prediction
The end of Pax Americana will produce regional trading blocs, a return to mercantilism in which local hegemons guarantee trade only among allies.
Topic brief
A Jiang Lens evidence brief for this topic, built from source tags, transcript matches, and linked source refs.
Regional Blocs
Jiang argues that even if America lost a war, there would still be no peer competitor to the United States, so the world would divide into regional blocs rather than immediately replace U.S.
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Key Notes
model
Jiang argues that even if America lost a war, there would still be no peer competitor to the United States, so the world would divide into regional blocs rather than immediately replace U.S. power with another single hegemon.
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model
Jiang gives Germany controlling Europe, Japan controlling East Asia, and Israel controlling the Middle East as examples of possible regional blocks in a multipolar world.
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Timestamped Evidence
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"They want people to deliver food to them. And unfortunately, young people don't have to do that because their parents have money. So the..."
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"It was more expensive, it was not so convenient, but it still works. So this does not mean the end of global trade, it..."
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"So the American empire is heading into a lot of trouble over the next 10 years because all three things are happening at once...."
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Relevant Lectures And Readings
Reading
Fukuyama's end of history becomes, in this lecture, a temporary American spell: Pax Americana, science-priesthood, and dollar worship.
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Iran's missile strike is read not as a failed attack, but as a demonstration of asymmetrical strategy: choose the battlefield, satisfy four goals at once, and make the dominant power fight on terms it...
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Related Topics
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