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Proximity Games

Aliases: nearest game, domestic payoff, factional game, local incentive game.

Fast answer: Proximity games name Jiang’s game-theory correction that the nearest payoff can govern the visible geopolitical move. A war, scandal, alliance, or threat may look international while actually rewarding a domestic faction, elite coalition, bureaucracy, election machine, or status group.

The term grows out of Jiang’s larger game theory method: identify players, rules, incentives, and real rewards. Proximity games add one recurring result. The actor may not be maximizing the public objective. It may be winning a nearer game inside the party, state, bureaucracy, or elite class.

That does not make geopolitics fake. It means the visible board can be downstream of a smaller board that is more urgent to the people making decisions.

SourceTimestamp / refWhat to inspectWhy it matters
2026-03-19, The Nearest War Winsvideo:predictive-history-noqqgy4boby@transcript:v1#seg-0013, #seg-0015, #seg-0016The nearest game governsDirect concept source.
2025-11-24, When the West Loses Energy, Capital Looks for Pax Judaicavideo:interview-gssim9xnrae@transcript:v1#seg-0010, #seg-0011Domestic faction payoffsElite game extension.
2025-12-31, History Becomes Power When Imagination Collapsesvideo:interview-mcjno0xrly8@transcript:v1#seg-0077, #seg-0078Internal elite conflictWider application.

Use this term when a public conflict seems too self-damaging unless a nearer factional payoff is named.

Do not use it to dismiss material strategy; use it to ask which game is closest to the decision-maker.