---
title: "Collapse Is Engineered"
description: "The boom-bust cycle is stripped of innocence. Money is a collective hallucination, interest rates are commands to banks, and collapse happens when powerful."
source_title: "Game Theory #17:  The Great Reset"
published_at: "2026-03-31"
source_class: "episode"
public_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/"
markdown_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md"
text_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.txt"
transcript_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/"
transcript_markdown_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript.md"
transcript_text_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript.txt"
data_url: "https://jianglens.com/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.json"
source_url: "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo"
---

# Collapse Is Engineered

> The boom-bust cycle is stripped of innocence. Money is a collective hallucination, interest rates are commands to banks, and collapse happens when powerful actors can make more money by breaking the system than by letting it continue.

- Source: [Game Theory #17:  The Great Reset](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo)
- Published: 2026-03-31, day precision
- Human episode page: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/)
- Episode Markdown: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)
- Episode text: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.txt](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.txt)
- Transcript page: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/)
- Transcript Markdown: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript.md)
- Transcript text: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript.txt](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript.txt)
- Episode JSON with transcript segments: [/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.json](https://jianglens.com/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.json)

## Thesis

The lecture turns the Great Reset into a financial succession story. First comes the mechanism: banks create liquidity, central banks signal when to release it, and crashes are engineered when collapse becomes more profitable than continuity. Then comes the genealogy: the Bank of England, materialism, the Federal Reserve, 2008, BIS, and China all become stages in transnational capital learning how to move the center of gravity. China was supposed to receive it but would not accept the full burden of empire. So the next option is Israel, and the exit from America requires a sudden crisis that lets capital leave rich, buy distressed assets, and call the pain renewal.

## Core Reading

The ordinary story says capitalism has seasons. A boom gets overheated, optimism becomes delusion, gravity returns, and the bubble pops. Jiang begins by refusing that weather report. The real question is not that bubbles fall, but who benefits when they fall now rather than later. Money is already an idea, a collective hallucination sustained by banks that create liquidity. Interest rates are not just consumer advice; they are coordination signals to banks. If the people controlling liquidity can make more by collapsing the system than by rolling losses forward, then collapse is not an accident. It is an operation.

Sources: [0:00 seg-0001](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0001) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=0s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0001`; [1:16 seg-0002](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0002) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=76s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0002`; [3:16 seg-0004](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0004) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=196s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0004`; [3:31 seg-0005](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0005) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=211s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0005`; [4:33 seg-0006](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0006) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=273s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0006`; [5:44 seg-0007](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0007) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=344s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0007`; [6:52 seg-0008](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0008) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=412s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0008`; [34:59 seg-0032](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0032) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2099s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0032`

## In This Episode

- [00:00-07:52](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=0s) - Not Gravity: The lecture starts by replacing the natural boom-bust model with an engineered-collapse model.
- [07:52-17:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=472s) - Who Runs The Game: The financial system becomes a cave: finance sets the game while institutions and culture make it look fair.
- [17:14-27:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1034s) - Money Is God: The Bank of England system needs not only debt and war but a philosophy that makes money feel like reality itself.
- [27:06-40:36](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1626s) - Profit From Collapse: The 2008 crisis becomes the miniature: the system could roll losses forward, but some actors make more by forcing default.
- [40:36-52:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2437s) - China Was Not Enough: BIS shifts the world toward China through exchange rates, but China will not become the hegemon, so the next option is Israel.
- [52:59-58:22](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3179s) - The Parasites Leave: The closing claim is brutal: a sudden American collapse may hurt badly, but it lets transnational capital exit, buy assets, and relocate to Israel.

## Quotable Evidence From This Reading

These cards connect the compressed reading to exact source coordinates. Use the summary and related lens links as the interpretive map; use the transcript and video links when quoting or attributing claims to Jiang.

1. Core Reading
   Quote: "today i want to look at how the global economy will collapse specifically how the u.s economy will collapse because of this..."
   Transcript: [0:00 seg-0001](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0001-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=0s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=0s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0001`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)
   Related lens: [Jiang Lens Atlas](https://jianglens.com/docs/lens.md)

2. Core Reading
   Quote: "and resilient so think of you know gaining weight okay you gain too much weight and then you feel bad so then..."
   Transcript: [1:16 seg-0002](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0002-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=76s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=76s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0002`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

3. Not Gravity: The alternate mechanism starts with the bank.
   Quote: "Okay, so again, this is a science book. It's a set explanation for why there's a bubble burst, because it's delusional, and..."
   Transcript: [3:31 seg-0005](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0005-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=211s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=211s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0005`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

4. Not Gravity: That is why the interest-rate lesson flips.
   Quote: "are thousands tens of thousands of banks everywhere so how do they know how to coordinate together okay and this is something..."
   Transcript: [5:44 seg-0007](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0007-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=344s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=344s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0007`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

5. Who Runs The Game: The lecture then zooms out into the cave.
   Quote: "make sense okay so these are two very curious aspects of this system that people don't really understand so in order to..."
   Transcript: [7:52 seg-0009](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0009-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=472s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=472s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0009`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

6. Who Runs The Game: The strangest sentence is also the most useful: transnational capital is both parasite and host, game master and player.
   Quote: "no one's fault it's just like we were too lazy and corrupt okay all right so certain things to remember about the..."
   Transcript: [11:05 seg-0012](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0012-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=665s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=665s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0012`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

7. Who Runs The Game: The origin story begins in 1688 and 1694.
   Quote: "Britain that's been called the glorious revolution think of the glorious revolution as a marriage between two empires the British Empire and..."
   Transcript: [13:43 seg-0014](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0014-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=823s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=823s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0014`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

8. Money Is God: War is not a moral failure in this model; it is the required activity.
   Quote: "okay the first is the idea of um profits are privatized losses are socialized if you're a rich person in the world..."
   Transcript: [16:09 seg-0016](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0016-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=969s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=969s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0016`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

9. Money Is God: Jiang calls that theology materialism, or money is God.
   Quote: "that this is an unfair system which it is right so now you have to brainwash the people into believing this is..."
   Transcript: [18:31 seg-0018](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0018-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1111s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1111s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0018`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

10. Money Is God: Then the system crosses the Atlantic.
   Quote: "The problem is that the Americans just had a revolution to get rid of the British Empire, right? So the Americans don't..."
   Transcript: [23:20 seg-0022](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0022-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1400s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1400s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0022`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

11. Money Is God: The Bank of England system needs not only debt and war but a philosophy that makes money feel like reality itself.
   Quote: "are the British Empire start to expand very quickly around the world because it needed to generate profits for the bankers okay..."
   Transcript: [17:14 seg-0017](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0017-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1034s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1034s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0017`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

12. Profit From Collapse: Subprime begins with a noble cover and a structural permission.
   Quote: "Okay? But there are certain things that happen to make subprime happen. Okay? So, the first thing is that Bill Clinton, he..."
   Transcript: [27:06 seg-0025](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0025-chunk-001)
   Video: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1626s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1626s)
   Source ref: `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0025`
   Episode reading: [/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.md)

## Reading

### Not Gravity

Time: 00:00-07:52
Summary: The lecture starts by replacing the natural boom-bust model with an engineered-collapse model.

The target is the comforting metaphor. Economics says bubbles pop because people fly too high and gravity brings them down. The quoted Sorkin passage gives the clean version: optimism becomes a drug or religion, people lose risk judgment, and bad ideas pass for good ones. Jiang accepts that this is the official explanation, then uses it as the decoy. Gravity explains the mood of a bubble. It does not explain the trigger.

Sources: [0:00 seg-0001](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0001) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=0s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0001`; [1:16 seg-0002](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0002) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=76s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0002`; [2:43 seg-0003](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0003) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=163s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0003`; [3:16 seg-0004](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0004) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=196s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0004`; [3:31 seg-0005](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0005) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=211s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0005`

The alternate mechanism starts with the bank. A bank takes in a million dollars, lends it out, and somehow the system now has two million. The point is not the classroom arithmetic but the ontology: money is an idea, a concept, a collective hallucination. A bank is a liquidity machine. Once that is visible, the central bank is no longer merely a technocratic stabilizer. It is a coordination device for thousands of banks.

Sources: [3:31 seg-0005](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0005) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=211s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0005`; [4:33 seg-0006](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0006) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=273s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0006`; [5:44 seg-0007](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0007) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=344s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0007`

That is why the interest-rate lesson flips. The textbook says rates guide homeowners: borrow when money is cheap, stop when it is expensive. Jiang says the real signal is aimed at banks. Low rates tell them to release liquidity; high rates tell them to restrict it. The consumer is the visible shadow on the wall. The bank is the actor receiving the command.

Sources: [5:44 seg-0007](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0007) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=344s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0007`; [6:52 seg-0008](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0008) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=412s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0008`

### Who Runs The Game

Time: 07:52-17:14
Summary: The financial system becomes a cave: finance sets the game while institutions and culture make it look fair.

The lecture then zooms out into the cave. People watch the public screen: WTO, UN, fair rules, transparent institutions, media, education, culture. Behind that screen are the game masters: BIS, World Bank, IMF, Wall Street, the City of London, and the dollar flows they coordinate. The system has to make collapse look like nature or laziness, because if collapse looks engineered the game no longer feels fair.

Sources: [7:52 seg-0009](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0009) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=472s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0009`; [8:52 seg-0010](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0010) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=532s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0010`; [9:57 seg-0011](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0011) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=597s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0011`; [11:05 seg-0012](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0012) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=665s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0012`

The strangest sentence is also the most useful: transnational capital is both parasite and host, game master and player. It feeds on the system and is also the system’s body. That makes corruption structural, not incidental. Nationalism, religion, social democracy, individual rights, and ethnic identity are counterforces; intelligence, crime, science, secret societies, elite families, and the occult are named as the hidden methods for keeping the order together.

Sources: [11:05 seg-0012](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0012) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=665s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0012`; [12:25 seg-0013](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0013) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=745s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0013`

The origin story begins in 1688 and 1694. Dutch wealth needs English security; England becomes the island host for a private bank that lends to Parliament rather than a mortal king. That innovation lets private finance own the upside while the nation absorbs the loss. Profits are privatized, losses socialized, and war becomes the activity that makes capital grow.

Sources: [13:43 seg-0014](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0014) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=823s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0014`; [14:51 seg-0015](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0015) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=891s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0015`; [16:09 seg-0016](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0016) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=969s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0016`

### Money Is God

Time: 17:14-27:06
Summary: The Bank of England system needs not only debt and war but a philosophy that makes money feel like reality itself.

War is not a moral failure in this model; it is the required activity. The British Empire expands because money lent to the nation-state must become more money. Transnationalism follows: capital must move where it wants, and systems must be built to let it move. But the people living under this arrangement can see that it is unfair, so the system needs a theology.

Sources: [16:09 seg-0016](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0016) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=969s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0016`; [17:14 seg-0017](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0017) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1034s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0017`; [18:31 seg-0018](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0018) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1111s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0018`

Jiang calls that theology materialism, or money is God. Locke turns property into a sacred right. Hume makes knowledge custom and habit. Bentham and Mill make pleasure the measure. Marx keeps the conflict but removes the divine. Darwin and Freud flatten human beings into animals, appetite, and sex. The details are rough, but the motion is clear: the divine gets evacuated and money becomes the remaining absolute.

Sources: [18:31 seg-0018](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0018) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1111s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0018`; [19:44 seg-0019](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0019) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1184s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0019`; [21:01 seg-0020](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0020) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1261s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0020`; [22:10 seg-0021](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0021) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1330s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0021`

Then the system crosses the Atlantic. America does not want the Bank of England, so transnational capital uses industrial agents: Rockefeller, Carnegie, J.P. Morgan, Vanderbilt. The Federal Reserve becomes the Bank-of-England model on American soil. After that come World War I, 1929, depression, World War II, the Cold War, the unipolar moment, manufacturing moving to China, and America becoming finance first. That is the road to 2008.

Sources: [23:20 seg-0022](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0022) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1400s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0022`; [24:37 seg-0023](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0023) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1477s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0023`; [26:04 seg-0024](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0024) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1564s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0024`

### Profit From Collapse

Time: 27:06-40:36
Summary: The 2008 crisis becomes the miniature: the system could roll losses forward, but some actors make more by forcing default.

Subprime begins with a noble cover and a structural permission. Clinton wants more minority homeownership; Glass-Steagall falls; retail and investment banking combine; global money floods into safe unipolar America; Japan lends at zero and investors chase five percent. CDOs then wrap poor mortgages into supposedly steady monthly cash flow. Too big to fail makes the whole thing feel invincible.

Sources: [27:06 seg-0025](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0025) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1626s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0025`; [28:30 seg-0026](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0026) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1710s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0026`; [29:35 seg-0027](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0027) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1775s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0027`; [30:36 seg-0028](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0028) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1836s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0028`

But defaults alone do not have to end the game. A bank can roll the missed payment forward: pay me next month, then the month after. The illusion can continue as long as the people managing it want continuation. The crash therefore needs a different explanation. Jiang’s classroom example supplies it: if Vincent bets Amber will not default, the lender can make more money by making Amber default than by protecting the loan.

Sources: [30:36 seg-0028](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0028) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1836s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0028`; [31:51 seg-0029](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0029) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1911s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0029`; [32:51 seg-0030](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0030) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1971s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0030`; [34:02 seg-0031](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0031) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2042s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0031`; [34:59 seg-0032](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0032) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2099s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0032`

That is the lecture’s engine in miniature. You collapse the system when collapse pays better than patience. John Paulson becomes the bettor against housing; JPMorgan becomes the consolidator buying wounded banks; large owners buy homes cheap after individuals lose them. Millions of lives are destroyed, but a few powerful institutions become richer. The crisis is not the system failing to work. It is the system working for the people positioned to profit from failure.

Sources: [32:51 seg-0030](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0030) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=1971s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0030`; [34:59 seg-0032](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0032) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2099s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0032`; [36:01 seg-0033](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0033) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2161s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0033`

That same logic is projected onto the present. Private credit does not have to collapse because insiders can keep rolling losses. AI does not have to collapse because the same few companies can keep lending into a money-losing loop. A bubble collapses when someone can make more money from the collapse. After 2008, Jiang says, the people managing the game needed a new outlet, and that outlet was China.

Sources: [37:25 seg-0034](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0034) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2245s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0034`; [38:30 seg-0035](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0035) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2310s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0035`; [39:39 seg-0036](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0036) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2379s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0036`

### China Was Not Enough

Time: 40:36-52:59
Summary: BIS shifts the world toward China through exchange rates, but China will not become the hegemon, so the next option is Israel.

BIS is the institutional hinge. The quoted Basel material matters because it shows a bank useful to Nazi Germany surviving and becoming more powerful after the war. Jiang’s conclusion is not subtle: transnational capital does not care if a client is evil. It cares whether money can move and grow. Postwar Europe is rebuilt into American consumerism with BIS-centered payment mechanisms because the world exists to make money flow.

Sources: [39:39 seg-0036](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0036) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2379s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0036`; [40:37 seg-0037](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0037) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2437s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0037`; [41:33 seg-0038](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0038) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2493s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0038`; [42:39 seg-0039](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0039) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2559s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0039`; [42:42 seg-0040](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0040) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2562s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0040`; [43:26 seg-0041](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0041) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2606s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0041`

After 2008, the solution is to move the center of gravity from America and Europe to China. The exchange rate becomes the international version of the interest rate: a signal telling the world where to trade. As the Chinese currency rises, the world knows it can sell to China; China buys commodities, builds railways and airports, and finances the buildout through bank loans.

Sources: [43:26 seg-0041](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0041) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2606s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0041`; [44:37 seg-0042](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0042) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2677s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0042`; [45:48 seg-0043](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0043) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2748s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0043`

China’s banks become enormous because liabilities can appear as assets, another version of money’s illusion. The system does not implode because debt is localized rather than nationalized. China then exports goods everywhere, and by 2024 the manufacturing map has changed. This was supposed to be the handoff: transnational capital moving the economic center from America to China.

Sources: [46:58 seg-0044](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0044) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2818s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0044`; [48:25 seg-0045](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0045) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2905s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0045`

But China does not want the full imperial job. It does not want to be the global reserve currency and hold military bases everywhere, and America will not let it take the role cleanly. So the other option is Israel. The current Iran war is read as the mechanism that can shift capital’s center from America to Israel, because Israel wants to be the center of the world and capital needs activity: private credit collapse, AI collapse, war, entrepreneurship, anything that makes money move.

Sources: [49:45 seg-0046](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0046) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=2985s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0046`; [51:07 seg-0047](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0047) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3067s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0047`; [51:55 seg-0048](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0048) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3115s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0048`

### The Parasites Leave

Time: 52:59-58:22
Summary: The closing claim is brutal: a sudden American collapse may hurt badly, but it lets transnational capital exit, buy assets, and relocate to Israel.

The timing is unknown, but the lecture says the event will be sudden. Why would America allow it? Because, in this model, the departure of transnational capital may be in America’s long-term interest. The parasites leave; America suffers; then America may become brighter afterward. It is not a clean strategy and not a painless one. It is closer to surgery without anesthesia.

Sources: [52:59 seg-0049](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0049) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3179s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0049`; [54:01 seg-0051](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0051) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3241s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0051`; [54:17 seg-0052](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0052) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3257s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0052`

The student catches the tension and asks whether America is knowingly accepting disadvantage for later benefit. Jiang corrects the frame. Collapse destroys wealth, creates pain, and may create civil-war conditions. But Trump’s MAGA logic can still interpret the pain as necessary: make America great again by getting rid of the parasites. Transnational capital becomes a cancer on the American host, and cancer treatment hurts.

Sources: [54:01 seg-0051](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0051) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3241s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0051`; [54:17 seg-0052](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0052) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3257s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0052`; [55:13 seg-0053](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0053) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3313s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0053`

Amber asks what the shift does to the global economy. The answer returns to Israel. Capital wants a place where money can grow. Israel offers war, rebuilding, control over trade routes, and the Greater Israel project. Jiang is not talking about a retail investor’s thousand dollars; he is talking about trillions moving toward activity.

Sources: [55:25 seg-0054](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0054) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3325s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0054`; [55:35 seg-0055](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0055) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3335s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0055`; [56:40 seg-0056](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0056) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3400s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0056`

The final formula is almost too compact: in chaos, there is profit. A stock-market collapse lets capital leave with money and then buy distressed assets: water, oil, resources made cheap by damage. Sitting still makes no money. Blood on the streets does. That is the Great Reset as Jiang gives it here: not a policy memo, but a theory of capital migrating through engineered pain.

Sources: [56:40 seg-0056](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0056) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3400s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0056`; [57:49 seg-0057](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0057) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3469s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0057`

## Questions

### So, seems like that America is in a disadvantage, advantage situation, but they know what they are doing, and they're just sending parasites outside of their country and having a more long-term benefit, is that right?

Jiang answers that this is not simply a deliberate strategy. Economic collapse would destroy wealth, create pain, and could produce civil-war conditions, but Trump-like actors may still understand parasite removal as necessary for making America great again.

Jiang answers that this is not simply a deliberate strategy. Economic collapse would destroy wealth, create pain, and could produce civil-war conditions, but Trump-like actors may still understand parasite removal as necessary for making America great again.

Sources: [54:01 seg-0051](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0051) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3241s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0051`; [54:17 seg-0052](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0052) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3257s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0052`; [55:13 seg-0053](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0053) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3313s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0053`

Sources: [54:01 seg-0051](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0051) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3241s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0051`; [54:17 seg-0052](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0052) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3257s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0052`; [55:13 seg-0053](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0053) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3313s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0053`

### So if transnational capital is leaving America, then how would you think this shift would impact the global economy, or would it at all?

Jiang answers by naming Israel as the destination: capital wants activity, war, rebuilding, trade control, and distressed assets, so trillions would move toward Israel if the Greater Israel project becomes the new growth zone.

Jiang answers by naming Israel as the destination: capital wants activity, war, rebuilding, trade control, and distressed assets, so trillions would move toward Israel if the Greater Israel project becomes the new growth zone.

Sources: [55:25 seg-0054](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0054) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3325s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0054`; [55:35 seg-0055](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0055) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3335s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0055`; [56:40 seg-0056](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0056) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3400s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0056`

Sources: [55:25 seg-0054](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0054) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3325s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0054`; [55:35 seg-0055](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0055) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3335s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0055`; [56:40 seg-0056](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo/transcript/#seg-0056) ([video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VbowBTJWKBo&t=3400s)) `video:predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo@transcript:v1#seg-0056`

## Retrieval Notes

This Markdown file is the compressed public reading. It intentionally does not contain the full transcript.

For exact wording, timestamps, timed chunks, transcript segment IDs, and source refs, fetch [/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.json](https://jianglens.com/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-vbowbtjwkbo.json).