Russian Generals In Iran As The Imminent War Gets Closer! Q&A

Hello. Hi. How are you? Good. Excellent. Great. Thanks so much, Jake, for setting this up.

Of course. Yeah. It looks like we have a lively audience today. Oh, yeah. 134 and climbing. That's great. Yeah, that's awesome for our first live stream. Great. So the plan is for you to introduce the live stream first, and then I'll make some quick remarks, and then we'll do some question and answer.

Great. So the format is going to be very simple tonight. You've all submitted wonderful questions through a few different means, including the survey underneath the latest video. I've sorted your questions into three kind of rough categories that we'll get to first. The first that we'll get to first concerns the subject of the latest video, the most immediate questions that you all had. Then we're going to kind of gradually open it up, talk more about predictive history, grand strategy, game theory, that kind of stuff. And then at the end, there are a couple questions that came in that are kind of meta, you know, more about the community. And it's purpose. So yeah, those are your three categories. We will be checking chat. I spoke with the moderation team. We are on the lookout for follow -ups. So we'll take follow -ups. We have time budgeted to take those today. Are there any questions about the format?

Yeah, it sounds great.

All right. I'm not really seeing any questions. So I think we can hand it over to you.

Okay. Thanks. So I'm seeing the chat says there's an upper limit of 150 for this live stream. Is that true, Jake? I'm so sorry. What did you say? Sorry. Yeah. I'm seeing in chat, I'm monitoring chat right now, and they say there's an upper limit of 150 for this live stream. Is that true?

Or have we hit the limit already? So I've seen, so we may have hit the limit. Unfortunately, this is imposed via Discord. Okay. And the way that we increase the limit is by people using their boosts, which is like a currency that Discord sells. If anyone has spare boosts, we'd really appreciate it. We'd really like to get that up right now. I'm sorry. That is a bottleneck that we did not foresee.

Okay.

Yeah. That's why we do these Better Tasting live stream, just figure out what are some issues. Great. So again, this is just a trial run. We'll be doing some more live streams as we progress. The plan is to do one live stream every two weeks, and then hopefully we'll move towards one every week. Okay. So yeah, so I'll make some introductory remarks and then Jake and I will do some question and answer. Okay. So first of all, thank you so much, everyone, for your support throughout this process. I'm overwhelmed literally because I got on a plane in Beijing with my two boys. We landed in Toronto, and suddenly my channel went up by hundreds of thousands. So I'm not prepared for any of this, and I'm still trying to get my bearings. So having Jake and also Max as well um max and jake have been awesome with um organizing this court this court so

my my gratitude to uh both and my gratitude to everyone for joining this live stream and for joining this community so um i'll make some brief remarks about why we're doing this live stream and how i see um the best way to structure this live stream so in the future today in the future i i think this live stream is going to accomplish three major purposes the first major purpose is educational so some of you have been watching my videos and um i'm sure that some of you have questions or comments and i think the first major purpose is to use this live stream to deepen your knowledge of some topics that were presented in the videos okay so it's educational second purpose also educational because some of you are really interested in game theory analysis some of you are really interested in how um how my thought processes work so um i want to

use this live stream to slowly explain to you how i go how how i go about solving problems analyzing problems and that will help you better understand um the world um and the third purpose um and i think the most important purpose is for us to build a community to work towards a solution together um my dream has always been to been to build a global intellectual movement where um we're all working as a community to solve the world's most pressing problems especially as the world becomes worse and worse that is my ambition and this live stream it's really a way for us to get to know each other and it's really a way for us to organically build the community as time progresses so um those are my initial remarks jake and um so so so so let's let's get started um because i'm sure everyone is really excited to start um engaging with

questions and answers excellent so um before i begin my

first question i just wanted to say so we needed uh seven eight more boosts right which rely on individual contributions to to double the the limit of attendees for this live stream and in the matter of just a few minutes we shattered that so fantastic yeah yeah no um you guys are

incredible yeah no i i i mean like i have been monitoring youtube comments and i've been like like responding to i've been engaging people on twitter and linkedin and i feel this community it's really strong and this is a nucleus for uh for a very powerful global movement i i can see that right away so um you guys are fantastic yeah so thank you so much yeah i agree so uh

my first question to you and i thought this was fitting because um you know this this question centers on you know the the individual who was perhaps the main character of your latest video vladimir putin uh this question comes from tail from brazil what is the future of russia after putin do you think a statesman will emerge who will continue putin's legacy or one who will destabilize russia again that is a fantastic question um

and so i have to say that of all the statesmen in the world today putin is by far the most impressive and i think i've given very good reasons as to why he's very impressive because quite honestly russia is not a superpower um it has so many structural issues with its economy with its culture with society and putin despite the limitation of russia has been able to take it far beyond its limitations and whenever a great leader does that that creates all sorts of succession problems because there's really no one to replace him and quite honestly there's actually no plan to replace him um i don't see anyone emerging in russia i don't think there's going to be a great leader in russia that's going to be a prodigy of of putin that putin has anointed um to be success successor so we're gonna have a very similar issue um very similar to like when

stalin died and khrushchev took over there's going to be a negation of the putin regime there's going to be civil conflict i don't see how russia as a culture as a society after putin's passing but that said i mean what we need to understand is even though putin is 72 he's still sharp i mean if you just listen to his speeches um if you watch his interviews with reporters the guy is still sharp and i mean trump is a lot older than him right trump's trump's almost 80 and trump's still sharp so we have absolutely no idea um what the limit of these world leaders are um and so i think it's really important for us to be able to understand that um i mean it's entirely possible putin is in power for another 20 years so um yeah i mean like those are my two general um thoughts the first thought is there's no

one after putin i mean like once putin um leaves the scene it's entirely possible russia disintegrates it really is but at the same time um putin is still so sharp and it's clear that he has a sort of like mizzenik calling he has a sense of mission he loves his country i really believe he really And that's going to keep him going for a long, long time. And it's possible he's around for another 20 years, which is a very, very long time in today's geopolitical climate. Do you want to elaborate or add some more thoughts, Jake?

Well, I think so, because we kind of had another question that reminded me of your response. There was another question from a Discord user, TonXXXS, who says, how does the age and health of these leaders play a role in what is happening slash will happen in the future? They're all very old. That is somewhat, you know, I'm curious about it. It's also, you know, I think there was a great op -ed in, I think it was the Wall Street Journal. I read recently that was titled like, you know, we live in an international gerontocracy. Trump, Biden, Modi, Xi Jinping is not quite as advanced in age as the others, but also Vladimir Putin. You know, these men are all in their seventies. They're all going to sort of, their health could all fail around the same time. And then there could be this huge international relignment. So what does that look like in your mind?

And echoing the question I just read, yeah, how does age and health of all of these leaders simultaneously play a role in what's happening?

Yeah, that's a fantastic question. And we've never really reached this point in history where we've never had in history so many really old leaders. And it's quite shocking. You know, most leaders of a state, they'll die in their fifties and sixties, either for an assassination or old age or whatever. And it's quite shocking how old the leaders today are. But at the same time, I mean, look at Biden. I mean, like, I think there was like some of us who were like, Biden can't finish his term. I mean, I mean, like he's barely there. But I mean, I mean, he did finish his term and it was up to him. He would have run for reelection. I mean. I mean, like Nancy Pelosi, Pelosi and the others had to step in to sort of like remove him from the ticket and install Kamala Harris. But if it were entirely up to him, he would still

be he would have ran against Trump and he would have lost, of course, but he would have run. So I'm not I'm not in that position. But I think if you were in that position, you have a different mentality. You have a different drive. You have a different perception of life. You have a different perception of the world. And for some, and I made a video about this, for some, they have a messianic calling. They really do believe they are the Messiah, the chosen one, without them, their society would collapse, without them, the world would die off. And that's what drives them. Also look, they have access to the most advanced medicine in the world. And some of this has to be secret, right? Some of this has to be some of this has to be prototypes, pretty advanced. They have that. I mean. So like they have a team of doctors, hundreds of doctors whose sole mission is to make sure they keep on going.

So as long as I believe they have the sense of mission, the messianic calling, they can keep on going. So I mean, we haven't seen a leader drop off yet. I mean, have we? I mean, I can't think of a leader who who just sort of like he's in power and like because of old age, he died off. You look at Iran, right? The Ayatollah Khamenei, right? He's in power. He's 86. He's still giving speeches. He's still a supreme leader. And like everyone's like, oh, he's old, he's frail. But at the same time, I mean, he has waited his entire life for this moment when he can finally when he can finally confront the United States in war. Right. So so, I mean, like he's waited his entire life for this. This is the this is his divine mission set in by God. Is he is he's going to die off?

I mean, we sort of like underestimate the possibility. How of the human will and human faith. So I understand like these leaders are old, but at the same time, they don't seem to be tiring out. They don't seem to be exhausted. They just seem to keep on going. And I think a lot of it is just the advance of medicine. Some of it is just their sense of mizzenik mission that they that that without them, the world would collapse. So they must keep on going. They're also surrounded by psychophants who are completely dependent on them for their own power. Right. So there's like hundreds of reasons why they can keep on going on. So yes, I know they're old, but there's nothing that I've seen that suggests that they're going to give up and die. Yeah. So back to you, Jake.

That's very interesting. Yeah, I have to concur. I don't really think there's been an instance of I you know what I think the last leader to die. Of. Of. Of old age in office may have been the first title. That's the only example that I think he was in his nineties, right?

He was old.

Yeah, there's some longevity in in that in that bloodline, definitely right. Next question. I guess this is a nice segue into the next question. Discord user Xenia underscore Sama, if I'm pronouncing that correctly, says, What's your take on the final fate of Iran in the next five to ten years? Will there be regime change, et cetera?

Yeah, that's a really that's a really good question. So I've said it multiple times that I think the United States will invade Iran. And if there's a ground invasion, I mean, it's going to be preceded by at least six months of bombing. Right. That's that's that's how the United States does things. It's called shock and awe. So for six months. You have these American. American warships just bombing Iran, right? I mean, it's going to go after military installations, air defense, strategic sites like electricity, water. I mean, it's I mean, like like America's going to want to bomb Iran back to the Stone Age. And it's me six months of that. And it's going to be terrible, terrible for the Iranian people. What I think it will do is string the string from the resolve of the Iranian people. To resist. I think this is going to really piss the Iranian people off because you don't win wars through strategic bombing.

But America will invest tremendous resources in trying to blow Iran up like to smithereens. And then will come the ground invasion. The ground invasion will be terrible as well because the American military is not strategic. It's a bulldozer. It's going to destroy everything in its path. So. Yeah. And I've said this in my videos before. I think that for multiple reasons, organizational logistical, the American military assault in Iran will run out of steam. The American America does right now doesn't have the resources to fight a full scale war. The military industrial complex has been corrupt for the past 30, 40 years. And so it doesn't know how to fight a modern war. It has really not fought a modern war. It doesn't have the resources to do so. So I think that eventually America will lose this war and they'll pull out. But that's going to leave Iran shattered, OK?

So I don't know how Iran starts to rebuild from the onslaught of the American empire. So I'm not optimistic about Iran. And yeah, I mean, like, I'm sorry to say that. Yeah.

So there was a question in chat. You know. What is the likelihood of a ground invasion? You sound like it's it's very, very high. You sound like this is, you know, you believe this is something that's going to happen.

Yeah. So let me give you my reasoning, OK? First of all, the United States and Israel are committed to regime change in Iran, and you can't do regime change in Iran unless. You do a ground invasion. Now, I understand because a lot of people have comments. I've read comments. I understand the regime is very popular in Iran. I also understand there are a lot of ethnic divisions in Iran, and I understand that there's a lot of corruption, a lot of mismanagement in Iran. I understand all of this. OK, but the reality is this regime has been in power ever since 1979, and that gave them a lot of time to build the organization. The infrastructure to control the nation and prevent dissent. That's why these revolutions, these these protests don't really work in Iran because they've got a system to stamp it out. So and the reality is this regime has seen what America has done in Iraq, Libya and Syria.

So it knows the playbook. So it's going to build counter strategies in order or in order to prevent regime change. So the only solution available to America. And Israel is to launch a ground invasion in order to to force regime change. And and I just think that Israel and America are committed to such a policy. One person that I think would be a great source for this, if you guys want to do some further research is Seymour Hirst. Seymour Hirst is like by far the best investigative journalist when it comes to American intelligence in the United States. If you don't know who he is, he's he's the guy who first came into prominence in the 70s when he uncovered the My Lai Massacre in the Vietnam War. He was the first journalist to have the courage to reveal the atrocities of the American military in Vietnam. Then he started to uncover a lot of like Pentagon malfeasance corruption.

2003 he was he was the really the only journalist who was absolutely certain, absolutely certain that America would invade Iraq. And this is when like no one was like everyone was like, why would we invade Iraq, right? This is 2003, many months before the actual invasion. And Seymour Hirst was reporting over and over in New Yorker that America was committed to a full scale invasion of Iraq, even though everyone was like, why would we do that? That's just stupid. And Seymour Hirst has a sub stack. I highly recommend you subscribe to it. Seymour Hirst. He's confident from the sources that America is committed to it. He's committed to regime change. Okay, so, so I have so if you watch my videos, I have like lots of other reasoning why America is committed to regime change. I talked about the eschatological reasons, Christian Zionism, and how they want to create the greater greater Israel project in order to piss off the world.

So the world will invade Israel. I mean, like, like, like, there are like, tons of reasons why Alex Craner, who is a who is also amazing geopolitical analyst. I highly recommend that you check it out. If you listen to Alex Craner, but he talks about the trade routes and how the finance global financial elite is interested in controlling Iran, because it's really the center of global trade. Once you control Iran, or you you basically make it you destroy its capacity as state, then you destroy the you destroy bricks, you destroy the Belt and Road Initiative. Like, anyway, there are like, tons of really good reasons. Why you will want to attempt regime change in Iran, even though everyone will tell you that that's a really dumb idea. But but like, but again, like, like the way that the American military

works, it's not like, like, and Julian Assange said, said it so well, the American military is not interested in winning wars, it's only interested in continuing wars, because that's how it that that's how it survives. That that's how it's able to justify its trans dollars. It's only interested in continuing wars. And in budget, quite honestly, no one knows. No one knows how much money the Pentagon has, because you also have black ops, you also have slush funds, okay, but but but it's a huge money laundering operation, and you need wars in order to justify all this. So So yeah, I'm pretty confident that there will be a ground invasion of Iran. It's only a question of timing it. Do they do it next year? Do they do it through the year after but eventually you will have a renovation.

I'm curious about what you you think of this. This is more of a comment from me. You know, it always seems like even though American intelligence, the American intelligence capability is excellent, it is second to none in the world. It seems like it just has such a terrible track record. When it comes to public perception, that people like, you know, Seymour Hersh, they kind of become like, you know, in the sense of Vietnam, or in the sense of the Iraq war. Definitely, they become like this Cassandra figure, you know, that that can effectively predict like, an invasion of Iraq or atrocities in in Vietnam, but no one listens to them, you know, and even like, you know, in the build up to in the build up to the Russo Ukrainian War, the American intelligence capability said, Oh, Russia's building up tanks on the border, we need to be looking out for this. And I watched

because I watched the State Department briefing. Every day with my lunch, it's a it's a habit of mine, I've been doing it since I started undergrad. And, you know, I watched journalists pick that apart. They're like, No, no, no, no, they're doing this again, they did this in Iraq. We can't trust the American intelligence capability. So there's this, there's this very strained relationship between the journalists, the truth tellers, the whistleblowers. And American intelligence.

What do you?

Sorry. Yeah. Um, yeah, I mean, I, this way, I think I think that the American Empire, Pax Americana has been in power for too long. And when you become when you're when you're this powerful for such a long time, you have hubris. And so what I think is, yes, there are, there's, there's many whistleblowers, there's going to this descent, there's, there's been factionalism. Within the intelligence community. But the reality is that America right now has an imperial bureaucracy. We have an imperial bureaucracy. Most people in the bureaucracy are only interested in maintaining their positions, in climbing up higher in that political ladder and screwing over their enemies. So in other words, the imperial bureaucracy is now focused inward. So a lot of what they do, it's really political infighting, as opposed to like massacring, like managing the empire properly. I don't think anyone in Washington is that focused on like, managing the empire properly. If they were we wouldn't have, you know, Israel running amok.

You wouldn't have Gaza you I mean, like, like, it's making empire look terrible, terrible. So I think you're you have a situation where a lot of things are happening in Washington, DC is because different factions are trying to screw over another faction. And but at the end of the day, there will be people. They're more focused on what's happening in Washington politics and imperial bureaucracy than actually in what's happening overseas. I don't think anyone's... I think the issue in Washington DC is you don't have that many strategic minds. You don't have people looking big picture at the world. What's the role of America in the world? How can we maintain the empire? How can the empire be a force of good? No one thinks like that. Everyone's like in their own little silos and their faction is trying to screw over another faction. I think that's what best explains what's going on in Washington DC.

I don't think there's a strategic plan right now. I just don't think... I don't see it.

No, I certainly agree with that. The foreign policy community in Washington, especially on the academic side, if you remember the last secretary of state, Tony Blinken. Yeah. Yeah. So yeah, Mr. Blinken was not well known. He's not like... It's not like Obama appointing Hillary Clinton, wasn't someone who was particularly well known outside of the foreign policy community. And now we're kind of back to, well, the senator who endorsed the president is going to be the secretary of state. Excellent. Moving on to... Wow. We're just... It's great. It's one great segue after another. This question is about the Trump administration in particular and its goals. Discord user hiding underscore places says, what are your opinions on current ICE raids which are targeting people of color across the USA? Why is this happening and what is the end goal?

Yeah. Yeah. This is something that I... I don't know. The first thing I heard was a freak would happen if Trump got the second term, because the reason why is this is the issue that propelled Trump into his second term. Right? I mean the fact that like open borders was a huge issue during the Biden administration. And I was hearing stories of how... Americans didn't have access to free, to free, to health care. Americans were struggling paycheck to paycheck. And you had these illegal immigrants who were being flown to New York city. Okay. They were being flown to New York City, and they were put up in hotels. They were given free health care, and they were given credit cards or debit cards with cash in it. And these were stories that were circulating. And I mean, if I'm an American, I'm just shocked by the sort of corruption, incompetence, and just ignorance and indifference of my government.

So I'm going to want change. And I mean, open borders was a huge issue, and the Democrats refused to address this issue. So you're going to have a violent backlash, right? I mean, people were really angry. So I would say ICE raids were an issue. Also, DEI, you know, how parents were going to school board meetings and complaining, like, why is my child learning this stuff? He's a kid. He's, like, six years old, and you're talking about all this stuff that my kid, I don't want my kid, like, to know. So DEI was a huge issue. These wars overseas, they seemed completely pointless. Ukraine. So, I mean, like, these were issues that were on the minds of Americans, and the Biden administration did not want to deal with them. So when Trump came into power, he had... He had an opportunity to create theater. I think these ICE raids, OK, these ICE raids, everyone will tell you, they're not effective.

You know, like, if your mission is to close the border, deport immigrants, these ICE raids aren't really doing that, OK? But if you look at it in a different perspective, say, this is just theater. This is catharsis. This is entertainment for the masses, right? This is like back to Rome, bread and circuses, right? Well, then... That makes more sense. On TV, you see, like, these heavily militarized, you know, ICE officers going in, and there's hundreds of them, going in and arrest, like, this pregnant woman, you know? Like, what do you accomplish by doing that? It's expensive. But, like, it's theater. It's cathartic. Like, people are angry, and this focuses their attention. So I think that's the first reason, theater, OK? Another reason, and this has been said multiple times. But, like, listen, Trump wants a third term. Trump, you know, like, everyone's like, you know, he's Hitler.

Well, yeah, he is Hitler. I mean, he wants his third term. And the best way to achieve your third term is to create a police state, right? To have certain segments of the Washington bureaucracy completely loyal to you. And so by funding ICE, he's making the ICE bureaucracy loyal to him personally. So, you know, there's lots of reasons why he's doing this. None of it is good. And again, like, what's really important is if the problem is open borders, if the problem is too many illegal immigrants in the United States stealing jobs from normal Americans, hardworking Americans, this is not helping. This is not solving the problem, OK? So a lot of it is just theater. A lot of it is. It's just personal empowerment. I mean, like, if you think ICE rates are bad, they're going to get worse. OK, they're going to get a lot worse because this is something that has mass popular appeal.

It's focusing people's attention. And something else I would look at very closely is the crackdown on dissent in the universities. Right. How Trump is going after these universities. Because let's just say, for example, that Trump. Trump is actually thinking of a invasion of Iran. Well, where is the source of popular protest going to be? It's going to be the universities, right? Like, like all these campuses are going to organize and protest against this unjustified, unprovoked invasion of Iran. So they're preparing for that. I mean, there's definitely a game plan in place. If the intention is to force an invasion of Iran, right, to force a draft, to silence dissent. Well, well, I mean, a lot of things are a lot of pieces are being put into place in the anticipation of this invasion. So so I wouldn't focus on Trump. Right. Trump is just there to distract you. I would just focus on what's happening behind the scenes.

What are the policies, what are the actions? And that gives you a clue as to how this administration will proceed, because there's definitely a plan in place. Yeah.

So I suppose this is this is. Kind of what some people in chat were talking about just now, and it's something of a curiosity I have. You know, we've already seen how Trump is at least some extent not fully in control of his own administration. You know, what role do you think do you think this plays? How do you think we can expect, you know, can we really effectively plan if we don't have. If the press, for instance, doesn't have direct access to the people who are making these decisions?

Yeah, that's a great question, Jake. So I will make two to I will talk about two facts about Trump. OK, the first fact about Trump is that he's a reality TV star, right? This like like he came to prominence because of The Apprentice. And you can argue even before The Apprentice, when he was doing these real estate deals in New York. And New Jersey, these casino deals, he was really he was actually a reality TV star. And as a reality TV star, you just focus on the image, on the perception. And then you have people behind you who are, you know, controlling the actual operations and actual logistics. So Trump's very good at that. Trump is very good at capturing people's imaginations, keeping everyone focused on him. And then what happens? And on the scenes, he doesn't really worry about because he knows that. Listen, power attention is power. As long as people are paying

attention to me, as long as people believe in me, I can always turn people against the people in the back. OK, so so this is really important because I think there is a struggle going on behind the scenes. Look at the administration. You've got two different factions within in the trump administration right now you've got the neocons marco rubio um is is one but and there are others as as as well who are pressing for regime change in iran who want to expand american power who want to support the war in ukraine okay you've got that faction and they've always been there but you've also he's also brought in people like jd vance tosie gabbard and people say that peter heksev is also like um in that camp as well and they're fighting fighting each other and what trump is trying to do is he's trying to create the theater that he's not really in

control that what's driving this policy are these neocons and why would trump do why would trump do that you have to understand that trump is in power to be the scapegoat for this war in iran okay the neocons neocons want to pin this on trump and and what trump is really good at doing right because he's able to capture people's attention he's able to capture people's imagination is what trump's going to do if this invasion of iran is he's going to turn that against neocons and make the neocons a scapegoat for this war in uh iran so that's what i would watch um and and like this is something that trump is really good at doing because he's a reality tv star he's really good he's really good at controlling perception that's something that is really important the bureaucrats in washington d don't understand they don't play this game all right so i think i

think everyone should be surprised that trump is going to reluctantly go with this war in iran then he's going to go against it uh and then this is going to create a lot of problems a lot of civil conflict in the united states um so that's the first thing i want people to remember he's a reality tv star he's not a business person he's a reality tv star well second thing second thing i want people to remember is that he's a person who has an empire and that's the first thing i want people to remember that's the first thing that that people don't don't really know about trump is that he's a construct of his father okay and what i mean by that is the real brains the real genius in a trump family was fred trump uh donald trump's father he's the person who was who who really built that empire the real estate

empire by being basically a slumlord okay he was taking advantage of government subsidies he was abusing exploiting his tenants but he was able to build a large fortune you know what um money in america is not enough you need political power as well so basically at a very young age donald trump was put out there by his father supported by his father's money in order to be the glamorous uh poster boy for the trump real estate empire um so so trump knows and and it's not just his father there's also uh he was also mentored by roy roy colin um who was who was you know for the longest time one of the most powerful lawyers in washington dc um um just just and just one of the most nasty individuals you will ever meet okay if you think jeffrey epstein is bad he's like 10 times worse okay so so trump from an early

age has been mentored by these very powerful individuals and so yeah he got to where where he is because of these powerful individuals but at the same time he resents that right he resents his father he resents people like roy kong and um so he knows how to play them and he knows their mentality okay so so these are the two facts that you must remember about trump if you want to really understand what's going what what's going to um develop over the next next few months over the next few years right for that he was a construct of powerful man um and that he's a reality tv star and uh um yeah so i guess if he's the reality tv star

then rubio and miller and all the people who are making it happen are his producers

basically yeah or or what's really important is they represent different factions that are taking advantage of trump okay you have got all these like different factions going on um as well and and they're and they're they're an employee of these factions right they're not they're right i mean like who's financing rubo marco rubio's career who's financing steven miller's career right who who's who are the people who lobby trump to put them back in the administration

yeah it kind of seemed you know this was sort of the the take i had at the time when it looked like he was going to make it for a second term um there were a lot of different people who wanted to be his puppet master you know they wanted to they wanted to really control the administration from behind the scenes and they wanted to really control the administration from behind scenes and uh you know how how cabinets like that collapse is you know there's no solidarity amongst them they eat each other to stay alive yeah so uh we had actually a really awesome follow -up question in chat and i'd like to read it okay uh the poster credits at history guy one and he says uh you stated russia can't afford for iran to fail due to recent events where Iran went to Russia for support after the Israelis attacked. They denied it.

Then they had to go to China. Also, Syria is another strategic country where Russia invested a lot, and with the fall of Assad, Russia has lost. I don't know if I see the statement playing out or supported from the evidence shown. That's what the question said.

That's a great point. Syria was definitely a strategic defeat for Russia. You're absolutely right. It was embarrassing for Russia. Russia was definitely caught flat -footed. The geopolitical ramifications are just tremendous, and it's still being played out. It was clearly a tremendous victory for the American empire, for Israel. That was a major, major setback, and that gives Israel and the Americans a huge advantage in Iran. We saw that play out because Israel was able to conduct these airstrikes against Iran through Syria. That was a major advantage. Now there's no state opposing Israel between Israel and Iran. It can just fly straight to Iran. That's going to be a continuous problem. As to why Putin is not supporting Iran, I personally think that there's an understanding between Iran and Russia, and the understanding is this. They want to force an American ground invasion because there's only one way to defeat America in the Middle East, and that's to trap them in Iran.

As long as the American empire avoids ground troops, avoids casualties, it's fine. It can afford to lose wars because people in America don't really notice. America has lost the war in Afghanistan, lost the war in Iraq, but the casualties were limited. It was not too embarrassing. They lost a lot of money. No one cares. They move on. In order to defeat the American empire, the only way you can do that is to create a spectacle. A spectacle is an American ground invasion of Iran where troops are dying. I mean, Iranian soldiers are going to die much more than American soldiers. But again, the issue is a spectacle. You want to capture the attention and the imagination of the American domestic audience. So you want to force a ground invasion of Iran. If Putin supports Iran right now, the ground invasion is very unlikely because you have to factor in the use of nuclear weapons now.

So that's why Putin is keeping a distance. But you have to remember this. You have to remember this. That the nation that was really keeping Iran back from attacking Israel because remember, like last year, there were lots of provocations, Israeli provocations against Iran. And Iran promised two promises, too, like a ballistic strike against Israel. It didn't happen. People don't remember this, but remember what preceded this is like the Russians sent military advisors to Iran, including, I believe, like one of the top generals of Russia. They were there for months. What were they doing there? Right? I mean, like that's what you have to ask. They were there for months. What were they doing there? And I believe, my guess is they were basically game planning, war gaming, an American invasion of Iran. So that's what Russia and Iran are up to. They want to force a ground invasion of America because that's what defeats the American empire in the Middle East.

So what's happening between Putin and Iran? I think that's just theater. I think Putin is fully committed to defending Iran. That is my read on the situation. I mean, if and I mean, like the reality is that without Iran, America can dedicate its full resources to Ukraine, right? It's Iran that's keeping America in the Middle East. What if Iran is gone, then America can dedicate its entire resources to Ukraine, and I'd be bad for Russia. So there are like millions of reasons why Putin has to support Iran geopolitically.

And it will. And Putin will. Excellent. This question is next on my list,

and I just want to say that I think it's a good question.

And I think it's a good question.

I did promise chat. We would get to it. Feel free to pass on this. If you, you know, everyone is asking about the Epstein files and the damage to Trump's base, his MAGA base. It seems to be splitting for the first time in a significant way, in a public way. What role, if any, does this scandal play? And what's your, what's your read?

My, my read is the Epstein file.

It's not as important as people make it out to be because, I mean, what is in these files that people don't know already? Like we, we already know who went to the island, right? So we already know who is an associate of Jeffrey Epstein. So I'm not, I'm kind of confused as to why this would matter. And like, okay. So let's focus on MAGA and Trump. Like, like how does this relationship work? For certain segments of the MAGA base, Trump is a messiah. The messiah is coming to destroy the American deep state. And we, we, for the American Republic so from their perspective Trump is first and foremost a chaos bringer okay his job is to go to Washington DC and make everyone piss their pants and the question then is is Trump doing that and I think the answer is yeah he's um he's he he's doing that and um things like Jeffrey Epstein

files they don't really matter that much in the grand scheme of things and what ultimately it does is um it really solidifies mega support for Trump okay so let me use an analogy um like a young boy and a young girl they fall in love right well if they if they never actually fight the relationship actually like falls apart fairly quickly but they're fighting all the time well strangely enough um that cements their relationship with each other they become actually dependent on each other so the more the mega base and Trump fight the more the relationship um like solidifies okay and I think uh this is important because you sort of need this friction and you know that's just like tension and release you know like like like you know like let's fight let's make up let's fight let's make up because the real break the real issue is is gonna rot arise when Trump

attacks Iran in order to ground invasion of Iran because that's completely a betrayal of the mega base right I mean Jeffrey Epstein doesn't really matter um in the eyes of mega I'm like like like come I mean like like like mega knew exactly what's happening I mean uh everyone knew who was involved everyone knew what they were doing um this is this is actually a very common thing in that world I I mean like like I'm sorry to say this but what was unique about Jeffrey okay and also like um people people don't understand this but Jeffrey Epstein he was just the um he was just a scapegoat he didn't have any power he I mean like like if you actually listen to to his interviews if you actually like listen to this conversation the guy was an idiot the guy was stupid I mean he really thought that he was this masonic figure um

who was out to save the world um you know her her father was um Conrad Maxwell who was clearly I mean like like you and this is well known he was like he was clearly an Israeli spy um so that family is Mossad right so she she was the real power and and and and and so you know I mean like like like so so everything we're seeing it's it's just superficial it's theater this is so calm in that world I mean um and um I had to say this to you guys but like when they do this stuff and a lot of people are like well they're doing this in order to in order for Israel to blackmail them okay I hate to say this but like they do this stuff because they actually enjoy it okay and the blackmail is par it's it's par for the course it's like whatever you know but

like you know I mean like like like like like like that's that's that's that's that's who they are like like these are people who are psychopaths who are doing this sort of stuff that's why they want the political power because then they can do this without you know without being accountable to the law right I'm sorry but that this is what drives these people to amass such power so that they can indulge in their perversions in their in

their um perversity so yeah so so I'm sorry if I recalled well uh chat's going insane um so your um your take is you know people who are trying to break down the the Epstein stuff they're putting the cart before the horse uh the blackmail was to enable the sex trafficking and not the other

way around yeah it was just because they're that you know insane yeah yeah they it's it's I mean they're cruel I mean like I'm sorry but like to do what they do in order to get that much power I'm sorry okay I mean like normal people couldn't possibly do do what they did like the amount of lies they tell them the amount of people they backstab um the cruelty they they they commit I mean like like listen these are not nice people the Clintons the Obamas the Trumps

they're not nice people they're just not oh excellent okay um I'd like to keep the the

Jeffrey Epstein conversation kind of contained to uh one section of the of the Q a are there any follow -ups before we move on yeah um yeah well I suppose a lot of people are asking if there was a connection to Israeli intelligence in your opinion um guys okay I'm sorry to say this but

it's a very small world up there okay it really is um Mossad CIA uh FSB Chinese intelligence whatever okay it's a really small world they're all friends they all know each other they're supposed to be enemies right but they're all friends okay they all I mean like it's socialized they they know each other it's a very small world it's a very

small club it's one big club and you're not in it yeah exactly yeah so uh this next question kind of

wraps up the first uh half of the the questions I prepared today um this is about your messianic framework so uh this person didn't put in a username okay but their question is how when and why did you invent the messianic

framework for analyzing geopolitics yeah that's a great question okay so um um as you know I've talked to courses that I've uploaded online the first is dual strategy and your strategy was was I was trying to make sense of um why the world was falling apart right because like um the uh Russia had invaded Ukraine um and then you had all these conflict in the Middle East Israel attacking the Iranian embassy in Damascus so so so these things were happening and I wanted to connect the pieces and figure out what was going on but then while I was teaching a course I realized you know what um there has to be some historical uh data points that I'm missing okay so so what I learned um this year I taught civilization which is like I'm gonna go and try to reconstruct human civilization in a way that makes sense to me um and this process

I was encountering these individuals like Daniel's calling sarkon of aked Julius Caesar okay like all the great warlords of human history and I was trying to figure out what drives these people like why do they do what did what they do and how do they come into power and then I and then I like as i start to do more research um i start to recognize that they saw themselves as historical figures who came to change the world and that's what drove them and and that was that was the best explanation i could come up with and then i started to apply this this understanding to other warlords that i taught including napoleon um and i and i recognized that you know what this framework it may not be perfect and it may not be correct but it does for my purposes which is like like to have a general framework a broad perspective of

the movement of human history it does provide me with some answers with some clarity and so i i start to recognize that the great leaders the people who actually change human history um they do have a mezzanine calling okay um so so that's how i developed my framework and then um um with this war in the middle east with trump uh attacking iran i was forced to conf to ask myself is it possible that this music framework is still does it apply to world leaders today and so i start to experiment and says well okay and i start to make these videos and and like when i make videos i'm listen guys when i make videos i'm speculating right um and but the speculation when i'm when i when i made the speculation it made sense to me okay and so i have this framework uh it allows me to make certain predictions and um

and and and and for me it makes sense but but you know it's entirely possible my predictions don't don't pan out in which case i'll go back and reassess the framework okay but right now i do believe that trump not yahoo putin um they're all driven by the mezzanine calling okay and that's what drives your actions first and foremost okay and and again um it's it's entirely possible that my predictions don't pan out in which case then i know my framework doesn't work okay but but but i'm just putting out putting out there that's how i developed my my magic framework under like understanding trying to figure out what what

drove these warlords how they were able to succeed and what they had in common excellent i think

there was a follow -up from something you said um yeah actually this was an excellent question um Peter lord vito says does our society select for psychopathy so corporations capitalism politics they all seem to you know yeah

yeah so there's there's a great documentary okay and i highly recommend everyone watches called The Corporation okay um it was put out like many years ago but it's a great documentary um and it really it really makes a strong argument that corporations are by their nature psychopaths they have absolutely no for the well -being of human beings for the environment they're all driven by a thirst for profit no matter the cost and so to climb up in the corporation you need to be a psychopath because the corporation itself is a psychopath so you have to manifest the drive of that corporation if you want to succeed um so that not not that framework not only applies to corporations but you think about it also applies to politics and that really is a consequence of living in a mass society right because my society it is actually a recent innovation and you can make the argument

that not society it is really not natural right because remember uh for most of our lives we lived in small bands small societies whether it's religious villages where we knew each other okay and in that sort of situation you can actually very quickly identify the psychopath and then ostracize that psychopath right because the main tool of punishment for most of human history was actually not execution but actually actually banishment from society right so if someone was displaying psychopathic tendencies it was very easy to identify because he was hurting too many people he was lying too much he was backstabbing too many people and because you live in a close -knit close -knit community everyone knew this right away and then the only only response was to banish that person from your society and and in that world if you were banished you basically died right um so that i think is a natural way of

doing things but in my society but in a mass society where it's not human beings that are in control but actually um corporations and bureaucracies then it's psychopaths who are best equipped to climb bureaucracies right because to come a bureaucracy then you need a certain um secretive mentality that's able to lie to others to deceive others and to manipulate others right and psychopaths are best equipped to do that so that's why uh if you look at the world uh we're all run by it's all run by psychopaths like every one of them it's a cycle like that person is a psychopath i don't care if you like that person you know but that person is a psychopath barack obama charismatic great psychopath okay sorry bill clinton charismatic really nice guy psychopath and look just look at how they behave okay it's psychopathic behavior and like like listen the reality is you just do you just

do some check on checks on this guy people around them die all the time all right it's i mean like like it's common knowledge i mean like like like just just do a body count on on the clintons like how many people around them have died mysteriously right it's quite a few

um yeah so great follow -up from that question from uh at future uh mlb uh they say uh so are we stuck with psychopaths leading everything is

there is there any hope um yeah i mean i mean there's a direct correlation between mass society okay how how large society is and how far psychopaths rise okay i i think in a small society wherever knows each other and like you know examples will be these northern countries uh where everyone knows each other like they literally everyone knows each other right they they i mean like um you go to iceland i mean like oh my god they're all re they're all interrelated right um these societies um can't screen out psychopaths but if you look at these huge societies like america china um france um it's much easier for psychopaths to rise um so i think there is an optimal limit to society i think having like those are people around you know people around us that are not uh that are not as good as you think they are um so i think the

solution is that it's not good for the human race um so i think the solution will naturally appear where you know um over the next few decades because of climate change because of global conflict uh because of civil discontent because of economic collapse like like for millions of reasons you're gonna have massive population decline um and once you have massive population decline then societies will be forced to be much more compassionate much more reasonable and much more responsible for the resilient, much more intellectual, and this process will start to screen out psychopaths, okay? So, I mean, like, it's not a pleasant process, but I think it's a natural process, okay? And, like, the religious among us will say, this is the Great Flood. This is, because we refuse to repent, and so God has come down and punished us in order to redeem the world, okay? But I believe that, given the overall structure of

the world we live in, there are lots of contradictions, there are lots of conflicts, and these conflicts and contradictions will have to resolve themselves violently over time. It won't be pleasant, okay? But in this process, I think that as a species, as a people, we humans will learn to become much more compassionate towards each other, because that's really the only salvation, compassion towards each other.

Interesting.

I have another question. This was touched on in chat, whoever mentioned this. I don't know if you asked your own question again, or this is a coincidence. From Discord user Ed Vask, he says, could generalized environmental collapse in the near or midterm, you know, 30 years from now, semi -random number, play a big role on everyone's plans for the world?

Yeah, I think climate change, environmental collapse, it's going to happen a lot faster than people expect. I think the big issue that's going to drive a lot of geopolitical conflict is water scarcity. In the Western world, water scarcity isn't really thought of as a problem. But if you live in Asia, where I live, water scarcity is a huge problem. If climate change is really an issue, is a problem india china southeast asia they don't have access to water um and that's going to drive geopolitical climate i mean like just look at a map of southeast asia right you look at india southeast asia china they all get their water source first water source from one place which is the tibetan plateau um you know that's so so what if china because it's facing drought issues it's right it decides to damn rivers right well if it does that then guess what southeast asia will have

no access to water right so um it's a nightmare scenario um but but i think the big issue driving the world a global conflict for the next 500 years will be water scarcity not oil i think it'll be water um and let's listen the other thing is that if you look at human history even without um human interference right even without the global conflict about industrial production you have climate change okay and each time you have climate change um basically called like little ice ages you have tremendous social upheaval you have tremendous migration you have wars okay so all these things are interrelated climate change war migration um disease all these it's a perfect storm okay and we're moving towards that perfect storm and there's really no way for us to avoid it um even without um it industrial pollution about our interference like the club is going to change right and when the climate

changes um like the world right now has over almost eight billion people um we can't sustain eight billion people if this climate change if if if certain food sources water sources become depleted then then like there's massive migration massive migration causes wars okay so um yeah i mean like like i'm sorry to say this but but but climate change it is a fact of human history um and each time you have climate change you're gonna have massive social upheaval wars civil wars revolutions discontent i mean like you and like this is a repeated pattern you go to you go to 1848 this um the year of violent revolution well what it came about because of climate change it claimed it came about because of these droughts happening throughout europe 1848 you go back to i mean it it's it's a pretty consistent pattern i mean like

like that's that's all i'm saying okay so you think you know the climate has had such adverse effects on the international system you know uh forever things like drought famine mass migration uh so all of this is just going to accelerate and exacerbate yeah yeah

um i i mean like like like it's gonna happen but what we've done is really accelerated the timeline quite uh like by quite a bit so um i mean like like look at wildfires right i mean i mean these wildfires were unimaginable but like they're so common now throughout the world um and these wildfires have tremendous ecological um consequences to them uh as as well so i'm in canada your united states wildfires are just everywhere nowadays and they're common occurrences you look at these heat waves i mean this was unimaginable when i was growing up in toronto you know i'm in toronto now and like the weather grew up to like 40 degrees celsius i don't know what that's inferred but that's just insane i mean like you know 28 degrees celsius was considered pretty hot in toronto when i was growing up i mean i was like 40 and like so so i think

like these heat waves these in these wildfires to become much more um commonplace much more pervasive and much more detrimental and like there's really no nothing that we can do about this right now

yeah that's that's particularly depressing because up until about uh three o 'clock today i was i was smelling smoke i was going outside the region that i'm in is it was very affected by those wildfires yeah so uh great question was also talked about in chat a little bit uh you know are you familiar with peter teal curtis jarvin kind of the dark enlightenment you know the the mission that they have to create like a new usa yeah i know the word techno feudal was thrown out a lot yeah you do you

have a response that's a great question yeah um peter teal is a really smart guy i have to say that he's a really really smart guy and he's so strategic i mean i i think he was a competitive of chess player when when he was young okay but he's so strategic and what he's able to do is anticipate the future okay so he's an investor okay so he's not trying to change the future he's trying to ride the future okay there's a difference and um and you know back in 2016 he was one of the one of the um early uh backers of trump like like and now he he's backing uh uh jd vance so um what's really important for us to understand is that an investor he's not actually controlling these people he just thinks that these people will be the is the future so that's why he's investing in the future so

um so for peter peter teal what he believes is religion is the future okay this is key religion is the future this idea of this uh multicultural enlightenment liberal state it's dead um it's sort of shocking that i was able to survive for this long but it's dead uh it's gonna die very quickly so what's gonna replace it well what do you think is gonna replace it is possibly a combination of religion okay basically christianity okay or catholic christianity um techno funeral feudalism in a monarchy okay so so that's that that's how he's perceiving uh the future of america and as an investor he wants to be he wants to ride that wave okay because he's very rich and he wants to maintain his wealth and if you if you happen to be on the wrong side uh if you bet wrong then then you could end up dead okay because because i mean like

a revolution is coming come in america so he's betting like whoever wins will implement a techno feudal artificial intelligence um monarchy that is heavily religious think think um um um headman's tail okay i mean like like like like that's prophetic i mean like when marco atwood wrote the headman's tail i mean handmade so i could see that easily happening in america in 10 20 years 30 years time okay i can easily see that see after civil war they implement this uh very rigid um religious uh theocracy in in america so so i think peter thiel is a really smart guy and he's and he's made so many smart bets right i mean like 2016 he bet on trump um that was really smart he i mean like he's a billionaire he he has access to like so much information um so peter thiel is a really smart guy you really want to watch you really

want to watch his moves if he's betting on jd vance it's because he sees jd vance having a really bright future i don't think jd vance is a creature of peter thiel i think they're independent of each other but i think jd vance is also a really smart guy who's able to anticipate the future remember this jd vance recently converted to a the catholic religion okay that's really important guys okay remember this catholic religion okay because what jd vance is thinking himself is if there is a civil war if there is a religious struggle who's gonna uh emerge on top well probably the church with the most resources with the best organization with like thousands of years of of history behind it okay so so this this alliance between jd vance and catholic church i think it's much more important than the lines events and peter thiel peter thiel is just a really strategic investor

who wants to protect his his wealth um kritish yarwin um he's a bit of a clown actually um his essays his ideas they're not convincing but you need that sort of person to test the waters right uh you need someone to say you know we need a monarchy trump trump could be monarchy he's the one who is helping you test the waters figure out what what what what public sentiment is and how to better control manipulate public opinion okay so curtis jarwin i mean like again he's not he's not that impressive but like jd vance and peter thiel definitely are very impressive they definitely want to implement um a religious society um and technology will be a very important part of this new framework okay um ai will be a very important part of part of this religious regime because ai can give the impression of god it can create the artifice of of god

ai itself is not it's not that effective but it's good at manipulating people into believing that god does exist and that the answers are right in in front of them so they see ai as a very important component of this religious theocracy that they plan to create um so so so that that's how i see things okay but like again peter thiel you don't want to bet against peter thiel um he's made all the right right moves he's all made all the right bets you you basically want okay so so i would pay a lot of attention to peter thiel um everyone else carter curtis

jarwin they're a bit of a bit of a distraction actually interesting we wow that sparked a lot

of discussion in the chat feature um i suppose what one of the most um significant threads that's that's going on here is all about um civil conflict in america so i'm not actually familiar with your views on whether a civil conflict in america's is is possible or desirable or what kind of outcome it could be um so what what what are your what are your thoughts yeah so

another big prediction that i've made in the past is that america is headed towards the second civil war um but unlike the first of all i mean the first civil wars clear like like the um opponents north south and there was a clear agenda um and once the north won the war would be the war was basically over right um in the second american civil war it would be much more decentralized uh it would be much more chaotic uh it would involve political assassinations it will involve civil unrest it would involve um secession maybe california san francisco succeeds um so so it would be a much more long drawn -out process and all the ingredients are their force of a war because um as i said in my lecture um you have a breakdown in narrative which is like the understanding of what america is um and so the left and right their understanding of

america it's not it uh it's not we can sellable you cannot kind of come to compromise i mean like the left sees a global multicultural vision for america the right sees america as as much more insular and much more religious you cannot resolve this conflict so it can only lead to um civil conflict another thing that i said that was very important is a breakdown of authority uh before people had their faith in the media or in institutions or in like science or universities but now um all these institutions are perceived as heavily partisan right so the universities science uh the media are considered hotbeds of liberalism of the global liberal order right so no one actually trusts these um institutions anymore especially after covert i i think covert did a lot in destroying public faith in experts uh and institutions um um and then what i also said is that by its nature america

is a heavily military society i mean like the amount of military hardware that these police officers have is just incredible they have like tanks man they have like um humvees um it i mean like legally it's just crazy how militarized american society is so it's possible for you know um a conflict to arise in california somewhere and like they're using like like you know tanks against each other so so so but what's really important to understand is even though the ingredients are in place you still need people behind the scenes manipulating events in order to drive a civil war i mean you're you're you're you're you're you're you're you're you're you're you're you need local factions in in in place and i think like these political factions are slowly emerging okay um you know who would benefit from a civil war why would they want civil war um so so i think um what's happening

in washington dc right now you have a lot of conflicts between trump um and uh his opponents um so so so so there are some vested interests very powerful people who want to provoke violence in order to achieve certain political ends and and and so i i i just think just a lot of structural forces are in place for a civil conflict in america so so my

my follow -up question from that would be like you know we've seen we've seen a lot of unprecedented uh you know events that look like steps towards armed conflict they look like the battle lines are being drawn like trump is going to win the war against america and he's going to win the war against federalize the california national guard um yeah two mixed results under you know very shaky pretenses um yeah where how do we know when the battle lines have been drawn what is kind of the match that sets off a lot of the unrest in america you know are are is is what we're seeing now a component of that directly or are we further out yeah we're so far

now okay um i think there are going to be two major events that precipitate the civil war that really like the fuse okay i think if trump sends in ground troops in against iran that is going to cause a lot of civil uh protests uh um eventually if it's a ground invasion they might bring in a draft uh and and so you have these vietnam uh protests but i think what will really uh ignite the civil war is the next election 2028. 2028 um i think that will be a heavily contested election um look look trump wants his third term and i don't know how he'll do it but i think there'll be a lot of cheating i think there'll be a lot of um um violence involved surrounding the 2028 uh election if if if i had to guess um what would be the spark i think it would just be the 2028 election

and it's entirely possible okay like there's so much cheating like and there's so much disputes like we don't actually have the results um so so so so i think that's um a major that'd be the major catalyst um and that's what i said in my uh previous video but right now what i'm seeing is almost an acceleration of events right because you have these ice rates going on and these ice rates are going to create a lot of conflict as well because you have these century city sanctuary cities like san francisco new york boston whatever okay but they're not going to like just agree to this happening you're you're going to have some resistance um so um i i really said 2028 would be the major catalyst uh the disputed election of 2028 but you know the midters are coming up next next year november next year and that's going to be also be like

heavily disputed uh um as well so um so things are happening a lot faster than i expect but right now i if i have to guess i would say 2028 would would be the major catalyst but it's

possible you know things accelerate much more quickly than i anticipate uh this question comes

from facet in chat well i'll read your i'll read your comment and then i'll i'll turn it into a question um they say quality of life has decreased i assume they mean in america but it's also true globally to some extent and people uh more and more know the new president new leaders doesn't make it better uh you know there's been this kind of wave of anti -incumbency where it's really bad to be in government because everything is getting worse uh but it's also you know and it's really easy to be outside of the government um blowing the whistle banging pots and pans together um how does this anti -incumbency trend play out and uh what what can be done you know to remedy this

politically yeah i don't think it's actually an anti -incumbency trend i think it's just an anti -establishment trend uh anti -political establishment trend right where people have they're like the politics is a rigged game i mean like um like every four years in in in america and every like like like like but like these election cycles in democracies like you're given like two candidates or three candidates and like they all represent the same interests right so like who honestly who cares um it like honestly if like kamala harris were in power would she be different than like donald trump policy wise uh probably not i mean like you know i mean like you still have this conflict in the middle east you would you probably would still have some ice raids going on um so i i you know i i think people have reached the point where they're just exhausted by politics 2016 i

think people were excited there was definitely an anti -incumbency trend in 2016 uh bernie sanders uh on the left donald trump on the right right there was excitement on that um but nowadays i mean after eight years people have just given up they're like what's the difference i mean i mean i mean who cares who's in power like my life still sucks and um so so so i think there's just incredible frustration incredible disillusionment and um i think there's going to be an increasing withdrawal from politics and that's dangerous because if you do that then um these political interests can just get away with a lot more crap right so um it's it i mean i mean it doesn't look good um i mean it's it it's i feel the natural trend is towards more disengagement um disillusionment disenchantment with the political system and um this indifference is going to manifest itself in different ways

um but violence is definitely like like you know in in uh in the cards right now okay so it's so so i would say it's not any competency i say it's just anti -political establishment

Excellent.

We've got this question a few times um let it be known that i don't necessarily agree with the assumptions of this question but this has been posted a few times um and i don't want to be like you know an ideological filter for the for the questions i don't feel washed in my body think that's my role uh charizard 1969 says america has perfected instilling ideologies of liberalism and stark individualism into its people causing a mass movement away from a sense of greater good what systems of thought have brought the ability to enlighten us towards a sense of compassion and community is the spread of these ideologies feasible yeah that's actually a great

question um it's something i've been thinking a lot about so um i think like this american idea of liberalism has actually conquered the world because i live in china and clearly um um chinese do buy into this american sense of liberalism especially young people um and you know you know i mean like the the geopolitical term for this is soft power i think in terms of like soft power america is dominant um but this sort of like liberal hegemony has created this like backlash all around the world okay so you look at russia um i'm not sure if you guys know who alexander dugan is d -u -g -i -n okay but but he is a very influential philosopher in uh in russia and he he is able to express um a lot of ideas um um um um that really clarify the problems with western liberalism and um he argues exactly that he argues

that western liberalism has led to a cult of the self it's it's left to extreme selfishness it's it's it's led to extreme consumerism um and it's led to sort of like anti -civilizational tendencies like like the celebration of homosexuality to the celebration of trans -genderism okay i'm not agreeing with him but i'm saying what he's saying and what's really important is for a lot of people this is extremely appealing right um um you know he's able to articulate a very cogent very forceful critique of american liberalism and the question confronting liberals um is how do you save the project of liberalism because i think uh marketplace is as Because it's brought a lot of good in the world. How do you say the project liberalism, yet at the same time respond to these very powerful critiques of the project of liberalism? And I think that you need a fundamental restructuring of liberalism that brings in compassion and community.

Because right now, there's an overemphasis on individuality. Now, you could argue like, you know, without individuality, liberalism is nothing. I mean, like, like, you know, individual individualism is at the core of liberalism. And if that were the case, then I don't think liberalism survives. I think like the very idea of the individual, it is a modern concept that is just really weird. You know, I spent an entire year teaching human history. And I grew up in the West. I was educated in the West. And I have a lot of Western values. So I always believe like the individual, individuality. I mean, it's a sacred value. But after I did like the entire span of human history, after I looked at the entire span of human history, I recognized that, you know what? This is a really strange idea. How you're able to live in the world. So by consideration for your community, how you're able to put your own self -interest above that of your community.

Because like, because like historically, you're nothing about your community. You're nothing. You can't do anything about your community. You couldn't survive. And you and like you found meaning in being able to contribute to your community. So I think that if Western civilization is to survive and offer a powerful critique, a powerful response to its critics. It needs to return to the ideas of community and compassion. Because otherwise, OK, because otherwise, if you don't do that, then you leave the entire intellectual sphere to Peter Thiel and Curtis Yarvin, OK? Because they have the ideas. And so that's that's the really the dilemma facing modern liberals today. How do you present a response to this very powerful critique? And the issue, and this is a really important issue, is right now, liberals refuse to acknowledge this critique. OK, they refuse to acknowledge that Peter Thiel and Alexander Dugan have legitimate arguments.

They refuse to debate like Peter Thiel, Curtis Yarvin and Alexander Dugan. If you don't do that, then you will lose the debate because they're presenting ideas and you're not. You're just hiding, hiding your head in the sand. So, so, so I think this is the major dilemma facing Western liberalism today.

Yeah, it really seems. And, you know, you can see this in kind of how American liberalism has been discarded. You know, it's been tossed aside by so many Americans in favor of like, you know, borderline fascistic ideas of like national renewal that invoke the mid 20th century. But adjusted for, you know, post -modernity, you know, is there that, you know, if we knew the answer to this question, we wouldn't we wouldn't be having this conversation at all. But how do you how can liberals approach the problem? Is there a solution? Is there like an inkling of a solution?

Yeah, I OK, this is my solution. OK, and like, I'm not sure if people will buy this. OK, but I think liberalism has to acknowledge that it is part and parcel of Western civilization. OK, so like, let's give up this globalization crap. Like, like, like, seriously, let's give up multiculturalism. Let's give up globalization. Let's just focus on Western civilization. Let's just say like liberalism is at the heart and center of what it means to be a civilization. OK, I mean, like. Like, like, you have to address this issue. Like, who are we as the West? And it can't be like this. Like, OK, we're open borders. We're DEI. Because this is not going to sell. I mean, like, you need a you need an idea that brings both together and DEI, open borders, multiculturalism. It's going to drive people apart like global. I mean, so, I mean, I think liberalism has to be like we believe in the fundamental values of Western civilization.

And we are going to defend Western civilization to, you know, we're going to defend and promote Western civilization. And that has to be at the heart and center of of liberalism. OK, make education about edging people in the merits of Western civilization. Let's teach Homer, let's teach Dante, let's let's let's see Shakespeare. OK, like, let's just throw them out. Let's bring them back. OK. Let's make this the heart and center of Western civilization. And that, I think, would be appealing. But I mean, like you, you have to go up against the entire superstructure of modern liberalism to do that. Right. Because like DEI is so and multiculturalism is so embedded in universities and it's disappointing. It really is. And again, I say this as someone who really appreciates Western civilization, Western civilization has done a lot of good in the past. And I think we're going to see a lot of great stuff in the world.

But, you know, by destroying the substance of Western civilization, which is like the classics. Right. Which is like debate, free inquiry. You've hollowed it out. You have to bring this stuff back. You really do. You have to you have to emphasize free debate, inquiry of of of of mine. I mean, like you have to bring back, you know, John Stuart Mill, basically. Right. Right. And unfortunately, these past 20 years of DEI, of war politics, it's really destroyed. It's hollowed out, basically liberalism and it's just a hollow shell. Right. And so, I mean, like like like that would be the ideal solution. And that's then that would save Western civilization and bring people together. OK. And look, I mean, like, honestly, immigrants want to be part of Western civilization. That's why they immigrate in the first place, because they believe in the values. Of the West. Right.

So. So, yeah. So. So, but again, I don't know how feasible this idea is, given the current politics of the universities of the education system of the liberal global elite. Yeah.

Yeah. So some follow up questions in chat and I'll kind of put my own spin on it because I'm curious as well. So in terms of, you know, a lot of people are asking about. You know, multiculturalism is bad way, what or something like that in the chat, I don't think that's exactly what you said, but, you know, kind of kind of how did we how did we get here and how, you know, specifically like my my gripe and the answer to the question, you know, my my question is more like we've spent the last. 40 years globalizing at this tremendous rate, there is no such thing as a national economy anymore unless you're talking about North Korea. You know, everyone is is kind of in this this club of of global liberal trade that tolerates a political center. And that has left lasting impressions on especially here in the West. But.

Also, all across the world, you know, diasporic communities all across the world, multiculturalism, you know, on the whole has made, you know, it's it's really proliferated, but it does work in a lot of parts of the world. There are, you know, some American cities where there is very effective multiculturalism. In in in my opinion, very integrated societies. So so, you know, what do you what do you do about that? Because if you want to reject multiculturalism, but you already live in in such a diverse world, how do you approach that that quagmire?

I think every society, every community, it is it is to thrive, it is to be that dynamic. It needs a story. It needs a narrative. It's a history. And that's what matters. Like people are part of this community. If they buy into this narrative, if they buy into this history, they find the idea of what it means to be part of this community, it doesn't matter what your ethnicity is, doesn't matter where you're from. If you come into this community and you buy into the history and you buy into the narrative, then you're automatically a member of this community. That's what I think would be the ideal form. Of multiculturalism. And you know what? Look for centuries, America was that right for centuries. Like if you came to America, you became an American because you believe in the Constitution, because you believe that America because you believe in American dream, you have all these narratives that you that that you became American if you bought into.

And now it's it's not like that. It's it's it's like you come to America, you come to Canada, it's like, oh, feel free to keep your culture, feel free to keep your history and your narrative, because we welcome that. We want to be diverse. When you do that, then your community loses a sense of itself. And then people don't aren't able to work together coherently. People people don't have a sense of meaning, people don't have a sense of purpose. So I think that's the issue. Multiculturalism is fine. Immigration is great. It made America the most powerful country in the world, obviously. But you need a coherent mythology to bind people together. And that's what America has lost.

Okay. Excuse me. It's nothing to do with the mission of multiculturalism is all about this kind of enemy, this kind of chaos that's been created in so many nations. Yeah. Yeah. You know, as a as an educator, as a teacher, relate a lot of this. Back to the global institution of education as as like a problem, but also a path to solution.

Yeah.

I mean, like, I mean, I just say this, but I've been really dismayed by how education has developed around the world. I think education is first and foremost about exposure. Yeah. It's about exposing students to great ideas, great books, great thinkers. When you do that, like it just works out perfectly. Okay. But now education, it's really about not offending people. Right. Like, like, you know, like, like, like, and I know this because I'm a teacher in China and my brother is actually a teacher in Canada. And when he went to teach college, he was taught to be sensitive, to be politically sensitive about different backgrounds. Yeah. And so that constrain his ability to ask penetrating questions that can strain his ability to introduce students to great ideas that constrain his ability to construct a debate in the classroom. So So I think that's what what was destroyed this, like, like, Globalism means you have to be accepting of all cultures.

So So So I think that's what what what's destroyed this like, like, like, Globalism means you have to be accepting of all cultures, and you have, you don't want to offend any culture, but in general, I think that's the key. But the only way you can not offend any culture is by not having your own culture. And when you do that, then you disintegrate the capacity for people to integrate together. You disintegrate the capacity for people to be coherent together, to build a community. And I think that's the net effect of globalization these past 20 years.

Sorry, there have been a few follow -ups. I'm trying to find one that fits. Right. A lot of people are talking about Europe.

This question here from Mr. Experiment says, there's a growing bureaucratic bloat and stagnation in the European Union. I was wondering how this could possibly be stopped.

Yeah.

This question.

Yeah, it's the same issue in Canada, same issue in China. You have a bureaucracy that's out of control. It's expanding. But it's the net effect. It's the net effect of globalization. It's the net effect of these DEI policies of trying to create a multicultural state in order to sustain a multicultural state. If you lose that narrative that binds people together, then you need to create a superstructure in order to bind people together artificially. And that means a bureaucracy. That's why you have this huge bureaucracy in Europe, because these nationalities have actually no business together. And they have a tremendous hatred historically. The only way to bind them together is through an artificial bureaucracy. Same in Canada, where Canada prides itself on being multicultural. And that necessitates a big brother bureaucracy. So, you know, so so bureaucracies are a natural byproduct of a lack of of coherent narrative that binds that binds community together.

OK, well, that was all of the questions that I had and selected for you. If you'd like to do a couple more, I have like a, you know, another list that we set into 10 o 'clock.

So maybe we'll end at like nine fifty five to and then you can make some closing remarks and we can talk about next steps. But of course, we're going to nine fifty five.

Yeah. So just, you know, two. So, you know, we're going to take a couple more minutes to chat because we've got about 12 minutes left here while we're on this train of thought.

Are there any other questions? Let's see. Oh, man, that's a lot of questions.

That is a lot.

Yeah. So don't worry, this is going to be the regular thing. OK, so so so this is great for me because it's helping me think much more deeply. And I have a better sense of like the community, what you're interested in that will help me make better videos. But but yeah, this will become a regular thing. So so we don't do all the other questions tonight.

OK, I think they submitted this question via the form to OK, this is from Discord user Blunt. My question is, can the Christian Zionists in America and the state of Israel be considered one single powerful player in terms of game theory? If yes, how do they coordinate their actions and what are some major pointers where they? You know, what are some major points where they disagree?

Yeah, Christian Zionists and Zionists are not the same thing, like like they're very different. Right. Right now they're helping each other because they're trying to they're trying to reach a similar situation. Right. So the Christian Zionists, they want and the Zionists both want to create the greater Israel project. But ultimately, after the greater issue project is created, then their interests diverge. So Christian Zionists. I mean, like, I mean, I just say this, but like they believe that when Jesus returns, he like like a third of Jews will convert, a third will be killed and a third will be damned for all return. I mean, like, like it's not pleasant. OK, I mean, like what Christian Zionists believe is not very pleasant. So there's almost like a contempt among Christian Zionists for for. Jews and the feeling, I think, is reciprocated. I mean, it's mutual. So they're allies only for short duration. I mean, eventually their interests are going to diverge.

What's important for us to understand is both the Zionists and the Christian Zionists want a ground war in Iran. And that's why I think that you will have a ground war in Iran. Because. These are two powerful factions that are promoting the same that's the same end. But after this war in Iran happens, then you'll probably start to see divergence in their in in their interests. You know, Israel wants to create the an empire. If you create an empire, then you want a certain stability in the Middle East. But if you're a Christian Zionist, you want complete chaos. You want destruction. You want war because you want Jesus to return. Right. So I think after the ground invasion in Iran, you will see a sharp divergence between the Zionists and the Christian Zionists. In theory, the Christian Zionists are much more powerful because they're embedded in American institutions of power.

The CIA, the Pentagon, they're very powerful. But at the same time. The Zionists are much more strategic because they know how the Christian Zionists will play the game. So so so I'm sure the Zionists have some counter strategies. What these counter strategies are, we won't know until after the invasion of Iran.

Excellent.

So I wanted to save this question for the last because it was so highly requested. I'll read one from the Discord user Johnson44. Five, who says, I started reading seeing like a state for your recommendation. Are there other books you recommend for expanding understanding of geo slash domestic politics? And, you know, what people have been saying in chat consistently throughout this talk is, you know, do you have a reading list? Do you have several recommendations?

Yeah, I mean, okay, so. That's a great question. And a lot of people have asked me this. They want a reading list. The problem is, like, I read so much and my interests are so diverse, so eclectic that it's really hard for me to formulate a reading list for the community. I mean, like, like if like for an individual, like if I met that individual and we talked and that person has a certain interest and I can clearly, you know, very easily create it, create a reading list for that. Um. For that person. But like, like this community is very eclectic. I mean, like, like people are here for different reasons. Like some people are here for my geo strategy series. Some people are here for my civilization series and they want philosophy. They want history. So I mean, like, it's really hard for me to come up with like a specific reading list for the entire community.

But what I will do is I will start a sub stack like next month and my sub stack. They'll. Like, like there'll be different articles with, like, different, like, reading lists, so it'd be great if you can subscribe to the to the sub stack if you if you can't afford it or you have problems with payment, just just just call out me over Twitter or LinkedIn and I'll give you a subscription. It doesn't really matter. Okay, but but but that'll be my main platform for, like, reading recommendations. Sub stack. Okay, geopolitically, one person that I highly recommend is Robert D. Kaplan. Um. And, you know, there are a lot of things I don't agree with, but he is such a broad thinker about geopolitics, and he's been doing it for a long time. So, you know, when I was much younger, I read Robert D. Kaplan religiously, especially his Atlantic articles. You can access his Atlantic articles do so because they're really insightful.

They give you they teach you how to think about geopolitics in a much more broad, interconnected way than. Um. Than other thinkers.

So so that's my recommendation. Robert D. Kaplan. Excellent. People are already linking that and Atlantic webpage.

You know what? This is another great question to meditate on at the end of our two hour session here. Discord user Apple Apple says, Can there ever be peace or will humans eventually always opt for war? And what reasons could be for war? For either development?

Um, that's a great question. Um, like when you if you watch my civilization series, I make the argument that, you know, for us to be human history, we were peaceful. Okay, um, war is a is a new construct, and it came about for very specific reasons. Um, so I don't think we are a violent species. Um, I think we're peaceful, but the thing is, and this is really important, is that we are first and foremost religious. And when I mean religious, I mean, like, we need to. Seek meaning in our lives. We need to tell stories that help us help us understand the world that we live in. That's why eschatologies, especially Christian Zionists, it's so powerful and appealing because it tells you where the world is headed. It tells you your role in it. It tells you how the world ends. Okay. I mean, it gives completion to our lives. So if we're able

to come up with stories and narratives that bind us as a species, then we'll be peaceful. I mean, like, you know, if if if if we're able to come up with stories, ideas that tell us that we're also one people, it doesn't matter if you're Chinese or Russian or Brazilian, we're just one people. And we're all here from a common purpose, which is to seek creativity, which is and through creativity, we can be with God. If we have these narratives, then we will be peaceful. But instead, we have these narratives that cause war. For example. Let's the the the the narrative of the nation state. Okay. Once you have the idea of a nation state, then all other nation states are enemies. And the idea of a nation state is a recent construct. Okay. You have the idea of monotheism, you know, we're saying saying this, like the world is what we imagine it to be.

Okay. We have the capacity to construct a world in which we all get along. But in order to achieve this, we need to construct new ideas. That are able to counterbalance or negate the existing ideas like nation state and Christian Zionism and whatever that caused us to go to war. And so that's a project that we that we are confronted with. Can we as a species construct a narrative that gives people meaning and which unites and unifies us as a people for a common purpose?

Hegel thought history ended with me. The nation state, you know. Well, obviously wrong. Yeah. Yeah. Carl Jung. Yeah. Well, all right.

We have a couple of minutes here. Are there any last minute thoughts, comments, questions?

Oh, yeah. I like this question.

Professor, my question is, if Israel and the US invade Iran, will Turkey be next?

Um, you know, I I'm going to pass on this question because I don't know enough about Turkey. I don't know about the I don't know, know enough about the internal politics. Um, but I mean, like, I think this Iran thing is going to be a quagmire for the Americans. And I mean, the work can go on for like 20 years with no results. I mean, like, so I don't think America gets past Iran. I think I think I think America invades Iran. The American empire is dead. I mean, like, like, it's just finished. Um, evidence just gives gives up on it. So, yeah.

Interesting. So Iran is going to kind of be like, you know, a bridge for the Americans. They're never going to be able to get anything done in the region after they've failed to invade Iran.

Well, I mean, they're forced out of the region because of, like, civil discontent. There's a civil war going on in the United States, so they're forced to retreat. Right.

Hmm.

Okay. I just found that question particularly interesting because Turkey is currently a NATO member and is an ally of the United States and not really Israel, but definitely the United States.

Right. So, I mean, my last video, I said that NATO and Putin will fight in Odessa and Turkey will be drawn into the war on behalf of NATO. And this will cause a revolution in Turkey, which will cause its internal demise. Um, I think Turkey is a lot more unstable than people believe.

Hmm. Hmm.

Yeah.

Well, we are here at 9.56 EST. I guess we can move into a little bit of a debrief, like you said.

Yep. Yeah.

Thank you, everyone, for your questions. Like it's been said throughout this session, this is the first of... first of many, hopefully. Um, and we really appreciate you, you know, the moderation team and I, uh, especially, um, really appreciate your, your patience and all of your awesome, awesome questions. So, yeah, any more, uh, any more thoughts, questions, concerns?

Yeah. Well, I mean, I mean, like, let's give a big hand, uh, to Jake and his team for, for putting this together. I didn't know work. I just showed up and I started talking. So thanks so much, Jake. Um, and also like a big shout out to Max, um, who's not here, but, but hopefully he'll be able to join us in, uh, in, in future live streams. But, but again, I mean, like, I really enjoyed today. I mean, you guys are great. You ask great questions. Um, thank you for listening to me, like ramble on for like two hours. It was a lot of fun for me. I mean, like, I hope to make this a regular thing and I hope that, um, in the future we can go actually a lot deeper, uh, in the future we can have actually have more honest members participate with their thoughts. And, um, and, and we, we

can go like really do some deep dives on, on certain topics like today was a much more general ask me anything like, you know, you know, broad strokes, but in the future, um, you know, let's, let, let, let's bring in the expertise of the entire community and let's bring it and, you know, like, like, like, you know, let's really try to workshop certain ideas, uh, because I know nothing about Turkey. So I'm, and I'm sure there are lots of people who know a lot more about Turkey than I do. So like, you know, bring, bring in your ideas. Like, you know, let's, I mean, like, you know, let's, let's, let's hear, hear, hear, hear your thoughts. Okay. So, so I, I hope, I hope in the future we can do much more deep dives on certain topics, but, but I think I thought today went really well. So thanks so much to, to, to Jake

for organizing this, for being a fantastic moderator and like, let's, let's plan on doing this again in two weeks time. Um, does that make sense, Jake? Yeah, of course.

Yeah. Um, we'll schedule the precise. Date and time, um, you know, much of the mod team is here, but we'll, we'll make announcements. Uh, we can, we can list these events, uh, before they happen on like a calendar. So we'll, we'll take care of all that. Yeah.

Um, and, um, in the future we'll, um, you know, we'll, we'll, we'll record, um, everything. So if people can't make it, then, then we'll upload it to YouTube or, or, or something. So, so, so you, you can, you can. You can keep track, but I think what's really important is that we're, we're learning together as a community. So, so we're building on top of each live stream. Um, you know, we're, we're learning together as a community. We're, we're trying to explore topics as a community and we're helping each other learn and grow together. So thank you so much to everyone. Thank you so much to Jake. Um, um, if I final words, Jake, before we sign off.

Well, uh, no, not too much. Just, just thank you so much. Um, I, I want to remind. Everyone that at the beginning of this call, we did hit the viewer cap and we asked you guys to pitch in with your, uh, boosts. I don't know how many we needed, but, uh, apparently it was quite a few and we shattered it. Uh, you guys make this forum awesome. You, you really made it happen tonight. And I, I look forward to, uh, reprising this role as a, as a moderator in the future. Thank you guys so much. Okay. Thanks so much, Jake.

Thanks community.

Okay. See you next time. Have a nice night.