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Jiang says the Shah's departure to America revived Iranian fear that the United States might repeat 1953 by helping him return to power through invasion or coup.
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Jiang says the Shah's departure to America revived Iranian fear that the United States might repeat 1953 by helping him return to power through invasion or coup.
The reconstructed embassy documents convinced the students, in Jiang's telling, that the U.S. Embassy had directed Iranian policy, repression, and the 1953 coup against the democratically elected government.
Jiang argues that an invasion would likely push divided Iranians to coalesce against the United States and Israel because of Iran's history with Western resource extraction, the 1953 coup, and the Shah's police state.
"He... The Shah realized that it was very hard for him to stay in power despite the brutality of the army and the police...."
"And the machine will cut the paper into about 100 different strips of paper. Okay? And this is the fastest, most effective way to..."
"Okay? It must accomplish the objectives of the strategy matrix. So the first thing it must do is unite the population. Okay? The second..."
"...very bad history with Westerners. Okay? So, the example is the 1953 coup d 'etat. Okay? So, what happened is that in 1909, the..."
"But they're not getting that much money out of it. Okay? It's basically stealing. So, for decades, the Iranians have been trying to renegotiate..."
"as Israel and as America continues to be aggressive towards Iran, the population will start to coalesce. And fight against the Americans. Okay? So,..."
A source-grounded reading of the lecture's central move: the crash was probably an accident, but if it was not, Jiang asks who had opportunity, motive, and the most to gain.
Iran's missile strike is read not as a failed attack, but as a demonstration of asymmetrical strategy: choose the battlefield, satisfy four goals at once, and make the dominant power fight on terms it...
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