's sovereignty, Shia militias, mountain terrain, and drones would prevent an easy staging or withdrawal route for U.S. troops.
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Withdrawal
In response to an Iraq-route question, Jiang argues that Iraq's sovereignty, Shia militias, mountain terrain, and drones would prevent an easy staging or withdrawal route for U.S.
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Timestamped Evidence
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"And once it becomes trapped, some cost fallacy comes into play and America just puts in all its resources into the country, but it's..."
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"Okay? And they would see the American invasion force as something, as an opportunity to attack the Americans. Okay? Because they're still angry about..."
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"...the damage that the United States and Israel did to Iran, withdrawal of U.S. combat forces from the Middle East, giving Iran control over..."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central claim: the Iran war that looks like American domination is the moment the United States becomes trapped, because geography, supply, domestic politics, sunk cost, and nuclear deterrence...
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