---
title: "Game Theory #16:  Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload) transcript"
description: "Source-synced transcript archive for Game Theory #16: Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload)."
source_title: "Game Theory #16:  Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload)"
published_at: "2026-03-26"
source_class: "episode"
public_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/"
markdown_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript.md"
text_url: "https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript.txt"
source_url: "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo"
data_url: "https://jianglens.com/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso.json"
---

# Game Theory #16:  Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload) transcript

- Source: [Game Theory #16:  Pax Judaica Rising (Re-Upload)](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo)
- Published: 2026-03-26, day precision
- Human transcript page: [/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/)
- Episode page: [/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/)
- Transcript Markdown: [/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript.md](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript.md)
- Transcript text: [/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript.txt](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript.txt)
- Episode JSON: [/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso.json](https://jianglens.com/data/lens/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso.json)

## Transcript

### 0:00 seg-0001

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=0s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=0s)

Today, I want to discuss how this war will end. I cannot predict when this war will end, but I want to make certain predictions about how this war will end, okay? So, to first understand how the war is going, let's look at some video clips, alright? So, this is President Donald Trump. He's talking about the war.

### 0:25 seg-0002

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- Transcript segment: [https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0002](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0002)
- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=25s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=25s)

We hit Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait. Nobody expected that. We were shot, and the other one, you know, they fought back. They could have yielded, but think of it, if we weren't around, they have tremendous, they had tremendous power. They had thousands of missiles, most of which we've terminated. They had thousands of drones. They were making drones and missiles all over the place. We've knocked out most of those factories.

### 0:55 seg-0003

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=55s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=55s)

Okay, so what he's saying here is, we went in expecting them, expecting to hit them, kill their leadership, and then they would surrender. We didn't expect them to fight back. We didn't expect them to close the circle of moves. We didn't expect that they would hit Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, okay? So, what he's saying is, we actually didn't have a plan going in. And we really didn't think our enemies... Our enemies would fight back, all right? So, this is Donald Trump. Now, let's look at his...

### 1:42 seg-0004

- Speaker: SPEAKER_00
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=102s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=102s)

President's preference is always peace. There does not need to be any more death and destruction. But if Iran fails to accept the reality of the current moment, if they fail to understand that they have been defeated militarily and will continue to be, President Trump will ensure they are hit harder than they have ever been hit before. President Trump does not bluff, and he is prepared to unleash hell.

### 2:06 seg-0005

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=126s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=126s)

Okay, so what is she... This is Karen Leavitt, and she's the press secretary for the White House. And what she's saying is, look, we've defeated these guys. But for whatever reason, the Iranians don't know that. That's the problem. The problem isn't us. We came in with the right strategy. We did everything right. But for whatever reason, the Iranians, being stupid, don't know they've been defeated. All right?

### 2:47 seg-0006

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- Transcript segment: [https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0006](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0006)
- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=167s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=167s)

Never in history has a modern military... Iran had a modern military, a modern navy, a modern air force, modern air defenses, leadership, massive bunker. Never has a modern military been so rapidly and historically obliterated, defeated from day one with overwhelming firepower. The air campaign that we've conducted, that Israel's conducted alongside us, was one for the history books, truly. And it's because we have a president of the United States that when he sends his war fighters out to fight, he unties their hands to actually go out and close with and destroy the enemy as viciously as possible from moment one. And that's why we see ourselves as part of this negotiation as well. We negotiate with bombs. You have a choice as we loiter over the top of Tehran, as the president talked about, about your future. The president has made it clear that you will not have a nuclear weapon. The War Department agrees. Our job is to ensure that.

### 3:41 seg-0007

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=221s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=221s)

And so we're keeping our hand on that throttle as long as it's hard, as it's necessary. To ensure the interests of the United States of America are achieved.

### 3:49 seg-0008

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=229s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=229s)

So this is Secretary of War Peter Heksev. And he represents the Pentagon, the military. And his attitude is, we're winning this war. We are kicking ass. And we don't have to negotiate because we're kicking ass. And we'll continue to do so. So this is the attitude of the military. Now, the U.S. media has been reporting that Donald Trump is seeking an off -ramp. He's seeking negotiations. And what Peter Heksev says, no, let's negotiate with bombs, man. Okay.

### 4:24 seg-0009

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=264s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=264s)

Plan across the administration and a treasury. We unsanctioned Russian oil. We knew that there were about 130 million barrels on the water. And we created supply that is beyond the Straits of Hormuz. So we anticipated this. We knew that there could be a temporary, and I want to emphasize temporary, choke point there. And there was 130 million barrels of floating storage. In the coming days, we may unsanction the Iranian oil that's on the water. It's about 140 million barrels. So depending on how you count it, that's ten days to two weeks of supply that the Iranians had been pushing out. That would have all gone to China. In essence, we will be using the Iranian barrels. against the Iranians to keep the price down for the next ten or fourteen days.

### 5:32 seg-0010

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=332s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=332s)

Okay. So this is the Secretary of the Treasury, Scott Besson. He's responding to a problem, which is the Americans didn't expect that the Iranians would close off the Straits of Hormuz. And so this is affecting oil supply. And so the global economy could be disrupted or even destroyed if this lasts too long. So Scott Besson says, Ha! We knew this was going to happen. And we have a really brilliant plan to destroy the Iranians once and for all. Our plan is this. We're going to let the Iranians sell their oil and make a lot of money. And then they will be destroyed. Yeah. So the Americans basically unsanctioned Iranian oil. And because of that, the Iranians were able to make $14 billion just like that. The total Iranian military budget for one year is $10 billion. Okay. So this is American genius at work. They knew this was going to happen. They knew the Iranians wanted to destroy the global economy.

### 6:49 seg-0011

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=409s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=409s)

So the Americans were like, We'll just make them rich so they can't destroy the global economy. We got them now. All right.

### 7:09 seg-0012

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=429s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=429s)

And yet Iran remains a threat, a threat to trade, a threat to the Straits of Hormuz. Then I would argue that we could have years, years of, you know, above $100, closer to $150 oil.

### 7:25 seg-0013

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=445s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=445s)

What happens to the global economy if that happens? How do we see it?

### 7:28 seg-0014

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=448s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=448s)

We'll have global recession. If there's a cessation of war, and yet Iran... Okay.

### 7:34 seg-0015

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=454s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=454s)

So this is Larry Fink, and he's head of a company called BlackRock, which is the largest asset manager in the world. They control trillions and trillions of dollars. And what he's saying... He's being interviewed by the BBC. What he's saying is we can't stop this war now because if we stop this war now, that means that the price of oil will be too high for many, many years. The Iranians will control the Straits of Hormuz, and therefore we must fight this war to the end. What he doesn't address is, well, if you didn't start this war in the first place, you wouldn't have this problem because the Iranians would have no pretext to close off the Straits of Hormuz. And the global economy would have been fine. But what he's saying is like, oh, don't worry about that. The problem is the war has started, and therefore we must fight to the end. Okay?

### 8:41 seg-0016

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=521s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=521s)

So this is a drone launched by an Iranian proxy in Iraq flying over an American base. And as you can see, there's nothing stopping it. Okay? It's just flying over this American base. It's being remote controlled. It spots two American helicopters and destroys one of them. Okay? Meaning that you have all these American bases throughout the Middle East, and they are vulnerable. They cannot be protected against cheap drones. So from an American perspective, this war will either beg with the Americans or this war will be lost. Okay? But it's very hard to fight this war against a determined enemy. So what I want to do now is examine how this war will turn out. Okay? So I've said this many times, but the Americans are losing this war. And the main reason, is the problem of hubris. And so I want to examine closely what this means strategically, what this means on the battlefield. Okay?

### 10:20 seg-0017

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=620s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=620s)

So war is fought across four dimensions. All right? There is the narrative dimension, meaning global opinion, how history will perceive this war. There is the political dimension, meaning how your allies perceive this war, how your domestic base perceive this war. There's the economic, and then there's the military. If we examine this war closely, the Iranians are fighting a very different war from the Americans. What the Americans are doing is basically, they are shifting the narrative, political sphere, and economic sphere, to fit their economic strategy. Okay? Their economic strategy is decapitation, which forces surrender. Right? So what they want to do is, they want to not destroy the Iranian leadership, destroy the Iranian economy, to force a surrender, in which case the Americans can dictate terms. That is their strategy, and that's about it. And they are forcing the narrative space, the political space, and the economic space, to conform to the military strategy. Meaning that they expect the allies, NATO, they expect the media, they expect the economy, to support their strategy.

### 11:56 seg-0018

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=716s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=716s)

So, for example, in the political space, Donald Trump has ordered NATO to come and open up the Strait of Hormuz. Okay? And also, Donald Trump refuses to announce the fact that this war is very unpopular back in America. In the economic space, what the Americans are trying to do is keep the price of oil low, so it does not disrupt the global economy. And they do that, of course, by unsectioning Russian and Iranian oil, which benefits the Russian and Iranian economies. Okay? And in the narrative space, they're basically trying to tell the media to follow the party line. Donald Trump has threatened, journalists, that if you do not report this war is going well, then I might put you in prison. All right? So, this is the American strategy, forcing the narrative, political, and economic spheres to conform to the military strategy.

### 12:56 seg-0019

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=776s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=776s)

The Iranians have a different approach. The Iranians are using the military in order to impact the economic, political, and narrative spheres. All right? It's completely reversed. So, the military strategy is calculated in a certain way to benefit the Iranian economy. Okay? So, what I mean by that is that the military is strategically controlling certain moves so that Chinese ships can pass. Right? Because Chinese ships are the main buyer of Iranian oil. Also, if you are, if you're willing to play ball, like Japan, or Qatar, or Oman, they will also let your ships pass. Okay? So, this is being strategic. Politically, the Iranians are trying to split the Gulf states. Right? They know that Saudi Arabia and UAE are committed to regime change in Iran, but they know that Qatar, Bahrain, I'm sorry, sorry, not Bahrain, Qatar and Oman are on the other side. Okay? So, they're trying to gain as much global leverage as possible within the GCC.

### 14:09 seg-0020

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=849s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=849s)

And the narrative is they're trying to shape global opinion and trying to make everyone believe that they are on the right side of history. And most people believe that. In fact, you have a lot of Americans who are rooting for the Iranians to win. All right? So, this is a very different, these are two very different strategies. All right. So, let's talk about the advantages and disadvantages of both strategies. Okay. So, from the American perspective, the fact that you have this, have this approach of making the world conform to your military strategy basically means that you lack what we call reflection. Okay? Meaning that you're not able to sit down with your strategist and discuss how this war is going and how to make changes. But the Iranians are able to do so because the military has to conform to the economic, political, and narrative strategies. Okay?

### 15:15 seg-0021

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=915s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=915s)

Second is flexibility. And what I mean by that is the military strategy, if it's not going well for the Americans, they lack the capacity to reflect and make changes. So, what they do is they double down. Okay? They accelerate the process of bombing in Iraq, even though it's probably not going, getting them anywhere. Also, much more importantly, the Americans will choose much more self -destructive, desperate strategies, such as sending ground troops. It is possible by this weekend, ground troops will be sent into Iran, which most military analysts believe to be either counter -effective or suicidal. Okay? The Iranians, on the other hand, can adapt their military strategy to the economic and political realities. Okay? So, for example, what they're doing now is they're charging tolls to cross the Strait of Hormuz. Okay? And the third difference is the idea of resilience. So, in other words, if you make the world and America conform to your military strategy, they won't support you.

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=994s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=994s)

That means that if you're losing troops and you're losing equipment, it is very hard to replenish, resupply. Whereas, it's the complete opposite in Iran where, because they are winning popular opinion, because their economy is becoming stronger in this process, because they're winning more political allies, they can actually draw on more support from the population, and they can also recruit foreign fighters and foreign support, foreign sympathy for their cause. Okay? So, for these reasons, I believe that America is losing this war and that ultimately this war will be lost. When this will happen, we don't know because America is an empire and they can actually drag us on for at least 20 years. Alright? Okay. So, now that we've discussed why America will probably lose this war, I want to now shift our focus to discuss how the world will change because of this war. What does the end of this war look like?

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=1060s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=1060s)

And to do that, what's really important is to go back to our model of how the world works. Okay? So, remember last week, we discussed the structure of the world. And at the very core is the empire because the empire provides the muscle, the military might to shape the contours of reality. Okay? And then, with the empire, you have the finance. Okay? Finance includes the city of London, Wall Street, the Bank of England National Settlements and asset managers. And they are the game masters. Okay? Okay? The empire is the muscle but the finance are the ones who actually set the game. And then, this creates the global economy which is based on the US dollar. Right? But you can actually have people believing that this is the way the game is structured because then people won't want to play the game. So, what you do is you create an additional layer of multilateral organizations.

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=1133s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=1133s)

What the Americans like to call the rules -based international order including the UN and the WTO. Okay? And other organizations. But this is but this makes people believe that the way the world is structured is fair, open, and transparent. And you hide the finance and the empire behind multilateral organizations. Okay? And then, to justify this system, you have the culture, education, and media which then creates the different legal infrastructure of different nations and the values as well. Okay? So, this is how the world is organized. We also discuss how there are these organizations that are above the nation -state that are above the system in order to benefit from the system. To keep it going but also to extract rent from it. And these include intelligence, crime, and science. We also discuss how the organizing forces behind intelligence, crime, and science are transnational capital, secret societies, as well as elite families. And we discuss

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how they are bound together by a concept called the occult, which we'll study later on, okay? But the idea of the occult, okay? So, this is the structure of the world. Now, once this world is created, what you need to understand is that the people in the different spheres who benefit from the system, first and foremost, their interest is maintaining that status quo, okay? So, their interest is in maintaining the status quo, all right? So, basically, they want the system to continue. The problem with the system is, at the core, it's an empire that will probably lose the war in Iran. And this creates a problem, because if the empire falls, then it's possible that the entire edifice falls, as well. So, the only solution is to replace the empire, the American empire, with another empire, okay? That is able to provide the muscle for this system. And this empire, I've argued in the past, is, of course, Israel.

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And this is what we call Pax Judaica. Okay? So, on the surface, it seems like this war is one between the United States and Iran, but in reality, what this war really is about is a war between the United States and Israel. Where the American empire has become corrupt, incompetent, and arrogant, and so now Israel sees the opportunity to replace the American empire in the system. And it's something that eventually every aspect of the system will agree to do. Alright? So, the main outcome of this war, when it ends, is that Israel will replace America in the Middle East. Okay? Alright. So, let me first discuss why the American empire is falling. Okay? And the main reason is the idea of something called the military industrial complex. So, for most of its history, America did not have a professional army. Why? Because the founding fathers and most American citizens believed that

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if there's an outstanding army, if there's a professional army, that's a direct threat to the liberty of the Americans. Okay? Because the Americans fought a war, the Revolutionary War, to get rid of the professional army that was the British. Okay? So, Americans do not like a professional army. But, in order to fight World War I and World War II, they didn't have a choice but to create an outstanding army. The problem is that after America won World War I, World War II, the apparatus stayed. And, the apparatus wanted to maintain the status quo. Meaning, they wanted access to unlimited government funds. So, this led to the Cold War. And, the Cold War was a justification for the MIC, the Military Industrial Complex, to get as much government funding as possible. And, the blue, as you can see, we can understand why they spent all this money in World War II because they were fighting a war to save America and to save the world.

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But, as you can see, even though it dropped drastically at the end of the war, starting with the Cold War, you have this uptick. And then, you have the Vietnam War. And then, after America won the Cold War, you saw this massive uptick. This is something called the War on Terror. So, the Military Industrial Complex is always looking to start wars in order to justify its existence. So, there's a very famous journalist named Julian Assange and he said this about America. The point is not to have successful wars. The point is not to win wars. The point is to have never -ending wars which allows the Military Industrial Complex to transfer American taxpayer money to a transnational elite. Okay? It's basically the point of wars is for the Military Industrial Complex to steal as much money as possible from America. Okay? America spends a lot of money in its military.

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Okay? America accounts for 41 % of all global military spending. Who's next? China. China spends about 8.2%. Russia, which is America's main military enemy, only spends 4.1%. Okay? Meaning that Russia spends one -tenth the amount of money that America spends. And you think that, okay, well, all this means is that America is invincible. But what people don't recognize is the level of corruption within the American military. The American military is probably the most corrupt institution in the world by far. No one even comes close. Okay? September 10th, 2001, Donald Rumsfeld, who's the Secretary of Defense for the Americans, he's head of the Pentagon, and this is a day before September 11th, the 9 -11 attacks, he said that, he had a press conference and he said that, look, we've looked at the Pentagon books. We're trying to do an accounting of the Pentagon military spending and we can't find

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$220. There's $220 missing from the budget. It went somewhere. We don't know where, but it went somewhere. Okay? All right. All right. So, this is a, so, where does the money go? It goes to private contractors. Okay? These are all private companies that make a lot of money off of the government. Okay? So, look at, look at the Boeing company. They had in one year $20 billion dollars from the government. They, they got $20 billion dollars in contracts from the government. Okay? To do so, they had to spend $16 million in order to lobby Congress through advertisements, through political campaigns, and then they bribed, this is, this is a bribe to politicians. They, they spent $2 million. Okay? So, this is a really good business to be in. You spend $2 million to, you, you, you give them bribes to politicians, then you spend $16 million on campaigns, and then you make $20 billion. Okay?

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This is extremely profitable. The difference, of course, is being picked up by the American taxpayer. The Boeing company is, um, doesn't, is not just a defense contractor, but also makes civilian airplanes. And for these past few years, there's been quite a few cases of civilian airplanes falling out of the sky made by Boeing. Okay? So, for example, the Boeing 737 Max. Okay? There was a recall because there were some engineering issues with the plane. Now, there have been a couple of whistleblowers who've come out and tried to say that Boeing, uh, is a very corrupt company. And for that reason, they, they died. Okay? They just disappeared. We don't know why, but when they were about to testify against Boeing, they somehow died. All right? Um, this is a really interesting story that shows you the level of corruption in the Pentagon. There is this woman who's a contractor for the Army. And she stole

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$103 million. Okay? That's a lot of money. $103 million. So, she stole it. The Army didn't know. And she kept on stealing. And no one seemed to care in the Army. But then, the IRS, um, this is the, uh, Internal Revenue Service, they recognized that she was getting all this money from somewhere. So, they investigated her and recognized, oh my God, she's stealing from the Army. So, the IRS told the Army and that's when the Army recognized, oh, we've got a problem. Okay? The fact that the Army didn't notice that she was stealing $103 million tells you actually, theft in the military is probably a very common thing. All right? So, ultimately, what this means is that this corruption in the Pentagon is not really sustainable. Okay? So, let me discuss, um, why this is a problem for America in Iran. Okay? So, right now, America is facing three major issues with this war in Iran.

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Um, the first major issue is the lack of political will. Meaning that this war is very unpopular in America. Only 40 % of the population currently support this war and as things go on and on, support will probably decrease. you need political will because you need Americans to pay for this war. Trump has asked for $200 billion to fund this war and also, it's possible that Trump will halt the national draft, which I believe will happen. Um, okay? So, if Americans don't want to support this war, it's very hard to get them to pay for this war and to go fight this war. Second problem is lack of manufacturing capacity. So, in other words, what this means is that if you lose planes, if you use too many bombs, you cannot replenish it because you don't have the factories to produce these planes and bombs quickly enough. Okay? And so, if this war drags on too long, then America will just run out of bombs.

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And the third problem for America is unwillingness to sustain casualties. Okay? And what this means is that Americans, the American military is afraid of reporting deaths, casualties. Which is weird because in a war, soldiers die. That's just the reality of war. But the Pentagon is afraid of reporting too many deaths because of the fair political backlash. Okay? So, these are three major problems for the American military in Iran. These are the three major constraints. All right? So, the Americans can't actually resolve these issues and America will probably lose this war. In which case, this gives opportunity for Israel to prove to the world that it should be the empire. Okay? And it proves it can be the empire by showing that it does have the political will. It does have the manufacturing capacity but that's more solid. Okay? And it is much more strategic.

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The last thing is that it is resilient. Meaning that it is willing to accept casualties. Okay? So basically, the idea here is the global elite, they need an empire to provide the muscle. But the empire must prove that it can serve the needs of the global elite. Okay? And so, an empire must prove three things. First of all, it must prove unity. It must prove it has the resources and the capacity. Basically, the capacity. Okay? And it must prove determination. So, to understand this idea, let's just do a thought experiment. Let's just say that we're venture capitalists. We have billions of dollars, we have trillions of dollars, and we want to invest in a company. Okay? So, we're approached by two companies. We're approached by two companies. Company A, Company B. Okay? So, Company A comes to us and says that, look, I have a hundred companies and they're all profitable. Okay?

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I don't have a business plan, but I have lots and lots of resources and I have a lot of experience and a lot of skill and so, if I were to invest in another company, I'm sure it'll make a lot of money. Okay? All right. So, skills and experience. That is Company A. Company B is these young guys and they failed. Okay? But they're like, you know what? We're going to put our heart and soul into this enterprise. We're going to work 16 hours a day every day for as long as it takes and we won't stop. Okay? Even if this company is successful, we're going to keep on going because it's our passion and if this company fails, then we're bankrupt. We might kill ourselves. All right? So, if you are the venture capitalist, do you put your money in A or do you put your money in B? Now, most people would put their money in A because they think it is low risk.

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But if you're a smart venture capitalist, you put your money in B because it's high reward. Okay? So, Company A already has 100 companies that are successful. People in the company don't really care if this new enterprise is successful or not. Who cares? Right? I can afford to lose. In which case, it's more likely that Company A steals your money than actually invests it properly. Whereas, Company B is going to be opposite where this is their last chance. If they take your money, they're going to make sure that they grow it because if they don't grow it, then they themselves die. Okay? So, you need these things. You need unity, capacity and determination. Do you understand? And so, what the issue is doing really, especially auditioning to the company is that you need to replace America. You need to be ready to be the new empire. Okay?

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Alright. So, let's look at what's happening. America has this MIC. And so, the MIC, military industrial complex, what they're good at doing is producing very expensive weapon systems. But, unfortunately, when you actually put these weapon systems into war, it doesn't really do anything. In fact, the GCC in Israel and the American military bases from Iranian drones and missiles, guess what, guys? Doesn't really work. Okay? In fact, as you can see from the video, the Iranians can basically fly drones anywhere in the Middle East and the Americans can't really stop them. Alright? So, this is billions of dollars, doesn't really do anything. This is called the F -35. The F -35 is the most advanced fighter jet in the whole world. It has stealth technology, meaning you can't actually lock onto it using radar. This costs $100 million each. It took 26 years to develop. So, you would think, wow, it took 26 years, so, this must be really, really good.

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No, it took 26 years because the MIC is really corrupt and they want to steal as much money as possible. Okay? And in this war, the Iranians have already shut down at least one of these jets. Okay? This is not supposed to happen. You're not supposed to be able to shoot these things down, but the Iranians have shut it down using very low radar. Again, these things, they're not designed to win wars, they're designed to steal as much money as possible from the American taxpayer. Okay? And the last example is the Gerald Ford. This ship cost $13 billion. It cost $13 billion. The annual defense budget for the Iranians is $10 billion. It goes into the war theater and three weeks afterwards it has to run away. Okay? And in fact, the Americans say, oh, the Gerald Ford, this is the most advanced supercarrier in the world, it's probably going to be down for repairs the next two years.

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And there's argument as to what happened. Okay? There are three different possibilities. The first possibility is that there was an accident in the launch room and there's a fire and this fire spread throughout the carrier. Okay? Which means that actually the carrier is not very resilient. Okay? So that's one possibility. And that's what the official story is. But there are also others who say the Iranians hit the ship with a missile. And so the Gerald Ford can't protect itself from Iranian missiles so it ran away. Okay? The third possibility, the third explanation is the Pentagon recognized that there are certain limitations of the Gerald Ford in actual combat operations. Its radar, its guidance system are all very limited. So the Pentagon withdrew the Gerald Ford because he was absolutely useless in war. All right? Whichever story is true, it doesn't paint a good picture of the American military.

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$13 billion. And this is nothing. Okay? It's just a white elephant. The Iranians, and also this is Iwo Jima. And this came in World War II in the Pacific Theater when the Americans were fighting the Japanese. And this is the height of American military glory. Okay? It took about 6,000, the Americans lost 6,000 Marines in taking this island. And that's a sacrifice for the American military. You need in order to win wars. You're gonna lose a lot of soldiers. And Americans are proud that they were willing to make the sacrifice necessary to win the war. The problem is Americans are no longer willing to sustain casualties. Okay? So the Americans sent about 5,000, around 5,000 Marines to Iran hoping that 5,000 Marines will be enough to win And this shows you the Americans have no strategy to win this war and they want they don't wanna wanna make the necessary sacrifices to win this war.

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They wanna win this war as quickly and as cheaply as possible. Okay? The Israelis are different. Okay? This is Gaza. And we all know that what Gaza did was terrible. But again if you are auditioning to an empire Gaza is proof of concept. Okay? Meaning it's showing the global elite look we're willing to do what it takes to win this war and defend the empire. Okay? So this was a tremendous tragedy and this and that's all war crimes. Okay? And the entire world is aghast. But if you look at Israeli public opinion 82 % support expelling all Palestinians from Gaza. Okay? 66 % believe Amalek exists today. Amalek exists like Israel has this great enemy that it must defeat. Alright? So 66 % of Israelis believe that this war against Gaza is a war for the very existence of Israel. Okay? This is unity. This is determination. The Americans don't have this.

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Most Americans oppose what Israel is doing in Gaza. But what Israel but Israel themselves support what's going on. Okay? So there's unity. Alright? Alright. So in 2024 there's the famous Lebanon pager attack. Okay? Meaning that the Israelis were able to implant bombs into pagers that went to Hezbollah members. And then it blew up. Okay? And maybe from a military perspective it didn't accomplish that much. From a psychological perspective it accomplished a lot. Okay? It scared the living hell out of Hezbollah. It made them paranoid. And it also made the world respect Israel more. And Israel spent 275 million dollars to conduct this operation that took decades to implement. Okay? And you're like okay why is Israel telling us this? Because again Israel is auditioning to be the new empire. It's telling the global elite look not only will we fight this war for you not only will we be your muscle but we'll do it cheaply man.

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Not billions of dollars millions of dollars. Um this is ISIS. ISIS Islamic State. Okay? And this is considered a terrorist organization. These Sunni extremists who go around and beheading people. Alright? Now this is from the New York Times and the yellow tells you areas in which they operate. And as you can see it's really across the Middle East. And the red are um incidents of attacks directed by ISIS. Okay? Now something that's really funny about all this is ISIS attacks everywhere in the Middle East except for one country and that country is Israel. Okay? Really funny how you have these Muslim extremists going around committing all sorts of atrocities everywhere in the Middle East except Israel. And so that's why a lot of people believe that Islamic State is actually a creation of Mossad. But again Israel is happy for the world to know this because again Israel is auditioning to be the new empire.

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And what Israel is saying is we don't have to use the American strategy of just bombing everyone to death. Okay? That's expensive that's brutal and it's not very strategic. We can use Mossad to infiltrate groups and use these groups against the comrades their neighbors. Is that much more efficient? Is that much more effective? Okay? So what Israel is saying is we are much better at controlling the Middle East than the Americans. our strategies. Okay? This is a story of a Mossad agent who was disguised as an ISIS preacher. Okay? And this happens a lot. There are lots of stories where you have these ISIS commanders or agents and when you arrest them you discover okay actually they're actually Mossad. Okay? So ISIS is basically a Mossad operation. Alright. So the main story here is okay if you look at history Israel and America is actually pretty simple. Israel is the pit bull for America.

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2755s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2755s)

The problem of an empire as it grows old is it doesn't want to do bad things. Okay? It wants to feel good about itself. Therefore it subcontracts the violence the murder the genocide to different people. Okay? To mercenaries. The Israelis in the Middle East. And this is a pattern throughout human history. So the Romans started out as mercenaries for the Tristians in Italy. The Aztecs started out as mercenaries for the Culhacan in Mexico. The Greeks started out as mercenaries for the Persians. Okay? The Mongols started out as mercenaries for the Chinese. The Akkadians started out as mercenaries for the Sumerians. The Moloch started out as mercenaries for the Ayyubid dynasty in Egypt. In every instance what happened is the mercenaries eventually got to a point where we are the ones killing ourselves for this empire. The empire is corrupt decadent and weak. Why don't we just take it over? And they did.

### 47:02 seg-0047

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2822s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2822s)

Okay? We're seeing a similar situation play out today in the Middle East where Israel was created by the British and Americans to be their pit bull to be their aircraft carrier in the Middle East to create as much instability as possible so that the Americans and the British could control their oil supply in the Middle East. And this has gone on for decades and now the Israelis are like we're the ones doing all the work we're the ones making all the sacrifices we're the ones that are getting all the hate in this world so why should we be the empire now? America is useless. Okay? Alright? There's a pattern throughout human history and so we're going to look at what this means. Okay? So, Israel has something called the greater Israel project and this is what extremists in Israel believe. They believe that God in the Bible promised the entire Middle East to the Jewish people.

### 48:14 seg-0048

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2894s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2894s)

Okay? Extending from the Nile in Egypt all the way to the Euphrates in Iraq. Okay? And it also encompasses Saudi Arabia Jordan Lebanon Syria and parts of Turkey as well. Okay? Now, something really funny about this map is this Iran Persia is not part of the greater Israel project. So then you ask yourself wait a minute here if Iran is actually not part of the greater Israel project then why is Israel going to war with Iran? Well, the reason why is if they want all this territory their main enemy is not Syria that's been destroyed it's not Iraq that's been destroyed it's not Saudi Arabia it's too weak not Okay? In the greater Israel project the it's the Americans that control the land of greater Israel the Middle East. These are American bases. So, in other words you use this war against Iran to destroy the American Empire. How? By forcing the American Empire to go and invade Iran.

### 49:44 seg-0049

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2984s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=2984s)

And then they'll be forced to retreat from the Middle East. Okay? And so eventually America will be defeated America will be forced to retreat from the Middle East. And I will leave two regional powers Iran and Israel. And again because of the greater Israel project the Israelis have no problem with this. Persia is again not part of the greater Israel project. The Israelis don't really care if Iran is still standing. They want Iran to be as weakened as possible. Okay? But they really don't need to defeat Iran to achieve the political prophecy. But they do need to defeat the Americans. Alright? The Americans are in the way. Alright. Okay. So what does the greater Israel project mean? Well it means control of the world's oil. Basically. 20 % of the world's oil. So these are the gas fields. The yellow are the gas fields of the Middle East.

### 50:49 seg-0050

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3049s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3049s)

Alright? And the blue are the trade routes. So you can see how Israel is at the very center of all this wealth. Right? They have the logistics. They have the technology. It makes sense for them to take control of all these resources and then start shipping these resources to Europe as well as to East Asia. China. South Korea. And Japan. Okay? So that's what the Pax Judaica will look like. It will be a trade network controlling all the resources of the Middle East to the rest of the world. Alright? Then you have data centers. Okay? So Israel has the most data centers in the Middle East. And then Saudi Arabia has 36. UAE has 34. Okay? So these three places are competing against each other for AI dominance. Why is AI important? Because it allows you to create a surveillance Alright? Now the problem with Saudi Arabia and UAE is for them to build their data centers they need to import foreign expertise.

### 52:11 seg-0051

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3131s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3131s)

They themselves do not have the human capital to build these data centers and to run these data centers. On the other hand Israel does. Okay? Israel has the best universities in the Middle East. It has the best IT talent in the Middle East. It has the best human capital. Therefore it makes perfect sense for Israel to just absorb the entire AI network of the Middle East and become the main epicenter of AI surveillance in the Middle East. Okay? Which will become the backbone of Pax Judaica. One more. So what does Pax Judaica look like? It's really the India Middle East Trade Corridor. Okay? Alright? So look at this map where for India to get to Europe it has to go through Israel. Okay? So this is what Pax Judaica will look like. Basically a BIMAC Trade Corridor that will unite the sub -Asian continent with Europe. Okay?

### 53:24 seg-0052

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3204s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3204s)

But not only that but the idea of this is also to connect to Africa. Right? Because no other place is able to access Africa. Only Israel is. And not only that but it's also able to access Ukraine and Russia. So the idea is to take Russia and Ukraine energy and food and then transport it into Africa. That's combining the world. Okay? So Israel because of its location can really be the epicenter of all global trade. Alright. Now let's look at Iran. So for the longest time Iran did have lots of resources. Oil resources. But the Americans put sanctions on these oil exports. This war has basically lifted all sanctions. Okay? So the Iranian economy is now able to export its oil all across the world. So this is Trudy Parsi and he is probably America's foremost expert on Iran. And he talks to a lot of people. is basically Iran now is able to produce oil transported across the world and then get money for it.

### 55:01 seg-0053

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3301s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3301s)

Okay? So what the conclusion he makes is this. Trump and Israel's war has ended up delivering Iran de facto sanctions relief. Before the war Iran was cut off from the global economy. Because of this war Iran now is becoming embedded into the global economy. It's the complete opposite of the intention of this war. And what this means is Iran is now less incentivized to end the war. Okay? The more this war keeps on going the more Iran benefits economically. Alright. So Iran once this war ends becomes the epicenter of two major trade networks. Okay? The first is what we call the north -south transport corridor that links Russia okay and Iran together. Okay? And this will then allow Iran to access Europe. Okay? So this is the north -south corridor that's controlled by Russia. But also you have of course the Belt and Road Initiative.

### 56:28 seg-0054

- Speaker: SPEAKER_03
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- Transcript segment: [https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0054](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0054)
- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3388s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3388s)

And guess what? Terrain is also at the epicenter of this trade network. Okay? So for China to access Europe it has to go through Iran. For Europe to access China it has to go through terrain as well. Okay? So this is what the new world will look like after the war. You'll have two regional powers Israel and Iran. And they will have their own independent trade networks and they will have their own access to resources. So Israel will control the resources of the Middle East and Iran will control the Strait of Hormuz. Okay? And with the Strait of Hormuz they collect a toll which will feed the economy. They will be helped by Russia and China because it is in Russia and China's best interest to develop the infrastructure of Iran to facilitate global trade. Okay? But then you're like wait a minute here but Iran and Israel are enemies. Okay.

### 57:39 seg-0055

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- Transcript segment: [https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0055](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0055)
- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3459s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3459s)

So this is a misunderstanding. Ideologically Iran and Israel are enemies. But I want to teach you three basic principles or rules of geopolitics. Okay? And once you understand these rules it'll be much easier for you to understand the new world that we're going into. The first is this. The strong respect each other and prey on the weak. Okay? This makes sense right? Why are the strong fighting each other? Wouldn't it be easier for them to like leave each other alone and go pick on the weak? It benefits everyone right? So in this situation right? You have four you have different countries. You have GCC you have Israel you have the United States you have Iran. Okay? So you have these four different players in this war. Right now it's essentially Israel GCC and US fighting against Iran. But if Iran proves it is strong and Israel proves it's strong and GCC proves it's weak the US proves it's weak guess what's going to happen?

### 58:58 seg-0056

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3538s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3538s)

Israel and Iran are going to get together and say screw these guys. Let's just work together man. Okay? Does that make sense? Even though in the beginning it seems as though Israel GCC and US are allies against Iran ultimately if Iran is able to prove it's strong then Israel will ban the GCC and the United States. And Israel will work with Iran to build a new order in the Middle East. Because that's the law of the jungle. Okay? That is what is in the best interest according to game theory for Israel. And the last thing to understand is the weak do not work well together the weak must ally with the strong for protection. Okay? So what this means is the GCC is weak. Alright? So you look at Saudi Arabia UAE um Iran Oman Kuwait Qatar Okay? So these are the six GCC countries. They're all weak. And you would think you know what?

### 1:00:11 seg-0057

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3611s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3611s)

If they were to combine their resources and fight together they could probably beat Israel or probably beat Iran. The problem with this is weak players don't work well together. Okay? They're weak because they're stupid. They are and so what they do is rather than seek to work together what they do is they seek to ally with stronger forces. Okay? So right now they're they're all aligned with the United States and Israel. Alright? Against Iran. But as this war progresses and the U.S. falls then what will happen is that they must either choose Israel or Iran. And what's going to happen is that you might have some places Qatar and Oman who choose you know what? Screw this. We're going to join Iran. And you have Saudi Arabia and UAE who are like okay let's join Israel. Okay? But the GCC regardless of what happens will no longer be a major global factor in the Middle East anymore.

### 1:01:16 seg-0058

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- Transcript segment: [https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0058](https://jianglens.com/episodes/predictive-history-mk4vchtawso/transcript/#seg-0058)
- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3676s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3676s)

A lot of them will be destroyed because of this war. Alright? So according to game theory this is what the world should look like after the war ends. But again this is all theory. Okay? This is a class focused on intellectual speculation. It's meant to be fun. It's meant to to make us more curious about the world. It's supposed to heighten our critical thinking skills. This is not meant to be prophecy. Okay? I'm not saying this must happen. I'm saying this might happen for these reasons. And if they do happen because of if they do happen then this provides us a good framework to understand our reasoning better. Okay? If it doesn't work out this way it's fine because we'll just go back and analyze what went wrong better. Okay? What's really important is not to set a judgment. What's really important is to keep our minds open and be open to the possibility of different outcomes.

### 1:02:17 seg-0059

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3737s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3737s)

Alright? Okay. Any questions guys?

### 1:02:26 seg-0060

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3746s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3746s)

Um, if Israel really like defeated America what will

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3752s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3752s)

No, no, no. I didn't say Israel will defeat America. I never said that. Okay? Well Israel might No, no, no. Let's be clear about language. I did not say Israel will fight America. What I said is Israel is auditioning to replace America. Israel is trying to prove to the global elite I'm strong enough to replace America when America leaves the Middle East. You understand? Yeah. Okay? Let's be clear about language. Okay? Yes?

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3779s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3779s)

Like, um, what will like Israel try to prove that it's stronger than America and I'm curious like what the next step Israel will take if like it's trying to show that it's strong.

### 1:03:16 seg-0063

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3796s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3796s)

Okay. Alright. So look Israel doesn't have to do anything different. Israel is determined to win this war. That's all it has to do. Israel is determined to win this war and the United States is not determined to win this war. The United States doesn't even know what it's doing. Okay? Alright. So what's important okay what's really important is to go back to our analysis of I'm sorry yeah yeah like this is alright okay but our analysis okay remember you need an empire you need an empire okay and you have the finance the game masters and then you have the global economy. Okay. Alright. So the receiving players and again there's a really important idea to understand all these players are interested in maintaining a status quo. Eventually as this war progresses they're going to recognize that America is actually a problem. It's not a good thing. It's not a benefit to us. It's a problem for us.

### 1:04:36 seg-0064

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3876s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3876s)

And so we need to replace the American Empire. Right? And who's the only alternative? Israel. So we need to transition from America to Israel in order to maintain the system. Then they'll recognize that okay the problem though is America will not go away. Empires don't surrender power willingly. And so we need to create a situation in which America is forced out of the Middle East. Now Iran cannot defeat America on the battlefield. America can drag this thing on for at least 20 years. We don't want to wait 20 years because we'll lose a lot of money in the process. And there's no point in waiting 20 years. So we need to force America out of the Middle East. So if we cannot defeat America sorry if Iran cannot defeat America on the battlefield what we need to do is cause America to implode. We need to cause a collapse in America. And how do you do that?

### 1:05:35 seg-0065

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- Video timestamp: [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3935s](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mk4vcHtawSo&t=3935s)

The economy. If I crash the stock market if I cause oil to go way up if I cause a discontent in America this will cause a civil war in America and then the American military has no choice but to retreat back into America. Okay? And then Israel will naturally take over from America. And this is something we'll discuss next class. How to destroy the American empire and replace it with Israel. Alright? Okay? Does that make sense? Okay. Any more questions guys? Okay great. So I will see you next week. Okay?