Jiang says proxy escalation could make the United States conclude that it must attack Iran as the source of regional instability.
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Escalation Model
Jiang says proxy escalation could make the United States conclude that it must attack Iran as the source of regional instability.
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Timestamped Evidence
"Okay? That's the first thing. Second thing is to encourage the proxies. Okay? So right now, Israel is very concerned about Hezbollah. In the..."
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A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
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