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If Iran is forced higher on the ladder, Jiang says it will mirror economic and civilian-infrastructure attacks, including oil fields and desalination plants, but lacks nuclear, biochemical, and intercontinental options.
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If Iran is forced higher on the ladder, Jiang says it will mirror economic and civilian-infrastructure attacks, including oil fields and desalination plants, but lacks nuclear, biochemical, and intercontinental options.
"...Desalination plants. And that's it. Okay? That's the extent of the Iranian escalation ladder. Because it doesn't have nuclear weapons. It doesn't have biochemical..."
"...nuclear weapons. Okay? All right. So now let's look at the Iranian escalation ladder. So, what's happening is that in the beginning, Iran does..."
A source-grounded reading of Jiang’s law of escalation: the actor with the biggest weapon can still lose if the weaker actor has calibration, legitimacy, options, and a way to make the bully destroy himself.
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