---
title: "Game Theory #15:  The Return of History transcript"
description: "Source-synced transcript archive for Game Theory #15: The Return of History."
source_title: "Game Theory #15:  The Return of History"
published_at: "2026-03-24"
source_class: "episode"
public_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript/"
markdown_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript.md"
text_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript.txt"
source_url: "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ"
data_url: "https://jianglens.com/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq.json"
---

# Game Theory #15:  The Return of History transcript

- Source: [Game Theory #15:  The Return of History](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ)
- Published: 2026-03-24, day precision
- Human transcript page: [/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript/](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript/)
- Episode page: [/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/)
- Transcript Markdown: [/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript.md)
- Transcript text: [/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript.txt](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript.txt)
- Episode JSON: [/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq.json](https://jianglens.com/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq.json)

## Transcript

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=0s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=0s)

When the Berlin Wall fell, there was an American State Department official named Francis Fukuyama. And he wrote a very influential essay called The End of History. And for decades, capitalism was in a struggle with communism. And in his essay, Fukuyama argued that with the triumph of capitalism, we've come to the end of history. Meaning, we now know what humanity most strives for, which is a liberal consumer democracy. Where people feel empowered to have the freedom to buy whatever they want. And this, for him, was the end of history. And for him, was the apex of human civilization. And this creates what is called the unipolar moment. Where America is the global hegemon. And it creates a world that is heavily globalized, capitalistic, and very individualistic. And this is a very unique moment in human history. And we've come, with this one Iran, to the end of this moment. So let me first explain the three major characteristics of this unipolar moment.

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=90s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=90s)

The first is what I call Pax Americana. Where American power, American military might, guarantee peace in the entire world. And this is unique in human history. Where for the first time, there was a power that was able to dominate the entire globe. And America was able to do so through three mechanisms. The first is, of course, its military power. But specifically, aerial supremacy. Which is backed up by special forces and the CIA. So the CIA was able to infiltrate every single government in the world. And identify who would be loyal to the American empire. And then promote this person. If there were individuals that challenged the American empire, these people were demoted or eliminated. Nations that proved problematic, for example, maybe Syria or Libya. Special forces went in to sabotage the economy. And then aerial power went in to destroy the government. And so this created Pax Americana. Now what's good about this is that it did bring peace to very problematic regions.

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=172s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=172s)

For example, in East Asia, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, China, Vietnam did not compete against each other. They just participated in global economy. Which brought tremendous wealth and prosperity to the East Asia region. This is true also in Europe and South America as well. So aerial supremacy. Then you have something called surveillance. And basically what I mean by that is the internet. So whether or not, the internet was created not to actually help you communicate. And to watch pornography. It was actually to have a mass surveillance system over the entire human population. So that the Pentagon, the military knew exactly the vibe or the culture, the attitudes, the emotions of each region. And through social media. Through mechanisms such as Facebook and Twitter. They were able to manipulate certain emotions. So the second mechanism is mass surveillance. Through the popularization of the internet.

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=246s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=246s)

And the third is what we call the rules -based international order. And what this means is American power hid behind multilateral organizations such as the United Nations. Such as the World Bank. Such as the World Trade Organization. And so people didn't notice that the American empire was dominating everything. They believed that the world was fair and just. And through logic and reason and debate, they could present their case. So for the longest time, this Pax Americana provided peace and stability to the world. Which brought tremendous prosperity. Alright, so that's number one. Number two is the supremacy of science. So for most of human history, people were religious. They believed in gods. But with the rise of Pax Americana, science became the dominant religion of the whole world. Alright, so the last example is COVID. COVID was raging across the world. And then they used vaccines. Now, I teach critical thinking skills. So when I first heard about vaccines, I was a bit skeptical.

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=337s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=337s)

I said to my friends who are Chinese and American. I said, you know, vaccines used to take about 10 years to develop. And that's when the virus is stable. And they've been around for centuries. But this COVID is constantly mutating. And they haven't done enough trial research. So is it really safe to take these vaccines? And whether they were Chinese or American, their response was the same. Which is, how dare you question science? You are a peasant. Have you gone to school? Have you no culture? Can you not think?

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=380s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=380s)

Okay.

### 6:21 seg-0007

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=381s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=381s)

And this shows you how science has become the new religion of the world. And if you think about it, the scientists that run the world, they're actually transnational priests. Okay? And science is an international brotherhood. Where if you're a scientist in China, you're not actually loyal to China. You're actually loyal to the international order of science. Because that's how you get promoted, right? You get published in Nature or Science. If you win an award, a Nobel Prize, that's how you get rewarded. Okay? So you're better off being loyal to the brotherhood of science. Rather than your own nation state. And of course, it is the American empire that controls science. And the third unique aspect of the Unipolar moment is, of course, the universality of the U.S. dollar. And it's an incredible thing to think about where just a piece of paper, you think it's gold. You think there's value in it. And not just you, but everyone around you.

### 7:24 seg-0008

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=444s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=444s)

So that if you take your U.S. dollars, you can go anywhere in the world. And buy yourself a villa. Or enjoy a nice vacation. Or fly around. But not only that, but you aspire in life to accumulate as much U.S. dollars as possible. Right? Is there really a difference between a hundred million dollars and a hundred billion dollars? There's actually no difference. You can't spend it. But you want to achieve as much as possible. And as a result, you focus your entire life on accumulating as much as possible. Okay? So these are the three main pillars of the Unipolar moment. And again, in the beginning, which was maybe the early 90s, this led to tremendous peace and prosperity throughout the world. The problem, though, is that over time, these three pillars started to decay. Right? So Pax Americana started to itself ignore the rules based on natural order.

### 8:28 seg-0009

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Which it self -created. Right? So America started to bomb countries such as Libya and Syria about international approval. Most recently, it went to attack Iran without even asking for the opinion of the world. Without even caring what the world thought. Okay? So this leads to the idea of hubris. Maybe the first generation appreciates the importance of collaboration. Of consensus. But the second generation, their children, are arrogant. They have hubris. They want to enjoy their power. Okay? So that's problem one. Supremacy of science, religion, basically becomes a religion in itself. Orthodoxy. So that science does not become the main engine of innovation in the world. It becomes the main engine of orthodoxy or suppression. And that's why for the past 20, 30 years, we've seen very little in terms of technological innovation. Don't tell me Silicon Valley is the center of innovation in the world. Okay? All they do is make food delivery apps. It's been a long time since we've seen massive innovation in the world.

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What we've seen these past 20, 30 years is the scaling out, the popularization of innovation. Right? Where American technology is spread throughout the world. Especially in China. But we have not seen actually major innovation in science itself. All right? And the third thing, the university of the US dollar leads to printing dollars. Okay? Or just basically corruption. Where because America is able to print as much US dollars as it wants to fund its corruption, it does so. Okay? So the US dollar has lessened. Okay? So the US dollar has lessened in value. And what this means is basically it's made inequality worse. It's made corruption worse. It's made people very lazy. Because if you're a young person, you're like, you know what? No matter how hard I work, I'm still screwed in the end. Because the boomers, the older generation, have so much more money than I do.

### 10:48 seg-0011

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I can never catch up. So I refuse to play this game. Either I refuse to play this game, so I quite quit, you know, comping, lie flat, or I gamble. I pray that if I put a million dollars in Bitcoin, it'll go up to 10 million dollars. Or the stock market, or sports betting. Okay? That's why in America, gambling has become so popular. All right? So this has led to today, basically. All right? So we shouldn't see this war against Iran as just a decision of one person, Donald Trump. Or the mass nations of our country, Israel. Really, this war in Iran is happening because we've come to the end of the unipolar moment. Because the American empire has become corrupt, self -indulgent, lazy, arrogant. All right? So with the end of the American empire, with the end of Pax Americana, we are shifting towards a new world. And this new world...

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Some will survive, most will not. Okay? And this is true throughout history where whenever it declines and the world order is shifting, where there's a paradigm shift, people are forced to make a hard choice of either adapt or die. All right? So let me show you how the world needs to change if it is to survive. Basically, what has happened is we have to move from an emphasis on efficiency to... Resilience. Okay? That is the main goal in the future. Today, it's really about how to make things as cheap as possible and get it to as many people as quickly as possible to make as much money as possible. Okay? The idea of efficiency. To make as much profit as possible. The idea of resilience is to appreciate that there will be a series of crises. And what you need to do is... Focus on adapting and surviving these crises. Okay?

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So for a nation, for a community to survive in the future, there has to be three major changes. And if you're able to make these three major changes, you will survive. If you do not make these changes, you will be eliminated. Okay? You will be survival of the fittest. All right. So the first thing you need to do is move from materialism to spirituality. Right now, the entire world, these nation states, have convinced the population what matters is your material well -being. If you are driving a car, if you have a house, if you have enough food to eat, then you should shut up and obey because you are doing a good job. Okay? But in the future, governments can't do that because there's not enough resources to go around. They will... So typically, government has to make you believe that what matters is your happiness, your well -being, your spirituality. And that usually means a renewed focus on religion.

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Okay? That's the first thing. Second thing is to move from a system of individuality to community and family. All right. And what this means is today what you're taught in school, what you're taught in society is what matters is you, me, okay? The ego. If it's doing well for me, it's good. I don't actually care about other people. In the future, you have to focus on building community, on helping others. Okay? And the last major shift is from the old to the young. Okay? And this is very simple. And this is actually the hardest thing to do. Which is like today, most countries, especially the wealthy Western industrial nations, are controlled by the baby boomers, the elderly, the gerontocracy. They have all the money, they have all the power, but for society to thrive in the future, this power needs to shift to a younger generation. Ideally, maybe in their 30s. Okay?

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The younger, the better. And you think this is easy to do. It's not. Because first of all, these baby boomers have access to the best healthcare in the world, they have a lot of money, and they really enjoy living. And they're also really selfish. Okay? So this is actually the hardest problem to solve for most Western societies. How do you transfer power from the old to the young? And quite honestly, historically, we've never, ever faced this problem before. Never. Because the old simply don't live that long. Okay? Now, baby boomers are living to at least 100 years old. So they have another 20 years ahead of them in power. Meanwhile, the young cannot develop the experience and the expertise in order to lead the nation. So whichever nation actually has to figure out this problem first, how do you get the old and give power to the young, then will most likely thrive in the new world that's coming?

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And if you were to ask me which nation would most likely achieve this first, I would say Japan. And the reason is very simple. Because Japan, in Japan, this problem is the most present. They are the eldest population, they have the oldest population in the world. And so they need to resolve this issue really, really quickly. Okay? And maybe in the next five, 10 years. And I think that Japan will actually resolve this issue. But it may be the only nation that's able to resolve this issue because it's so difficult. You love your grandparents. Do you want to see your grandparents die? Of course not. Okay? You're going against human biological nature. All right. Okay. All right. So that's the main argument I want to make you today. Okay? So what we're going to do now is we're going to look at how the world should transform because of what's happening in the historical moves.

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Because of this war in Japan. Okay? All right. So basically we're in a new world because our world today is built entirely, entirely on access to cheap petroleum products, cheap energy. Right? Why are you allowed to be in school learning from me rather than the fields farming? Because of energy. Right? Because of oil from the Middle East. Your computer is based on what? Petroleum. This camera that's filming me is based on what? Petroleum. This pen? Petroleum. This clothing? Petroleum. The medicine you eat? Petroleum. The food that you eat comes from fertilizers, which is based also on petroleum. So basically everything in this room, everything in the world is based on cheap petroleum. The entire global economy, the main foundation is cheap petroleum. So what happens in a world where petroleum is a luxury? The prices are cheap. Well, now you need a massive rebalancing in the world. The other thing about the world is this is the GCC countries.

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Okay? The Middle East countries. And as you can see, this is really important to see is around the year 2005, they started to have massive, massive accounts of oil. Meaning there was so much oil, they couldn't really spend all their money. Do you guys know why? Why was this happening? What happened in 2005, 2004 that made these countries extremely wealthy? All right, China. Okay? Think about it. What's China doing? Well, China in the 80s and 90s was putting factories, right? But then China set up this accounts surplus. So now China wants to develop its industrial base, right? And how do you do that? By importing oil from the GCC, right? And that's why we have these skyscrapers, these malls, these roads, okay? Because China was able to import all this cheap oil from the GCC. And then the GCC would take this money, okay, and then invest it back into the American stock market.

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But not just that, but they would invest it in Africa. They would invest it in infrastructure. So for the longest time, the Chinese economy and the GCC are the two main pillars of the entire global economy, okay? And what this means is that if the GCC no longer is able to export oil, this is going to have a major impact on China. And together, the two are going to have a major impact on the global economy, okay? Basically, the global economy is dead. All right. Okay. So the other thing that you may not be aware of is today, flying around the world, it's very simple to do. What we're going to do now is get our mobiles out, go to the website, and look at where we're going to fly to, and then book that flight for tonight. Pay using a credit card, take a taxi to the airport, get on a flight, and we're there the next morning.

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That's really, really impressive. Guess what, guys? You couldn't do this 20 years ago. Okay? The technology was around, but it was not widely available. Now, look at this, where the entire world is interconnected, okay? This is a pretty stark chart, where in 1950, it was considered a tremendous luxury to fly. You had to be a millionaire, basically, to want to fly for vacation, okay? Everyone else just drove their car. Now, it's like anyone can drive. It's like anyone can drive. And again, this happened just in the past, basically, 30, 40 years. And this, of course, is because of Pax Americana, where Pax Americana will guarantee there's no conflict in the world, and therefore, planes can just fly around. Otherwise, you'd be shut down. Okay? All right. Well, this world is coming to an end. In the future, flights will be very expensive. And vacations will be unaffordable.

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Okay? All right. This is the Internet, guys. Now, you don't know this. You think that the Internet is just that you go on the computer, and then, boom, the Internet is there. No, actually, the Internet is undersea's cables that connect the entire world. And unfortunately, there's a war going on right here, guys. And unfortunately, it's really easy for Iran to cut off the undersea's cables, which would lead to internet disruption for maybe 20, 30 % of the world. Okay? Northern Africa, India, the Middle East, maybe parts of Europe will lose Internet access. You think, okay, well, that's fine. They just won't watch Netflix anymore. No, guys. Okay? The entire world economy is based off the cloud. So, if you want to bank, if you want, basically, finance. Okay? This is going to have a huge impact in the world. And this is going to happen any time. Where, for whatever reason, there's

### 23:11 seg-0022

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a war going on, and a circle moves, some cables get cut off, and then, suddenly, you've lost Internet access. And this would, basically, cause major disruptions throughout the world. All right. Okay. So, one thing that you notice about this world is the sheer amount of population growth, where after World War II, because of Pax Americana. You see a massive boom in population. And, unfortunately, this is not sustainable. It is not possible for the planet to sustain 8 billion people, many of whom want to fly around the world twice a year, who want to drive an SUV, who want to have food, who want avocados. Every single day. They want to have, like, cherries every single day. Okay? So, this population growth is not sustainable. And, basically, what happens is this. When you are too off balance, when there's a correction, the correction is pretty extreme. Okay? So, this chart by itself, the fact that we

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have so many people, means, like, if there's a crisis, the population will see a massive shrink. Okay? You're like, okay, how? And, the answer is food scarcity. Food is not, is today, pretty common. But, food is based on global trade. Okay? So, let me show you what I mean by this. All right. So, this, the yellow, okay, are places that need fertilizer to grow food. Meaning, their land is not good for farming. So, they need fertilizer to grow food. They also have a large population. And, as you can see, a lot of this is based in Africa, and maybe Central Asia, and parts of South America. Ammonia is, here I'll call it, produced from oil, petroleum, that is fundamental for fertilizers. And, as you can see, this is mainly in the north of the world. And, what allows for 8 billion people is to grow food. It's a fact that the north is able to export fertilizer to the south.

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And, that's it, guys. You understand? If this were to stop for the reason, people in the south would be in a lot of trouble. All right? So, as you can see, this trade in fertilizer is what sustains a global population of 8 billion people. Again, if there's a, there's a, there's a, there's a, there's a, there's a, there's a disruption to this trade, the people in the south are in a lot of trouble. All right. So, if you're in the green, you're okay. Okay? But, if you are in the red, you, you are in a lot of trouble. Okay? You are in a lot of trouble if you are, if you are in the red. But, honestly, if you are not in the green, you can still grow. But, if you are in the green, you are in a lot of trouble because, again, what we're looking for is resilience.

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The idea of efficiency is, let's imagine the best case scenario and try to make as much money out of it as possible. Okay? The idea of resilience is, let's imagine the worst case scenario and see if you can survive it. Basically, if you are, if you have food security issues, you are facing a massive problem. Okay? Because, again, we're imagining the worst case scenario. And, again, I have to say this. But, if you're not in the green, you should be worried right now. Okay? And, where's China? Not in the green, guys. Okay? It's something that national leaders in the world have to start thinking about right now. Food scarcity. All right. Water. Again, the countries that suffer from food scarcity, some of them also suffer from food scarcity. Okay? Sorry. From water scarcity. Okay? All right. Forget this. All right. Okay? So, basically, this area is in a lot of trouble. I would say that water is far more problematic than food.

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And, again, I have to say this, but if you are any country here, what's going on here? If you're any country in this area, okay, you should be worried. Freedom is a very important issue because freedom is actually important for resilience issues. Okay? And, what this means is that when there's a crisis, leaders and the population need to collectively make sacrifices. But, when there's very little freedom, meaning there's very little transparency and accountability, where the public don't have access to the leadership, then the leadership could possibly make selfish, self -defeating decisions. And, the public is not involved. And, therefore, the public refuses to make sacrifices necessary in order to make the nation survive. Okay? And, so, this leads to conflict around the world. And, again, countries that suffer the most from food issues and water issues also are most likely... Most likely to come into conflict with other people.

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Okay? So, this is a map of nations at war. The red means that they are at war. Okay? And, you can see Africa in the Middle East is especially under a lot of conflict and a lot of stress. While, at the same time, you're suffering from food scarcity and water issues. All right? So, what you will see... Sorry. Another issue I want to bring up is the idea of megacities. And, the idea of megacities is any cities that have over 10 million people. And, you think, wow, like, megacities are amazing because you have, like, shopping malls and you have, like, skyscrapers. That's great. No, no, no, guys. Megacities are really bad. Okay? Megacities should not exist. They exist because of globalization. Because what megacities do is they're able to bring in a lot of people, have them specialize in a particular area, make it industrial, and then export it to the rest of the world.

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Okay? And, where are most megacities located? Well, they're located in India and in China. There's a problem because India and China both suffer from food and water issues. If you are to be resilient, you actually want more food. So, you want to make sure your population, not in cities, but in the countryside, is growing food. Because, first of all, they are self -sufficient. Second of all, you will have a food supply. Unfortunately, right now, China imports a quarter of its food. And, also, remember, food also requires energy to grow, right? So, China imports 75 % of its oil. This brings up the question of how resilient is China. Okay? But, not just China. But, also, any big oil. country with a mega city or too many mega cities india um specifically will face problems in the future again if you're a national leader you should be worried right now okay all right so with

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this war and disruptions to global trade we should expect massive instability in nations that are not very resilient okay they have very little freedom that have food issues and which have water issues okay and so you would see revolutions you would see wars you would see famines which leads to what which leads to massive migration okay and so these are trends these are migration trends that we're already seeing where people from africa middle east are moving to europe and people from um south america and latin america are moving to the united states okay and we should expect these trends to not only continue but to accelerate by maybe a hundred times okay and you figure yourself okay well what europe and north america can do is just build walls right they should right now build a wall because you're going to see a massive influx of refugees due to food and water and unfortunately europe

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and north america have a huge problem and the problem of course is aging okay so in 2020 the countries in purple are countries that have a significant elderly population and this is 2050 where the entire northern hemisphere will have um an certificate elderly population the North the industrial economies are aging very rapidly which means their only option is to bring in cheap desperate workers from the South who are fleeing public zones in order to run their economies right the problem is of this of course is that this will lead to cultural conflict with the local populations native populations will feel they're being replaced by these refugees and these immigrants and this will probably lead to you so a conflict within North America and within Europe okay and unfortunately there's really no way around this issue because the elderly are in control and they want people to mow their lawns. They want people to nourish them.

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They want people to deliver food to them. And unfortunately, young people don't have to do that because their parents have money. So the way we're around this issue is like importing cheap immigrant labor. With the end of Pax Americana, what you will see emerge is regional trading blocks. Basically, the idea of mercantilism, okay? Mercantilism. And for most of you in history, this was what we did, where there was no one power that controlled the entire world. What happened was that maybe you had a local hegemon, which guaranteed trade among its allies, okay? And you didn't trade with other people. You only traded within your regional trading block. And that's the world we're heading back towards, okay? So this is a map of the 16th century, 17th century, where you have these mercantile empires, like the British, the Portuguese, the French, the Spanish, and they have their own trade networks. And they refuse to work with each other, but the system worked fine, okay?

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It was more expensive, it was not so convenient, but it still works. So this does not mean the end of global trade, it just means much more limited global trade, all right? Another thing that you will notice about the Asian economies is slaves, slaves were a very important part of the trade. And the reason why is this. You need energy to run society. Today we use oil. Back then, they used human beings, right? You can no longer have access to cheap oil. What you do is, you enslave. You enslave people. And that's the way, historically, we've done things. All right? Okay. So the last thing I want to talk about is religion. Because remember, the idea of resilience is, you need people to focus more on spirituality and less on materialism, because if you focus on materialism, they're likely getting worse and worse, okay?

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So you need to cause a national spiritual rejuvenation in your country. And if you are, in the gray, you might have issues, okay? Why? Because your people are not religious and too materialistic. And unfortunately, East Asia, okay, Japan, China, Korea, Vietnam, are especially non -religious. That's going to be a problem for them in the future, okay? All right. So let's just summarize what we've learned so far. So let's just summarize what we've learned so far. What are some major trends that we should expect over the next 10, 20 years? Again, I just say this, all right? If you really believe that next week, Donald Trump and Iran are going to come to a peace agreement, if you believe that maybe in five, six months, both Iran and the United States will exhaust themselves, the global economy will suffer too much, and then they'll just stop the war, and things will go back to normal, I don't know what to tell you, okay?

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You're living in a fantasy world. You have to wake up and recognize that this is the end of the unipolar moment. We're moving towards a new world. And you can either choose to adapt to this new world or you will die. It's that simple, all right? So massive trend is deindustrialization and deorganization, where people in the cities will have to move back to the countryside, especially young people, okay? They have to learn, like, real skills. No more, you know, no more cryptocurrency trading for you guys, okay? Learn how to milk a cow or kill a chicken or grow food, whatever, okay? But just do something useful for your life. Nationalism and remilitarization is very important where you have to get young people willing to fight and defend your land, okay? And that means getting them to believe that your nation deserves to be strong. So whichever nations are most ready, most

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able to excite their young population into fighting wars will be the ones who will be most resilient. Mercantile systems, basically independent trading blocks. Resource wars is a very big thing, okay? Famines, genocides, slavery. So remember, for most of the human history, humans were the cheap energy. If you don't have access to cheap oil, well, then you're gonna enslave human beings, all right? This is not a pretty future, but it is a future that could happen, and you have to mentally prepare yourself for this possibility, okay? Mass migration, where people in the South are most likely to suffer from resource wars over water and food and people, so they escape and escape to Europe and of America, okay? Revolution, civil wars, political instability in America and in Europe because the big rumors refuse to retire from the sea, and these are 80 populations, massive inequality, massive corruption, massive silency, and so this will lead to caught chaos in the streets, okay?

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Religion is a big thing. If you are not religious, I actually recommend looking into the possibility of developing a religion, okay? It's been very useful for what's gonna happen later on. These are things I will talk about more in the future, okay? But I will bring them up now. Like, how do I see the world in 10, 20 years' time, all right? So I will say this. I think that there will be eventually an alliance between Russia and Germany in Europe. Maybe for the next 5, 10 years, Germany and Russia will go to war against each other, but eventually what the two will figure out is they are better off actually working together than fighting against each other, okay? You have Pax Judaica. Remember, the entire point of this war in Iran, from Israel's perspective, is to knock out America from the Middle East and establish itself as the local hegemon, and then it becomes Pax Judaica, okay?

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So I think Israel will come to dominate the Middle East. But then you're like, what about Iran? And like, I know this is hard to understand, but if the United States were to lead the scene and Israel and Iran had to go to war against each other, what would happen is they would say, why? Because Israel is like, I don't want Persia. And then Iran is like, I don't want Israel. And Israel has nuclear weapons. So they would agree to split the Middle East up where Iran controls the Jaffa Moose and Israel controls the Labat, right? Historically, actually, the Israelis, the Jewish people, they hated the Greeks, they hated the Romans, but they actually probably had the Persians. So there's this history going back where Persians and Jews actually get along very well. And in fact, in the Middle East, the place outside Israel, where the largest Jewish population is, Iran.

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And they're very well treated there. So I don't see why, if America were to lead the scene, why could Israel and Iran come to a mutually satisfactory agreement that benefits both nations. Japan. Again, I think the major problem facing all Western industrial nations is the aging crisis. What do you do with these people who are 90 years old? They can't get out of the house. Their brains aren't really functioning properly, but they still control all the money, all the power, and they're extremely influential. What do you do? Well, in most countries, you can't do anything about it. But Japan is a very special country where the elderly have more obligation to the nation, to the people. So it could be a situation where Japan is in a lot of trouble and the elderly voluntarily choose to exit power and give it to the young. Alright? But I think Japan is the only nation that would do this voluntarily.

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Every other nation, basically, there has to be wars in order for the young to arrive to power. Alright. The American Holy Empire. The nation that is most capable of surviving the next few decades of tribulation, of crisis, is America. Why is America? It's so incredibly, incredibly wealthy. Okay? It's protected by two oceans. It really controls Canada and Mexico. So think of America as not just the continent of America, but really as the entire North American and Latin American. Okay? That entire sphere is basically America. So it has unlimited resources. It has unlimited population. And also America, the Americans are the most creative, the most entrepreneurial, the most energetic people in the world. So I wouldn't bet against America. Alright? But what I think will happen is that America will need a new identity in order to survive the age of tribulation. They will go from past -Judea, sorry,

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past -Americana, which is a secular, global idea, to one that is much more nationalistic, that is more focused on community and nation. That means embracing Christianity. Okay? And I think that Christianity is what will be the force that will rebuild America after the many crises America will face over the next few years. The last thing that will happen is techno -martialism. Okay? Where nations that have the resources want to institute an AI surveillance state to better marshal the limited resources, basically to better control its people. And it's something we'll talk about later on. Okay? But basically, you will have this sharp division of people in different classes. Where at the very top you have freedom, but people at the very bottom become slaves or serfs. Right? Okay. So that is it for trends I see in the future. Again, I can say this, but you have to give the illusion that this war will end

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soon, and that once this war ends, then we'll go back to the things before this war. Okay? No, the world hasn't really changed. We're not going back to the old world. We're going to a new world. And what this new world will look like is something that we can choose to control. Okay? All right, any questions? All right.

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So about the new world, so the relationships between countries will all be changed, such as China and Japan, and, you know, those five big countries will the orders be changed?

### 47:24 seg-0043

- Speaker: SPEAKER_01
- Source ref: `video:predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq@transcript:v1#seg-0043`
- Transcript segment: [https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript/#seg-0043](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript/#seg-0043)
- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=2844s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=2844s)

Okay. All right. So the best way to understand the geopolitical situation is that it's constantly in flux. It's constantly dynamic, okay? Meaning you cannot easily divide nation -states into enemies anymore. Their alliances will constantly shift over time. And the nation -state system will also break apart into much more resilient communities. It's possible that nation -states become a series of city -states. Okay? So basically think about the world in maybe the 1930s or maybe even China during the war on states period. Okay? Basically, I can't tell you that we'll go to a new world and then this is what it will look like. No. It will constantly change over time. Okay? Allies will constantly shift over time. It's possible that in the beginning in East Asia, maybe Vietnam, Japan, South Korea, United States, Russia combine to contain China because they see China as the hegemon. But then they're like, wait a minute here. Japan's rising in power.

### 48:44 seg-0044

- Speaker: SPEAKER_01
- Source ref: `video:predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq@transcript:v1#seg-0044`
- Transcript segment: [https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript/#seg-0044](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-zaer-mqe7tq/transcript/#seg-0044)
- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=2924s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAer-Mqe7tQ&t=2924s)

So let's combine against Japan. Okay? It's a dynamic situation. But basically, what you have to understand is that everything that you've been taught in school, everything that you understand about the world, everything you believe about to be true about the world will change. And so you have to open your mind and be ready for constant political flux. Okay? Does that make sense? All right. Any more questions guys? All right. So now that we've looked at the world ahead for the next 10, 20, 50 years, who knows how long, what I'll do in the next class is examine how this war between the United States and Iran will eventually end.