The most speculative version of Jiang's model is that IRGC fanatics viewed restraining politicians as weak or unbelieving and used the fog on May 19 as an opportunity to cause an accident.
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Assassination Hypothesis
The most speculative version of Jiang's model is that IRGC fanatics viewed restraining politicians as weak or unbelieving and used the fog on May 19 as an opportunity to cause an accident.
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Key Notes
Timestamped Evidence
"Okay? Going to war against Israel and the United States right now is suicidal. So they were urging caution and restraint. And the Revolutionary..."
"And so they caused an accident. Okay? Does it make sense, guys? All right? So again, I don't know what happened. But if we..."
Relevant Lectures And Readings
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
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